Avdave Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:44 AM, leesburg 04 said: Over/under on the word devastating being used in the next 10 minutes.....4 It's been used already within the last hour lol As for jyo we'll see. Whatever happens happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 it really is not that far from a mod snow event for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 gfs looks like 1" or so in dc snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The GFS would be a solid icing west of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 woa, is GFS below freezing at 36hrs in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:49 AM, zwyts said: No. I'm out to 36. The GFS is sweet. cAd is the only thing we do well other than heat. Well if you take out the na and the ian in Canadian what does that spell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM is in its wheelhouse. GFS folds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:51 AM, mitchnick said: it really is not that far from a mod snow event for us True, 2-3'' this run? And still trending better dare I say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 looks a little wetter.. nowhere close to the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:52 AM, Ian said: looks a little wetter.. nowhere close to the nam lets go Ian, get Randy to put the keys in the bus and warm it up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:52 AM, Ian said: looks a little wetter.. nowhere close to the nam http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Param&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=01%2F20%2F2012+00UTC&rname=PRECIP+PARMS&pname=precip_p36&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=042&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:52 AM, WVclimo said: NAM is in its wheelhouse. GFS folds. No no. GFS has been colder then the NAM for days. NAM folded. GFS just got a little colder again from 18Z which 18Z sucks always anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:54 AM, mitchnick said: http://mag.ncep.noaa...el=&imageSize=L Couple more wet trends and we'll be in business. 00z way better than 18z, may even be colder than NAM a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 50 miles south would be huge, and that's doable in 24-30 hrs 75 miles and I cry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:54 AM, mitchnick said: http://mag.ncep.noaa...el=&imageSize=L guess i should have let it run that far.. still lower and not all (but mostly) frozen like nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:55 AM, mitchnick said: 50 miles south would be huge, and that's doable in 24-30 hrs 75 miles and I cry Same here, i will be joining you. Its not out of the cards, the Randy charisma is on man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:52 AM, Ian said: looks a little wetter.. nowhere close to the nam Yep. Little wetter, but maybe more important, looks a little colder at quick glances. The snowfall map hasn't really changed any for my area. Looks like more for you city boys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 1-2 inches of snow now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Mitchnick cry potential increasing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 looking at the 1000-500 thicknesses at 45 hrs, I could even see it changing back to flurries at the end as crazy as that sounds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 this is the most flawed event of my winter life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:55 AM, EasternUSWX said: No no. GFS has been colder then the NAM for days. NAM folded. GFS just got a little colder again from 18Z which 18Z sucks always anyway. Looks like a nice event up our way, Zac. Saturday morning, good timing. Hope it pans out. We deserve a wintry weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:56 AM, zwyts said: It's over 0.5" for dc and points north i didnt see 42 at the time.. but it's still a smaller area. now to see if the euro still is absurdly dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:52 AM, Ian said: gfs looks like 1" or so in dc snow 6th most surprising storm in DC history? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:52 AM, leesburg 04 said: Well if you take out the na and the ian in Canadian what does that spell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:58 AM, Ji said: this is the most flawed event of my winter life don't say that you're much more flawed than this event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:56 AM, zwyts said: It's over 0.5" for dc and points north The question is who do you go with if the Euro craps the bed again and shows what it did at 12Z?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Goodnight all. Hope to wake and see this thread with about 15 pages. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Euro hates our guts..it gives us blizzards when no other models show anything and then when all models show snow..it gives us rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 On 1/20/2012 at 3:59 AM, Ji said: 6th most surprising storm in DC history? my storm threads overperform Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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