Gilbertfly Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 my buddy woke up this morning with a 3:30pm flight to Las Vegas out of O'Hare . . . not so much anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 flake size and snowfall intensity has greatly increased as heavier returns have moved in. solid mod snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 ILN not impressed....for Franklin county they are saying 1" of snow tonight, an inch or less tomorrow and a tenth of an inch of ice. Your graph above would be a full fledge icestorm There are definitely indications we could still get a warm layer aloft, and for once, I'm not sure that the NAM is overdoing QPF. WIth as cold as surface temperatures (roads, trees, etc) are, if we do get ice, we're in trouble, and obviously there won't be much lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Nice. Make due with what we got. Good flake size...maybe a half inch before it moves out. Bonus to my earlier thinking/fears. 12z Euro tacked on a few tenths. Gun to my head if I was forced into a 1 inch range I would go 2-3". We're gonna have to watch where that banding sets up later though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 1157 AM CST FRI JAN 20 2012 .UPDATE... WITH AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL BECOMING APPARENT...HAVE EXTENDED WINTER STORM WARNING FURTHER SOUTH...TO REACH FROM CID ACROSS THE NORTHERN QUAD CITIES METRO...EAST INTO WHITESIDE COUNTY IL. STRONG ELEVATED WARM ADVECTION/CONVERGENCE/FRONTOGENESIS HAS SET UP IN A W-NW TO E-SE AXIS FROM NW IA THROUGH EAST CENTRAL IA INTO W CENTRAL IL. RADAR AND SHORT TERM MODELS CONFIRM A WAVE RIPPLING ALONG THIS BAROCLINIC AXIS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH EASTERN IA...AND ANOTHER FURTHER UPSTREAM OVER NW OR N CENTRAL IA. HEAVY SNOW HAS BEEN FALLING FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS FROM DBQ W TO INDEPENDENCE WITH MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW SOUTH TO WHAT APPEARS TO BE THE WHAT WILL BE THE PRIMARY DELINEATION OF SNOW TO LITTLE OR NO SNOW. THIS IS ROUGHLY FROM VINTON SE ACROSS NORTHEAST JOHNSON COUNTY...SOUTHERN CEDAR COUNTY...AND NORTHERN SCOTT IN IA...AND PORT BYRON TO PRINCETON IN IL. CONSIDERING THE RATE AT WHICH SNOW IS FALLING AND THE UPPER LEVEL FORCING CONTINUING WELL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WIDESPREAD 6 TO 8 INCH SNOW AMOUNTS ARE LOOKING MORE LIKELY OVER THE WARNING AREA FROM THIS MORNING...AND ROUGHLY A ROW OF COUNTIES FURTHER SOUTH WHERE THE WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED...BASED ON THE ABOVE MENTIONED TRENDS. BASED ON CURRENT SNOWFALL RATES AND TRENDS...TOTALS WELL OVER 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE HIGHWAY 20 AND HIGHWAY 30 CORRIDORS. Nice. These good FGEN events seem to overperform in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 My dad in the eastern QC says less than an inch and it's completely stopped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Majority of the local mets around calling for a general 1-3 inches. I think the dry air is going to really play a monster roll in this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 12z Euro tacked on a few tenths. Gun to my head if I was forced into a 1 inch range I would go 2-3". We're gonna have to watch where that banding sets up later though. That's good. Granted we'll have a break this afternoon, but I do like seeing those developing returns in southern/southeasttern IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Lebanon & Westfield repoting sleet. :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 All sleet here in Carmel also.. Hopefully more precip will hold off until I get home later this afternoon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Wood Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 ILN not impressed....for Franklin county they are saying 1" of snow tonight, an inch or less tomorrow and a tenth of an inch of ice. Your graph above would be a full fledge icestorm While the NAM is probably overdoing it, the 850mb WAA charts on the Mesoanalysis page is showing quite a bit of WAA heading this way. I think ILN's Ice Storm Warning standard is 0.25 inches of ice. We may end up getting close to it. Thank goodness it's going to happen overnight going into a Saturday and not a weekday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Light to moderate snow here near Midway. Picking up more and more. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Majority of the local mets around calling for a general 1-3 inches. I think the dry air is going to really play a monster roll in this system. For sure for northeast siders in macomb and st.clair cty where they will struggle to get to 2". West siders should overcome the dry air a lot easier hense totals should be between 2-4" Your boy at wjbk is going with a 2-5" call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Lebanon & Westfield repoting sleet. :/ All sleet here in Carmel also.. ugh. WAA always over performs. IND metro will be interesting to watch tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 1/2" down, 4.5" to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Majority of the local mets around calling for a general 1-3 inches. I think the dry air is going to really play a monster roll in this system. Well if we could just ___ oh forget it I hope I somehow the EURO is correct. With high ratios I should be able to get 3". Dry air. Being this far north that has always been my concern. I think thats why the EURO keep slowly dropping its total on the north side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 border line +SN here now. +SN at RFD and DPA too... KDPA 201808Z 07004KT 1/4SM R02L/3000FT +SN VV013 M10/M13 A3009 RMK AO2 P0001 $ KRFD 201812Z 05007KT 1/4SM R01/1600V1800FT +SN VV005 M13/M16 A3012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 border line +SN here now. +SN at RFD and DPA too... KDPA 201808Z 07004KT 1/4SM R02L/3000FT +SN VV013 M10/M13 A3009 RMK AO2 P0001 $ KRFD 201812Z 05007KT 1/4SM R01/1600V1800FT +SN VV005 M13/M16 A3012 really healthy looking on radar right now, should rip like that for a couple hours at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Skilling just said he checked in with Frank Wachowski @ Midway and Frank said .3" down at Midway with a ratio of 24:1!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Radar showing the snow dying pretty quick on the west side... should let up a lot in the next hour. Maybe 3 inches locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 WAA always over performs. IND metro will be interesting to watch tonight. Yep, should be quite interesting this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Skilling just said he checked in with Frank Wachowski @ Midway and Frank said .3" down at Midway with a ratio of 24:1!!! Well, you're talking about widespread 8+ in northeast IL if that continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Skilling just said he checked in with Frank Wachowski @ Midway and Frank said .3" down at Midway with a ratio of 24:1!!! a little better than that here, but the lake band had better than average ratios. mod snow again...flake size still dust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Snow rate picking up here. Flakes still on the small end. 14°. Lake effect band hitting Lake Forest area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 If only this would last Managed to find myself on the north part of those returns on the south side of town. Wouldn't call it +SN but it was close. Probably a fresh half inch on the south side of town in 45 minutes or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The increase in reflectivity over the past half hour in Madison is corresponding to a significant improvement in dendrite structure. Seems like we'll be on the edge of this good snow for duration of the storm, but the band firing up near the WI/IL/IA border looks promising and we may see some even heavier snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The much feared dry slot has arrived. Snow is shutting down. Nearly 3", which I'll take considering everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 border line +SN here now. +SN at RFD and DPA too... KDPA 201808Z 07004KT 1/4SM R02L/3000FT +SN VV013 M10/M13 A3009 RMK AO2 P0001 $ KRFD 201812Z 05007KT 1/4SM R01/1600V1800FT +SN VV005 M13/M16 A3012 add ORD to the +SN list... KORD 201831Z VRB04KT 1/4SM R14R/2400V3000FT +SN VV009 M08/M11 A3009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 1/2" down, 4.5" to go Are you up on the far north side? If you don't mind, I was going to use your reports again today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 pushing +SN here but flake size still not the best. Even better radar returns near the I-39 corridor pushing east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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