yoda Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 08z for the 18z, but we are looking at RUC thermal profiles here. Oh I know, trust me... I was just taking a peek to see where we were at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I was 32.1 as of 5 mins ago. If it can...it will find a way to only be rain here. A look at real snow via Paradise Ranger Station. Some 7' of snow the past 3-4 days and another 5-7' on the way up there in the coming week. great pic! If you want a good laugh (and knowing they are usseless), check out the snow forecast map by NWS Sterling. The big hole right over FDK just doesn't surprise me. I'm glad I got a Davis this year to measure precipitation. I'm convinced FDK gets less yearly precip than surrounding areas. Sitting at the base of the Catoctins makes us a mini-desert for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 What about it? Doesn't look any different from the other stuff I've looked at. There will be a little QPF wasted at the onset of precip. to moisten the column, but it's hardly a dent. the RH hole whips right around into DCA/BWI! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 28.4 just north of Westminster, down from a high of 34 earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 great pic! If you want a good laugh (and knowing they are usseless), check out the snow forecast map by NWS Sterling. The big hole right over FDK just doesn't surprise me. I'm glad I got a Davis this year to measure precipitation. I'm convinced FDK gets less yearly precip than surrounding areas. Sitting at the base of the Catoctins makes us a mini-desert for the area. I'd tend to agree. We sat under 30-35dbz for hours and hours during the Oct storm...nothing but very light snow fell (eventually just rain). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 the RH hole whips right around into DCA/BWI! That's been there... it's been discussed that there will be some dry air ahead of the precip, and the hole fills in around 6z on the link you provided just as it has been forecast to do. No worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 28.4 just north of Westminster. 27* at 140 & 97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 My station had been at 29.3 all day, it has now gone up in just the last hour to 32.9. Going off of your location on the map I am about 2 miles to your S. BTW I use your station for my WxUnderground page. I love the Davis Vantage Vue got. It has been very accurate so far and glad I'll get a good year of precip measurements. This will get some afternoon sun in the summer so it will be interesting to see if it adds a few degrees like the Weather Channel system (very cheap) did. Just don't use my wind measurements...my station is too sheltered for accurate wind measurements. I go by the Braddock Heights station or the MDDOT station at 340 & 180 in Jefferson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I love the Davis Vantage Vue got. It has been very accurate so far and glad I'll get a good year of precip measurements. This will get some afternoon sun in the summer so it will be interesting to see if it adds a few degrees like the Weather Channel system (very cheap) did. Just don't use my wind measurements...my station is too sheltered for accurate wind measruements. I go by the Braddock Heights station or the MDDOT station at 340 & 180 in Jefferson. Not much of a temp gradiant here b/w us and up in the mtns. It's 28 up at 1600' too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 crippling ice forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 crippling ice forecast I know you are trolling, but that product is not very useful. Check it again in an hour... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 I know you are trolling, but that product is not very useful. Check it again in an hour... it must be somewhat useful or they would not tell people to look at it on facebook. i know it does change frequently... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Just to make sure that I am thinking correctly Here's an ob: the low off the maine coast is analyzed 3-4mb deeper than progged on the NAM at 15z. Excellent. That means that the H will take a lil longer to move out and the CAD may be a bit stronger than modeled, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Just to make sure that I am thinking correctly That means that the H will take a lil longer to move out and the CAD may be a bit stronger than modeled, correct? I asked him to get clarification, but thats where I was taking this, because this system wont have the ability to take the precip north into that high, so yes it is indeed excellent as he says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I love the Davis Vantage Vue got. It has been very accurate so far and glad I'll get a good year of precip measurements. This will get some afternoon sun in the summer so it will be interesting to see if it adds a few degrees like the Weather Channel system (very cheap) did. Just don't use my wind measurements...my station is too sheltered for accurate wind measurements. I go by the Braddock Heights station or the MDDOT station at 340 & 180 in Jefferson. Yea mine is a Lacrosse from LLBean, but wanting to get something better. Going to wait till we get our deck this spring to see where I can put one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I'm kidding with you, Dr. No Wes. I know, and people have called me that but I don't cling to the other Dr. No (the euro) as often as some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Radar looking pretty good to me right now, things are developing nicely and heading a bit more south I believe than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Radar looking pretty good to me right now, things are developing nicely and heading a bit more south I believe than progged. i dont think i've ever seen you post something that's not positive for winter weather in your backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 it must be somewhat useful or they would not tell people to look at it on facebook. i know it does change frequently... It updates whenever the point and click forecast updates. That's what it is tied to it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 i dont think i've ever seen you post something that's not positive for winter weather in your backyard what do you mean, all winter I've been having to tell all people who've been asking we when its going to snow this winter never. Trust me, its been a rough one. I like to poth usually when I think were gonna get something. Idk if you notice, but my positive vibes are relative as in the snow events this year I haven't overforecasted or had a JB2 mentality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 And with that Ian, NAM a bit wetter thru 9 and slightly colder with the 850's. Also, precip shield a few miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 srefs seem a bit wetter, but with NAM and GFS coming in in about the next 2 hours, I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 interesting CAD look at 9 hrs on the 850 map (18z NAM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 18z NAM rolling in. Snowing by midnight or 1am for many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Not sure why the NAM like evaporates half the precip on the simrad after 9hrs, I know there is a dry area but still its a bit odd. Radar is pushing precip SEly, not really that far north atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sim radar at 06z looks quite nice... are we still snow or did we switch over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Maybe the first wave of precip phases with the energy down in GA/SC and we get 2-4 before the changeover......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 3am looks like the changeover time period for the airports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sim radar at 06z looks quite nice... are we still snow or did we switch over? Should be snow at 06z. The sim radar is pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM is about as good as I think we will see with the front end A 4 hr period of snow probably changing to sleet 50-75% of the way through and maybe 0.15-.2" QPF....1/2" to 1" of snow and then some crust on top....epic for this winter Around BWI looks good on the NAM front end wise, well relatively speaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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