tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2012 Author Share Posted January 22, 2012 the euro looks like a good shot of snow in the lanc to abe corridor...closer in looks like its rain to maybe snow to i95. The thicknesses are pretty high so their seems to be a marginal setup like ray said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 EC temps are marginal. It'd be a slop fest verbatim. Cold air isn't really available at the start. From the coastal plain perspective its better to have the cold air in place at the start (like yesterday) then to bank on it coming before the end to save the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 the euro looks like a good shot of snow in the lanc to abe corridor...closer in looks like its rain to maybe snow to i95. The thicknesses are pretty high so their seems to be a marginal setup like ray said. The snowfall map posted in the NYC forum has snow down to PHL, but the caution is that it's a real thread the needle. Hope the snow event started some good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 the euro looks like a good shot of snow in the lanc to abe corridor...closer in looks like its rain to maybe snow to i95. The thicknesses are pretty high so their seems to be a marginal setup like ray said. I like the sounds of that, but will be in the Caribbean at that time, as long as it isn't the biggest snow of the season, of course that would be my luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2012 Author Share Posted January 22, 2012 The snowfall map posted in the NYC forum has snow down to PHL, but the caution is that it's a real thread the needle. Hope the snow event started some good luck. yea the wunderground map brings like 2-4 into the immediate burbs to the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 Am I reading the snowmaps right...like 6-10 inches out this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 Majority of the GFS ensemble members are not suppressed for the late week storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2012 Author Share Posted January 22, 2012 Am I reading the snowmaps right...like 6-10 inches out this way? i dont see 10, but it looks like a 5-7 ordeal per those maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 i dont see 10, but it looks like a 5-7 ordeal per those maps. Okay thanks Tombo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 I just want powder for the poconos. I'll be up there With some friends for the weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 gotta watch the energy ultimately not get held back and have the brunt of this storm come shooting through on Thursday night...we're still in the 'crap' phase of the mid range...not saying the Saturday storm won't happen but definitely possible the timing gets sped up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 gotta watch the energy ultimately not get held back and have the brunt of this storm come shooting through on Thursday night...we're still in the 'crap' phase of the mid range...not saying the Saturday storm won't happen but definitely possible the timing gets sped up a bit. I read from the hpc that they were going to go with the Slower solution. I assume the euro slowed down a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2012 Author Share Posted January 22, 2012 I read from the hpc that they were going to go with the Slower solution. I assume the euro slowed down a bit? yea, its basically a thread the needle scenario, but what hasnt this year. If it takes longer to come out its ots, if it comes out faster its a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 Tom, Wouldn't bet too heavy on OTS.....when was the last time that happened?? It sure looks like a much more winter like pattern as we move toward February. Should be interesting yea, its basically a thread the needle scenario, but what hasnt this year. If it takes longer to come out its ots, if it comes out faster its a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 I read from the hpc that they were going to go with the Slower solution. I assume the euro slowed down a bit? It shifted to the "held back" solution as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 yeah. Over in the medium range thread, the disco was from the HPC saying the southern cut offs have often been slower rather than faster. 18z GFS was a glorifed cold front. Should be a fun week tracking this. A lot of pieces to this puzzle . You have the timing of the ejected southern stream with the amplification of the northern stream in question. All in all, we'll have no clue till say wed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 0Z GFS and EC are fairly similar in evolution of things Friday-Saturday, with the EC just a bit slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Phantom Miller B on Euro at Day 7 for Maine and the Cape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Phantom Miller B on Euro at Day 7 for Maine and the Cape? Don't trust any medium range model solution beyond 120 hours this winter (that hour may be generous too). Too much on again/off again with the Friday/Saturday system already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Sorry for the OT but is anyone else having problems with the E Wall site? I click on images and certain ones never come up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Sorry for the OT but is anyone else having problems with the E Wall site? I click on images and certain ones never come up. Yup. The sfc analysis stopped working yesterday, assume someone will have to reboot something today (an IT person I am not.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 hopefully the euro is sniffing something out end of the week. would be nice if we can squeeze in another snow event later this week during adam's torch week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Was the euro snowy for the poconos for the Friday system? Hate to ask, but I'm working and left my laptop at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Was the euro snowy for the poconos for the Friday system? Hate to ask, but I'm working and left my laptop at home Off of wunderground brief snow at start. More snow on Sunday, higher amounts places farther to the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Still shooting for Feb 5-15 as a possible wintry period. It might not average out below normal, but I suspect we'll have more troughing and shots for snow during that period than the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 23, 2012 Author Share Posted January 23, 2012 Still shooting for Feb 5-15 as a possible wintry period. It might not average out below normal, but I suspect we'll have more troughing and shots for snow during that period than the next 10 days. the mjo looks like it will try to atleast get in a favorable phase by then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 the mjo looks like it will try to atleast get in a favorable phase by then At least the Euro mjo outlook is leaning that way too, its not just the gfs this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Still shooting for Feb 5-15 as a possible wintry period. It might not average out below normal, but I suspect we'll have more troughing and shots for snow during that period than the next 10 days. I'm banking on Mar 1-10, our senior service hydrologist has worked the short term desk the Friday before our two largest events this cool season, his next Friday short term shift is Friday March 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 I'm banking on Mar 1-10, our senior service hydrologist has worked the short term desk the Friday before our two largest events this cool season, his next Friday short term shift is Friday March 3rd. Look on the bright side, at least your not relying on the models past 120hrs :-)!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mforty Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 I'm banking on Mar 1-10, our senior service hydrologist has worked the short term desk the Friday before our two largest events this cool season, his next Friday short term shift is Friday March 3rd. March 3rd is a Saturday. I know because I'm supposed to be driving a Ferrari around NJ motorsports park on Friday 3/2, so there will definitely be a storm around that time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.