Quakertown needs snow Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 what a boring 0z gfs run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bilas Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 what a boring 0z gfs run Just like this whole winter so far.... BORING! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 FYI, the Euro weeklies are coming around to the Feb 5-15 idea. Week 2 (Feb 6-12) is about -2 here. Weeks 1, 3, and 4 are all warm to very warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 18z GFS was a weenie run. Nice staying power on the PNA. The pac jet doesn't blast it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Maybe clutching at straws but last couple of Euro runs give us a snow threat days 8-10 as ridge spikes in W Can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Maybe clutching at straws but last couple of Euro runs give us a snow threat days 8-10 as ridge spikes in W Can. +PNA ftw!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 12Z GFS= run Huge coastal at 324, Area sitting under -20 850's. lol +PNA FTMFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Most models also have the MJO heading towards phase 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 FYI, the Euro weeklies are coming around to the Feb 5-15 idea. Week 2 (Feb 6-12) is about -2 here. Weeks 1, 3, and 4 are all warm to very warm It looks like the GFS is coming around to that idea too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 It looks like the GFS is coming around to that idea too. Yeah, the end of the run looked c-c-cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 27, 2012 Author Share Posted January 27, 2012 euro for next weekend has rain to snow for i95, immediate burbs and coast...further out burbs lns to abe corridor some accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 euro for next weekend has rain to snow for i95, immediate burbs and coast...further out burbs lns to abe corridor some accumulating snow. here we go.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 27, 2012 Author Share Posted January 27, 2012 fwiw the euro in the 6-10 day range has a good amount of potential and is a good looking pattern for some snow. Atleast better than we have seen this year so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 27, 2012 Author Share Posted January 27, 2012 besides the evnt next weekend it has 2 more shots at some accum snow...at hr 240 it has the 2nd shot coming into the region with a nice banana high from south central canada to lake erie.. a lot of higher than normal hgts throughout canada starting ti pinch its way towards greenland. Huge pna ridge and -epo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 All the pieces are on the table for a major storm next weekend. Doesn't mean it will come together for us at this latitude, but at least we have a shot at this. Personally I'm glad we're not in the bullseye already. And like Tombo said, after this weekend we'll have another shot or two as well. Fun times ahead boys!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 looks like winter uncancel is about to start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Just an observation on the teleconnections. Best I've seen in quite awhile (without getting MJO involved). Hopefully the stars are aligning. 12z GFS Calculated Indices NAO West-Based NAO East-Based NAO EPO PNA WPO AO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 euro for next weekend has rain to snow for i95, immediate burbs and coast...further out burbs lns to abe corridor some accumulating snow. looking at the thermals and at wunderground, I doubt that solution is rain to snow for anyone in the city and south. Precip pulls away as the 850s drop off. NW, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I wouldn't use those charts. They have been pretty lousy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 27, 2012 Author Share Posted January 27, 2012 looking at the thermals and at wunderground, I doubt that solution is rain to snow for anyone in the city and south. Precip pulls away as the 850s drop off. NW, yes. thicknesses going from 536 to 532...850s crashing to below -4...surface temps in the 30s... im not saying its accumulating, maybe like .05 of qpf. Thatssnow in my eyes unless their is a sneaky warm layer with those parameters listed above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 27, 2012 Author Share Posted January 27, 2012 absolute beauty of pna ridge/-epo on the euro ens in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 You know things are looking up when Tom starts giving Euro updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 27, 2012 Author Share Posted January 27, 2012 You know things are looking up when Tom starts giving Euro updates. hahaha yea i know..this winter has been crudy, nothing worthwhile to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 thicknesses going from 536 to 532...850s crashing to below -4...surface temps in the 30s... im not saying its accumulating, maybe like .05 of qpf. Thatssnow in my eyes unless their is a sneaky warm layer with those parameters listed above you know how often precip ends before changeover. Jus' sayin...that scenario it's not likely (even on the weenie maps the snow line stays north of the city...barely...but it does) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 you know how often precip ends before changeover. Jus' sayin...that scenario it's not likely (even on the weenie maps the snow line stays north of the city...barely...but it does) I strongly support this post. EC verbatim is flurries for I-95. Maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 I strongly support this post. EC verbatim is flurries for I-95. Maybe. i never said accum snow...on my maps it shows precip still left over with cold enough temps for snow granted less than a tenth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 i never said accum snow...on my maps it shows precip still left over with cold enough temps for snow granted less than a tenth buuuuuuuut you did say rain to snow without saying it was "tail end", "little bit", "barely anything to matter" or saying it was a tiny amount...kinda leading the weenies on somewhat... BTW, 0z was a womp womp for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 buuuuuuuut you did say rain to snow without saying it was "tail end", "little bit", "barely anything to matter" or saying it was a tiny amount...kinda leading the weenies on somewhat... BTW, 0z was a womp womp for everyone. pt taken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 By the way, loving the subtitle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 This will cause a lot of weenies to stand at attention. The most similar 500mb pattern for 2/4 on the 06Z GFS is 1/6/96......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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