IrishRob17 Posted November 27, 2012 Author Share Posted November 27, 2012 Nice snowfall to look out and one that many will like as it's not sticking to the roads or sidewalks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 27, 2012 Author Share Posted November 27, 2012 beautiful snowfall right now, big ole Holiday Season flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Nice sized flakes coming down now.. Just about 2" otg.. Took a quick drive to my west toward Mountain Rd.. 3" otg there. Elevation there was >1300' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ067&warncounty=NYC071&firewxzone=NYZ067&local_place1=&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory Uploaded with ImageShack.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 about 3" here now and has been snowing all day like a storm that really wants to but can't. Got my exercise shoveling the driveway anyhow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 3" here as well... Some spots >1200' here have 4"+ otg.. Nice little storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Up to 2" on select grassy areas in Millbrook area, just stopped snowing. Tried my best to enjoy what could be the last snow for several weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Had some light snow showers before, changed to a drizzle before ending. The snow that did fall failed to accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Pics taken around 2pm about 100 yards from my house.. Elevation around 950' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Nice pics. Looked a lot like that in my yard also. West Milford NJ got 6". So close, (15 miles to my SW as the crow flies) yet so far. The heaviest bands just couldn't make it North of the border. Nice half dollar flakes around noon................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 28, 2012 Author Share Posted November 28, 2012 Looks like a real winter wonderland, good for you! I had about 2" here, with temps a couple of degrees warmer it was quite as plastered as there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Interesting little event for Friday night-Saturday - wonder if parts of the Hudson Valley could get a quick coating-1", perhaps a bit higher, with this, assuming it verifies. GFS, CMC, NAM support it while the ECM shows almost nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Is this the same ECM that showed a whiff with the last event? Its a good model but not always gonna be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Is this the same ECM that showed a whiff with the last event? Its a good model but not always gonna be right. Agreed - that was my main issue with the ECM for the last storm, just because it nailed Sandy doesn't mean it's always the most reliable model. It was way too far west with the early November snowstorm and too suppressed with the recent storm in the medium range. It's not impossible that there won't be much precipitation from this, but I'd expect at least something closer to the GFS with snow showers and some light accumulations, which is reasonably drier than the NAM which was too wet for the last event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Agreed - that was my main issue with the ECM for the last storm, just because it nailed Sandy doesn't mean it's always the most reliable model. It was way too far west with the early November snowstorm and too suppressed with the recent storm in the medium range. It's not impossible that there won't be much precipitation from this, but I'd expect at least something closer to the GFS with snow showers and some light accumulations, which is reasonably drier than the NAM which was too wet for the last event. Yeah I agree.. Don't see this producing much. Maybe C-1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Getting an unexpected moderate LES band here... I don't recall snow being in the forecast for tonight. Instead, it's snowing moderately with a coating on all surfaces - this is more than I had with yesterday's event and 11/7 combined. I haven't seen it snow this heavily since January in NE NJ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Snowing lightly now, dusting on all surfaces so far. Might see up to a coating, perhaps 1/2 inch, but it's moving rather quickly based on the radar. If nothing else forms behind this band it may already be over later tonight as opposed to 12 PM tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Ended up better than I thought, measured nearly an inch of snow. I assume higher ratios were involved since liquid equivalent precip didn't reach 0.1", temps were 21-22 degrees throughout the event. Finally got my first inch after 9 traces with 2 of them dustings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 1, 2012 Author Share Posted December 1, 2012 Ended up better than I thought, measured nearly an inch of snow. I assume higher ratios were involved since liquid equivalent precip didn't reach 0.1", temps were 21-22 degrees throughout the event. Finally got my first inch after 9 traces with 2 of them dustings. Good for you. Nothing but a few weenie flakes around here but a wintry looking sky for sure. After a break over the next few days or so the pattern is looking once again more winter like. Certainly a different feel this year versus last! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Not even a flake here but it sure feels wintry outside.. Looks like things are gonna get interesting after this little mild stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Good for you. Nothing but a few weenie flakes around here but a wintry looking sky for sure. After a break over the next few days or so the pattern is looking once again more winter like. Certainly a different feel this year versus last! It wasn't anything major but at least enough to get me back in winter mode. 12z ECM still has the fantasy snowstorm at hour 240, it's going to change again given the time range but perhaps we could see a small window of opportunity in the pattern to get a storm, possibly a snowstorm. The pattern overall excluding the 12/10 ECM storm is still not too impressive but I like our chances of getting into an actual winter pattern much more than last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 2, 2012 Author Share Posted December 2, 2012 It wasn't anything major but at least enough to get me back in winter mode. 12z ECM still has the fantasy snowstorm at hour 240, it's going to change again given the time range but perhaps we could see a small window of opportunity in the pattern to get a storm, possibly a snowstorm. The pattern overall excluding the 12/10 ECM storm is still not too impressive but I like our chances of getting into an actual winter pattern much more than last year. The way I look at it, the pattern looks much better than last year so it's a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 19.6/10F already, under very clear skies. Coldest night of the year so far possibly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 21.7/18 here.. Gonna have to drop into the mid-teens for it to be the coldest night of the yr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 If the latest models are of any indication, the pattern would be quite favorable after the 15th or so, especially for the Northeast with a gradient type pattern apparently setting up. While the models obviously are going to keep changing back and forth, I have some hope for the 2nd half of the month to finally have more cold and snow chances. At least the models actually have snowstorms in their "fantasy range" this year, especially tonight's 0z CMC/GFS runs; last year barely even had that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 7, 2012 Author Share Posted December 7, 2012 .Freezing Rain Advisory In Effect Until 11 AM EST This Morning... The National Weather Service In Upton Has Issued A Freezing Rain Advisory...Which Is In Effect Until 11 AM EST This Morning. * Locations...Orange County Ny And Western Passaic County In Nj * Hazard Types...Light Freezing Rain. * Ice Accumulations...A Trace To A Couple Hundredths Of An Inch. * Temperatures...In The Mid To Upper 20S. * Timing...Through 11 AM. * Impacts...There May Be A Light Accumulation Of Ice On Untreated Surfaces Making For Slippery Travel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Surprising how the upper atmosphere warmed up so quickly since yesterday so that you have to go to the Canadian border to support even sleet early this morning after the past cold, dry 24 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 7, 2012 Author Share Posted December 7, 2012 Surprising how the upper atmosphere warmed up so quickly since yesterday so that you have to go to the Canadian border to support even sleet early this morning after the past cold, dry 24 hrs. Reports of accidents starting to come in now, 17M is closed in Goshen for one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Yeah pretty slick on this side. Temp just rose above freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidHudsonWeather.com Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Thanks to IrishRob17 for introducing me to these forums.... Current Wx pattern is rather boring... no prospects of a significant storm... no threat of snow. Anyone want to step up to the plate and predict "if" and "when" this -NAO and -AO finally start to pay some winter dividends (for our area)? It's only Dec 10th and I've gotta keep the faith... I'm even confident of a White Christmas... so what does everyone else think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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