IrishRob17 Posted November 6, 2012 Author Share Posted November 6, 2012 Here we go again.. Nice little snowstorm for our area on the 12z EC Sticking with your 1-3"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 This looks like a snowstorm for the southern and possibly central Hudson Valley. By the time anything gets towards Albany it will weaken after the storm occludes, and I wouldn't be surprised if the modeled band of light-mod snow stops its northward progression not far to my south, with not much more than flakes here. snywx's call of 1-3" from a few days ago sounds reasonable IMO for the central and southern Hudson Valley, but could be raised a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Sticking with your 1-3"? Well that would be a fail if this map verifies lol smh.. 18z NAM Snow Map Uploaded with ImageShack.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ067&warncounty=NYC071&firewxzone=NYZ067&local_place1=&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Model guidance as inconsistent as ever... NAM makes yet another short range NW shift, Hudson Valley gets slammed this run before changing over and even Albany enters into the moderate precipitation. FWIW, the 18z RGEM was noticeably more NW as well, but it frequently fluctuates. Just when I hoped we were finally close to settling down on a single solution... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Uploaded with ImageShack.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1217 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012 ...SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT... NJZ002-NYZ067-068-080130- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-121108T1100Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM- 1217 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... * LOCATIONS...ORANGE...PUTNAM...AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 800 FEET. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. * TIMING...THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * IMPACTS...A COMBINATION OF SNOW...GUSTY WINDS...AND TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING COULD MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS COMBINATION ALSO COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 7, 2012 Author Share Posted November 7, 2012 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2106.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ064&warncounty=NYC111&firewxzone=NYZ064&local_place1=&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory WWA for Lower to Mid-Hudson Valley Areas. 2-6" with 4-8" in higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md2106.html Just starting on the east side here Rob. Light snow with a n/e wind around 10-15 with a gust or two in the 20's. Temp at 37. Just took the snow shovel out of the shed. http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=OKX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=41.47019958&lon=-74.07006073&label=New%20Windsor,%20NY&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Just started snowing lightly in Poughkeepsie, temp outside is 35. Looks like that main band is having a hard time moving west. Must be hitting a lot of dry air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Flurries just started here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Nothing here as expected right now. Should probably get flurries later today but I'm not expecting much more. Strangely, NWS Albany only has a 40% chance of light rain/snow but somehow expects accumulations of 1-2" tonight with additional "up to 1/2 inch" accumulations today and tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 It truly is comical how this area continues to be fringed.. I have seen maybe 5 flakes. Doesn't look like its gonna make it this far west. Thankfully its only early Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Yeah the bands are having a hard time making it further west. I think the push will happen soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Yeah the bands are having a hard time making it further west. I think the push will happen soon. Chances are pretty slim.. Line is hitting a wall around the Rockland/Orange border. This is gonna be one of those storms that you go from cloudy to heavy snow within 2 miles.. I expect them to downgrade the advisories for western sections and possibly upgrade to warnings for eastern sections.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Chances are pretty slim.. Line is hitting a wall around the Rockland/Orange border. This is gonna be one of those storms that you go from cloudy to heavy snow within 2 miles.. I expect them to downgrade the advisories for western sections and possibly upgrade to warnings for eastern sections.. Here on the east side, we have a coating on the cars and grass. Comming down moderately now with a temp of 32.7 down 3.0 from the last hour with the heavier snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Yeah, looking at 18z NAM, definitely going to have to downgrade those WWAs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Upton finally saw it.. They did keep the WWA around though Snow. High near 37. North wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Tonight Snow. Low around 32. Breezy, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Upton finally saw it.. They did keep the WWA around though Snow. High near 37. North wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Tonight Snow. Low around 32. Breezy, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. over here on the east side. Late Afternoon Snow. High near 36. Breezy, with a north wind around 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tonight Snow before 2am, then periods of rain and snow between 2am and 5am, then periods of snow after 5am. Low around 32. Breezy, with a north wind 18 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Uptons snowmap as of 4:06 update http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Something definitely seems a bit off with Albany's forecast... Late Afternoon A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 36. North wind around 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tonight A chance of rain and snow before 8pm, then a chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Blustery, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Thursday A chance of rain and snow showers before noon, then a slight chance of rain showers between noon and 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 42. Northwest wind around 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Uptons snowmap as of 4:06 update http://www.erh.noaa....totalprecip.php That snowmap makes sense... If anything its too generous on the westside. I can honestly say we have had only a few flakes.. These sharp gradients are becoming all too familiar now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 7, 2012 Author Share Posted November 7, 2012 About .25 on the car and grass when I left work in Goshen. About the same in east Middletown now at home its a steady snow but just starting to stick. Lower elevation FTL I'm guessing at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 About .25 on the car and grass when I left work in Goshen. About the same in east Middletown now at home its a steady snow but just starting to stick. Lower elevation FTL I'm guessing at home. Actually I think I spoke too soon.. Was just outside with my 6 yr old.. Measured roughly 1" on car tops & grassy surface. Slush on the roads. Moderate snow w/ a temp of 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 30.1/27. 3" on the deck and snowing lightly. Maybe an inch or two on the paved surfaces. Town just made a pass with the salt trucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 30.1/27. 3" on the deck and snowing lightly. Maybe an inch or two on the paved surfaces. Town just made a pass with the salt trucks. Nice! Looks like you guys on that side of the county are in line for a nice 6" event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Nice! Looks like you guys on that side of the county are in line for a nice 6" event.. It was really ripping I little while ago, but has since lightened up. The steady snow only started around 3:15. Good to see you are at least you are getting in on some of the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 7, 2012 Author Share Posted November 7, 2012 Temp dropping, coating in everything here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Lgt Snow w/ a little over an 1" otg.. Hey its early Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 Lgt Snow w/ a little over an 1" otg.. Hey its early Nov. Yeah, I know! Looks great over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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