xram Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Nice to see the mood flakes flying today after over 2" of rain yesterday. Actually feels like Christmas time this year. As of right now....you guys towards western Orange Cnty look to have a better shot this week than us east enders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I had a good coating this morning, looked nice. Hopefully next week I get to utilize my new Subaru the way it was meant to be used, rompin' through a couple of good snowstorms and passing BMW X Drives and Benz 4 Matics fighting their way up some of the hills on the Taconic I have been reading up on the XV's over at NASIOC and came upon your posts. Love the khaki. I am going to purchase a new vehicle in the spring and figured I would start doing my homework now to whittle down the list. How is it treating you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Snow is on the ground near Syracuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Well it's nice to wake up and see DT's (if you follow him at all) 1st guess map have you in the 12-16inch range for the bigger snow event . Now off to work for 4 hours :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I have been reading up on the XV's over at NASIOC and came upon your posts. Love the khaki. I am going to purchase a new vehicle in the spring and figured I would start doing my homework now to whittle down the list. How is it treating you? I love it! It really is a pretty nice car to drive, very different from the Impreza. The suspension was completely redone, better damping, stiffer chassis, etc. I haven't had a chance to get it out in the snow yet (hopefully tonight ) but it has been a really confident vehicle in the cold rains at night since I've gotten it. Other than some wind noise from the mirrors and stupid loud tires it's a great highway car and gets 30+ mpg on straight highway runs, I'm averaging a little under 28 with my round trip runs five days a week from Mahopac to SOHO. I could go on and on but the bottom line is I think it's a great car and if you're thinking in this direction already there really isn't a better or even equal car in the category and if they release the diesel or hybrid version here in the states next year it will be unbeatable. You should also check out www.subaruxvforum.com for more info. One more thing, if you're thinking of getting one in the spring get an order in soon because they have about a four month wait. On to the weather - So what's for tonight/tomorrow morning? It looks like it's a little colder, more snow or more ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 24, 2012 Author Share Posted December 24, 2012 12z Euro coming in colder for mid week, this looks to be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Yeah I'm hearing that about the Euro...looks better for this area. I think even the GFS is OK for Newburgh north but it's really marginal with the gradient lurking not too far south so good to have some insurance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Most solutions give the area a good snowstorm at the very least.. Even the warmer gfs prints out a big thump of snowfall for the area.. Good times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Yeah very happy about my location right now. Just a little concerned about icing potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Yeah very happy about my location right now. Just a little concerned about icing potential Lets enjoy the 1-3" for tonight and then concentrate on the big fish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 There was never a doubt in my mind it would evolve to a colder solution. Just didn't make any sense to have the parent low rip into NYS with the block up in E. Canada and the gradient sinking south behind tonights system. A secondary along the Delmarva was the logical call. GFS late to the party as usual, this time from the west, and then from the east on the weekend. I have a feeling the coast gets the brunt of that storm though but will take my chances on snow or no rather than worrying about R/S lines. Orange County tends to get a secondary max on these systems we worry about QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Most solutions give the area a good snowstorm at the very least.. Even the warmer gfs prints out a big thump of snowfall for the area.. Good times ahead Definitely looking good for a nice snowstorm for many of us! We are usually very prone to P type issues in Poughkeepsie, but even the GFS keeps us all snow until the latter stages of the storm, after > 1'' of precip. has already fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I looked at the models this morning, prep'ed and changed the oil in the snow blower. Lol Merry Christmas to the forum! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 24, 2012 Author Share Posted December 24, 2012 Glad to see you here Tom. Yes, Merry Christmas to one and all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Merry Christmas everyone...and happy chrismahannukwaanzicka! Hope.we all get a nice coating tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Merry Christmas to all....and to all a hopefully snowy night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 25, 2012 Author Share Posted December 25, 2012 It's snowing here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 About an 1.5" here......perfect amount to qualify for a white Christmas but not enough to have to shovel before church. I think you guys out in the western half of the county are gold (6-12") for the next storm. A good hit here by the thruway but a lot more taint involved over here at the height of the storm. Merry Christmas to all...................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 25, 2012 Author Share Posted December 25, 2012 .50 here for last night, beautiful morning out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 1.6" here... Looks beautiful outside! Merry Christmas!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Merry Christmas to everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 336 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 NYZ062-PAZ040-044-047-048-072-262045- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0003.121226T1900Z-121227T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KBGM.WS.W.0005.121226T1900Z-121227T1800Z/ SULLIVAN-NORTHERN WAYNE-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE... HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE 336 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR A COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...SCRANTON WILKE-BARRE AREA...POCONOS AND SOUTHERN CATSKILLS. * HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW COMBINED WITH SLEET AND SOME FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW. COATING OF ICE POSSIBLE...MAINLY OVER THE POCONOS AND SOUTHERN CATSKILLS. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO LIGHTER SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THURSDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION COULD END AS SNOW THURSDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Merry Christmas everyone! Getting a little more excited about tomorrow evening for a bit of front-end heavy snow action but the 18Z GFS/NAM model runs are keeping my expectations a little low... I hope we get surprised. NWS Albany don't seem too bullish at this stage. I guess we wait for the 0Z runs and see whether the american models are onto something with their warmer thermal profiles... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 If the NAM is correct most of us get buried.. ( Warning... this graphic is not for ppl who are taking nitrates for chest pain lol..) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 If the NAM is correct most of us get buried.. ( Warning... this graphic is not for ppl who are taking nitrates for chest pain lol..) that's a thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 that's a thing of beauty. Can we lock that up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Most interesting aspect of this storm to me this morning is that the primary low on WV loop appears to have hit a brick wall to it's north and is basically rolling due east. This was supposed to move up to OH/WV before the transfer to the coastal occurred. If it stays along the TN/KY border it would likely lead to a colder thermal profile further south. In addition, the secondary could pop a bit further south which would be crucial as it would likely mean a track a little bit further east than modeled as it climbs the coast tonight. Regardless, I still am comfortable with yesterdays idea of at least 5 or 6 inches in eastern Orange and 10 -12 for our friend out west there in Rock Hill. Again, if trends I'm seeing this morning pan out, we could all get buried by tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Wow @ Upton.. They are gonna bust horribly on this side of the county.. 23/20 here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Wow @ Upton.. They are gonna bust horribly on this side of the county.. 23/20 here.. This storm has a high bust potential on either side but I agree at this point, the storm seems a touch colder. I think most of us prefer a bust like this instead of a 6-12 forecast that only delivers a few inches. As a kid I would listen to the NWS radio and local radio/TV and would love to hear them say "snow accumulations have now been upped to..." Hopefully this will be one if those storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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