snywx Posted October 4, 2012 Share Posted October 4, 2012 If this storm came around Halloween again we might have a shot at some frozen precip. 3 weeks makes a world of a difference this time of year.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 4, 2012 Share Posted October 4, 2012 The thickness profiles on the 18z NAM continue to suggest the possibility of a light accumulation of snow above 2000ft on Sunday from NEPA through the Catskills, and into the Berks. It actually looks cold enough to get flakes down to about 1000ft at some point late Sunday, but I'd like to see the model soundings to verify (not yet available). After last October's snowstorm, if the primary models depict the possibility of snow - no matter the season or preceding weather - I assume that it can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Closer inspection of the forecast profiles suggests the wb freezing level never gets much below 900mb, so we'd be looking at a higher summits coating at best. Hedging toward climatology, I bet it trends warmer south of ALB and BGM, but it's certainly the first wintry threat to track for the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 Both GFS and ECM agree on a strong although short blast of cold temperatures next weekend with widespread sub-0C 850mb temps, the latest runs show widespread lows in the 20s in the region. Given typical biases I wouldn't be surprised if this is overdone, even if only a little, although this could be the first widespread frost/freeze event this fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 8, 2012 Share Posted October 8, 2012 Dropped down to 39.4 last night... Currently 44.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 9, 2012 Author Share Posted October 9, 2012 Dropped down to 39.4 last night... Currently 44.7 My low was 37 this morning, not sure how ill do tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted October 10, 2012 Share Posted October 10, 2012 Friday night will easily be the coldest of the season so far. NAM may be overdoing it a bit but 20s and low 30s seem reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 10, 2012 Share Posted October 10, 2012 Friday night will easily be the coldest of the season so far. NAM may be overdoing it a bit but 20s and low 30s seem reasonable. 12Z GFS showed 28* for a low @ MGJ so the NAM has company.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted October 11, 2012 Share Posted October 11, 2012 12Z GFS showed 28* for a low @ MGJ so the NAM has company.. Upper 20s look reasonable for MGJ, I wouldn't be surprised if it may still be a little cool for parts of the region although last night's 0z NAM was probably too cold for more areas with 32 degrees in NE NJ and looks like 26 in NW NJ and Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 11, 2012 Author Share Posted October 11, 2012 Nice. Freeze Watch Expires 9:00 AM EDT on October 13, 2012 Statement as of 3:46 am EDT on October 11, 2012 ... Freeze watch in effect from late Friday night through Saturday morning... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a freeze watch... which is in effect from late Friday night through Saturday morning. * Locations... interior portions of the lower Hudson Valley and southern Connecticut. * Hazards... sub-freezing temperatures. * Temperatures... in the upper 20s to lower 30s. * Timing... after midnight Friday night into Saturday morning. * Impacts... temperatures below freezing could kill crops and sensitive vegetation. Precautionary/preparedness actions... A freeze watch means below freezing temperatures are possible. These conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 11, 2012 Author Share Posted October 11, 2012 Just saw my first flakes of the season <in Lake Placid> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 Gonna be a chilly one tonight.. Already 41 brrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 44/38 here. Growing season looks to end for parts of he area tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 38.7/33 now on this side of the county.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 Made it down to 34.. Currently 49/36.. Cold night on tap for most of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 Got Down to 38 here. 50/42 at the moment. .02" from the earlier showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 Just had a brief gusty downpour with some frozen mixed in. Love this fall type weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 Just had a brief gusty downpour with some frozen mixed in. Love this fall type weather. Had graupel as well on this side.. Gonna be a cold one tonight. 39/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 32/23.. Officially @ freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 32/23.. Officially @ freezing 37.6/27 here. There is still a slight breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 37.6/27 here. There is still a slight breeze. 28/23 now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 13, 2012 Author Share Posted October 13, 2012 Low of 27 here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 25 for a low here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 29 for the low this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 29 for the low this morning. How close are you to the Hudson? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 I was down to 23 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 How close are you to the Hudson? I'm about 4 miles as the crow flies. I wonder if I get some influence from it as minor it might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 I'm about 4 miles as the crow flies. I wonder if I get some influence from it as minor it might be. Its not as minor as you think.. I used to live near the 5 corners in Vails Gate and the temp difference from there and say 5 miles west on 94 is pretty big. You see it often during marginal events. If you have no barrier ( ie. Storm King Mtn) from you and the river you most likely will be influenced by it. I think we have a poster from that area. He might be able to shed some more light on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 Its not as minor as you think.. I used to live near the 5 corners in Vails Gate and the temp difference from there and say 5 miles west on 94 is pretty big. You see it often during marginal events. If you have no barrier ( ie. Storm King Mtn) from you and the river you most likely will be influenced by it. I think we have a poster from that area. He might be able to shed some more light on that. I'm about 2 miles south of 5 corners (off Orrs Mill rd). I never really thought it would have that much of an influence. The poster is Hudsonvalley.....I think he is about a mile or so north of 5 corners. Maybe he can chime in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 16, 2012 Author Share Posted October 16, 2012 Theres some great color out there this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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