famartin Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 That was one weird looking low when the GFS had it, it looked like one of those perfectly cylindrical silicon nodules (Star Trek - Devil In The Dark). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 We still get light snow on the GFS; at the least it should be one last taste of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 What maybe 4-7 flakes? RIP 2011-2012 winter. 10-29-11 to 10-30-11. One day old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 What maybe 4-7 flakes? RIP 2011-2012 winter. 10-29-11 to 10-30-11. One day old GGEM has us in the bullseye for an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Cool, Mattinpa I could take that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 1, 2012 Author Share Posted March 1, 2012 GGEM has us in the bullseye for an inch or two. which falls during the day, which would be snow falling but not accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 GFS is definitely showing torch potential on Thursday/Friday next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 GFS is definitely showing torch potential on Thursday/Friday next week. Pretty much from then on in the long term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Roundy guidance has changed its tune. Best -OLR anomalies will be over the Maritime Continent through the month, regardless of whether there is a clear RMM MJO signal. That's a warm signal (for now). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 By the time we get to mid march the average highs are in the low to mid fifties, so a true torch would have to mean several days of around 70 or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Ps, torch cancel on the 0z euro. Showing a PNA spike and a deep trough in the east with a coastal runner... Heyyyyyy Adam! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Ps, torch cancel on the 0z euro. Showing a PNA spike and a deep trough in the east with a coastal runner... Heyyyyyy Adam! I see a slow moving front ahead of a deep closed low? Not much organized low pressure to be had in the area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 168 on ewall has a 1008mb low inside Jersey shore: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMWF_0z/ecmwfloop.html#picture Frame before it has it down the gulf? Albeit it doesn't strengthen much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 168 on ewall has a 1008mb low inside Jersey shore: http://www.meteo.psu...op.html#picture Frame before it has it down the gulf? Albeit it doesn't strengthen much. Its essentially a nearly stationary front with a very weak wave of low pressure. Nothing to write home about (and certainly no snow depicted). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Its essentially a nearly stationary front with a very weak wave of low pressure. Nothing to write home about (and certainly no snow depicted). Thanks for clearing that up. I certainly wasn't implying a frozen scenario there. Just the torch cancel(verbatim). It would seem to fit the screw job of a winter this has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 OK. Yes, the EC does depict the trough moving right in. Torch cancel (per EC). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poleshiftnow Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 GFS VS EURO let the games begin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 I heart GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Euro's cold solution is a 2-3 day hit at worst...850's are back above zero by hour 240. The GFS' solution is funkier, FWIW, holds the low back over the OV and cools us down next weekend to seasonable in a completely different look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Euro's cold solution is a 2-3 day hit at worst...850's are back above zero by hour 240. The GFS' solution is funkier, FWIW, holds the low back over the OV and cools us down next weekend to seasonable in a completely different look. The thing with these cool downs almost the entire winter has been that it brings us back down to 0 to +3 departures as opposed to +10 to +15 departures. And by mid march the avg high in PHL and NYC is getting into the 50s, so it still would be pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 The thing with these cool downs almost the entire winter has been that it brings us back down to 0 to +3 departures as opposed to +10 to +15 departures. And by mid march the avg high in PHL and NYC is getting into the 50s, so it still would be pleasant. At the rate we are headed, temps approaching 130 degree highs this summer, with dew points 80 or above. Hopefully all the people who hate winter enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 omg the weeklies. torch torch torch torch torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted March 6, 2012 Share Posted March 6, 2012 omg the weeklies. torch torch torch torch torch Best news I heard this winter! Who wants 40's and rain in March give me 60's and 70's! We are talking about it being that warm right? I'm guessing each torch word is worth +5 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 6, 2012 Share Posted March 6, 2012 Adam, any numbers? I've been glancing at the models here and there, nothing over analytical. All i do is go the H5 charts and click on hours 100,180,200,240 and see that pv sitting over the davis straights and know we'll be above seasonal while it just sits and rotates there since October. (the exception being some heigher heights around the late october storm temporarily). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted March 6, 2012 Share Posted March 6, 2012 It was off the scale in Weeks 2 and 3. We were definitely >9F for the anomalies, but I couldn't tell exactly how warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 6, 2012 Share Posted March 6, 2012 ^^^ Girls and sundress season coming early!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 6, 2012 Author Share Posted March 6, 2012 ^^^ Girls and sundress season coming early!! bikini Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 6, 2012 Share Posted March 6, 2012 bikini i'll get my friend angie from my FB in a bikini Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 6, 2012 Share Posted March 6, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted March 6, 2012 Share Posted March 6, 2012 Well this thread has taken a turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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