Ian Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Radar looking pretty good to me right now, things are developing nicely and heading a bit more south I believe than progged. i dont think i've ever seen you post something that's not positive for winter weather in your backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 it must be somewhat useful or they would not tell people to look at it on facebook. i know it does change frequently... It updates whenever the point and click forecast updates. That's what it is tied to it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 i dont think i've ever seen you post something that's not positive for winter weather in your backyard what do you mean, all winter I've been having to tell all people who've been asking we when its going to snow this winter never. Trust me, its been a rough one. I like to poth usually when I think were gonna get something. Idk if you notice, but my positive vibes are relative as in the snow events this year I haven't overforecasted or had a JB2 mentality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 And with that Ian, NAM a bit wetter thru 9 and slightly colder with the 850's. Also, precip shield a few miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 srefs seem a bit wetter, but with NAM and GFS coming in in about the next 2 hours, I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 interesting CAD look at 9 hrs on the 850 map (18z NAM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 18z NAM rolling in. Snowing by midnight or 1am for many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Not sure why the NAM like evaporates half the precip on the simrad after 9hrs, I know there is a dry area but still its a bit odd. Radar is pushing precip SEly, not really that far north atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM still has the 11:30-ish start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sim radar at 06z looks quite nice... are we still snow or did we switch over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Maybe the first wave of precip phases with the energy down in GA/SC and we get 2-4 before the changeover......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 3am looks like the changeover time period for the airports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sim radar at 06z looks quite nice... are we still snow or did we switch over? Should be snow at 06z. The sim radar is pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM is about as good as I think we will see with the front end A 4 hr period of snow probably changing to sleet 50-75% of the way through and maybe 0.15-.2" QPF....1/2" to 1" of snow and then some crust on top....epic for this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM is about as good as I think we will see with the front end A 4 hr period of snow probably changing to sleet 50-75% of the way through and maybe 0.15-.2" QPF....1/2" to 1" of snow and then some crust on top....epic for this winter Around BWI looks good on the NAM front end wise, well relatively speaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 still a formidable ice event NW of DC...someone might even stay snow longer than progged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM is about as good as I think we will see with the front end A 4 hr period of snow probably changing to sleet 50-75% of the way through and maybe 0.15-.2" QPF....1/2" to 1" of snow and then some crust on top....epic for this winter Yeah, that is a good read. Maybe three hours of snow, switching over to sleet/zr. Then a fairly long lull with maybe some fr drizzle before the next batch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergeek Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 where can us newbies see the sim radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The QPF looks more reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 where can us newbies see the sim radar? http://www.instantweathermaps.com is my preferred spot at the moment twisterdata and NCEP are also fine. twisterdata has forecast soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The QPF looks more reasonable You seeing this at 14-15-16z? Maybe stays ZR down into the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 still a formidable ice event NW of DC...someone might even stay snow longer than progged Perhaps even just N and W (aka Loudoun/ W Montgomery)... 12z NAM at 15z SAT had 2m 0c line in MD... 18z still has south of N VA (IAD prob 30/31) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 You seeing this at 14-15-16z? Maybe stays ZR down into the city. 15z at IAD def frozen... DCA prob frozen transitioning to rain from what I see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 where can us newbies see the sim radar? Click "Sim Radar" http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=01%2F20%2F2012+18UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=sim_radar&pdesc=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Yeah, that is a good read. Maybe three hours of snow, switching over to sleet/zr. Then a fairly long lull with maybe some fr drizzle before the next batch. many/most areas still below 32 when the next slug comes in mid morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I wonder if NAM is going to have it changing back with that 2nd batch it'll be close I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM much colder than 12z this run, zr hangs on around BWI down to DC. Nam snow map on Raleigh Baltimore 3-4'' About as wintry as its been on the NAM so far, colder yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I wonder if NAM is going to have it changing back with that 2nd batch it'll be close I think Changing back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM much colder than 12z this run, zr hangs on around BWI down to DC. Nam snow map on Raleigh Baltimore 3-4'' About as wintry as its been on the NAM so far, colder yet again. I think these snow maps are not very useful...I;ve never looked at one ever...seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Changing back? to snow at the end GFS hinted at it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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