IrishRob17 Posted August 10, 2012 Author Share Posted August 10, 2012 Line really blew up as it crossed the thruway in Harriman at 5pm. Crazy lightning and blinding rain had traffic virtually stopped on RT 6 between the Palasades and the top of the mountain overlooking Woodbury Commons That is often a spot for interesting weather in all seasons. Looks like a good soaking heading our way for later this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 That is often a spot for interesting weather in all seasons. Looks like a good soaking heading our way for later this morning. Yeah, good convergence from the frontal related stuff expanding from the west and a tropical slug of moisture ripping due north from off the Jersey coast. They should have quite the party together around NYC and northward. Actually looks like a small low just south of Philly.....getting the party going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 15, 2012 Author Share Posted August 15, 2012 Got caught in some downpour down near Chester, by thd time I got to Goshen there was nothing. Whoever is under that cell is getting pounded with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Not a bad day up here. Partly sunny and mild. I guess it was moderately humid, but certainly not bad. Line really blew up as it crossed the thruway in Harriman at 5pm. Crazy lightning and blinding rain had traffic virtually stopped on RT 6 between the Palasades and the top of the mountain overlooking Woodbury Commons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Not a bad day up here. Partly sunny and mild. I guess it was moderately humid, but certainly not bad. I can't wait for winter to return. While I find the New England forum informative for the storminess, there are a couple of really annoying people over there that post how great 90/75 feels outside......not once, but 30 times a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 16, 2012 Author Share Posted August 16, 2012 I can't wait for winter to return. While I find the New England forum informative for the storminess, there are a couple of really annoying people over there that post how great 90/75 feels outside......not once, but 30 times a day. You noticed that too, eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 18, 2012 Author Share Posted August 18, 2012 Simply a stunning summer day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Don't understand why upton maintains a mostly sunny day here today. Clearly going to be mostly cloudy at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 19, 2012 Author Share Posted August 19, 2012 I think the thought is that the clouds will burn off in a bit. Had a low of 50 here this morning which feels great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Posted my first thoughts on the upcoming winter.............I will have another one in 6 to 8 weeks. http://wx4cast.blogspot.com/2012/08/winter-2012-2013-outlook.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 19, 2012 Author Share Posted August 19, 2012 Posted my first thoughts on the upcoming winter.............I will have another one in 6 to 8 weeks. http://wx4cast.blogspot.com/2012/08/winter-2012-2013-outlook.html Thank you, I did learn a thing or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Thank you, I did learn a thing or two You're welcome...and thank you for taking the time to read it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 48* for a low here.. Felt great!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 I think the thought is that the clouds will burn off in a bit. Had a low of 50 here this morning which feels great. Only problem with that is that these are WAA driven high clouds which don't burn off. They erode when they bump into stronger high pressure to the north which isn't there now despite the cool/dry air, as we are in a broad trough. There really isn't anything to impede the moisture to the south to stream northward. Some breaks later maybe but not mostly sunny. All in all, I think it was a lazy weekend forecast that was clearly evident to see before the morning forecast was issued. My current conditions icon thinks it's sunny too....LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 You're welcome...and thank you for taking the time to read it. Good read and research. And while I am not going dispute your conclusion, (if for nothing else I didn't put in all the obvious time and effort you did) I feel we will have a neutral to neg (at times) NAO and much more amplitude this winter. I think the above normal precip will be in the mid-atlantic and coastal New England, while Northern NE/ NY will be exceptionally cold with less precip. Should be an early lake effect bonanza starting in November though with the warmer than normal lakes and the strong parade of cold fronts I see starting early in Nov. I think we are in for a good old fashion winter in the NE IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 19, 2012 Author Share Posted August 19, 2012 Only problem with that is that these are WAA driven high clouds which don't burn off. They erode when they bump into stronger high pressure to the north which isn't there now despite the cool/dry air, as we are in a broad trough. There really isn't anything to impede the moisture to the south to stream northward. Some breaks later maybe but not mostly sunny. All in all, I think it was a lazy weekend forecast that was clearly evident to see before the morning forecast was issued. My current conditions icon thinks it's sunny too....LOL Good call. I'm here at the Newburgh Brewing Company (great beer and atmosphere) and its been cloudy more than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Nice low of 44 here. Good call. I'm here at the Newburgh Brewing Company (great beer and atmosphere) and its been cloudy more than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Good read and research. And while I am not going dispute your conclusion, (if for nothing else I didn't put in all the obvious time and effort you did) I feel we will have a neutral to neg (at times) NAO and much more amplitude this winter. I think the above normal precip will be in the mid-atlantic and coastal New England, while Northern NE/ NY will be exceptionally cold with less precip. Should be an early lake effect bonanza starting in November though with the warmer than normal lakes and the strong parade of cold fronts I see starting early in Nov. I think we are in for a good old fashion winter in the NE IMHO. I agree if the NAO stays neg.....SENY and SNE would get wacked with coastal storms.....but the lakes as you say will cash in no matter what..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 21, 2012 Author Share Posted August 21, 2012 Another beautiful late summer day, temps around 80 and dews in the 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 21, 2012 Share Posted August 21, 2012 Another beautiful late summer day, temps around 80 and dews in the 50's. Enjoy it now as the tropical reminants parade starts next week............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 21, 2012 Author Share Posted August 21, 2012 Enjoy it now as the tropical reminants parade starts next week............. Dont even mention that yet cause this will be one pissed off guy if the Mount Snow Brewers Festival on Labor Day weekend is cancelled again this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 23, 2012 Author Share Posted August 23, 2012 The real change is obviously still weeks away but this week I've noticed some changing leaves already. The young and weak trees tend to change early but I've noticed it in some healthy appearing trees as well here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 The real change is obviously still weeks away but this week I've noticed some changing leaves already. The young and weak trees tend to change early but I've noticed it in some healthy appearing trees as well here and there. Yeah, I was up at High Point State Park yesterday and one of the trees near the beach was bright red. Couple in my yard are starting on a few branches also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Have you moved down to Monroe full time? Yeah, I was up at High Point State Park yesterday and one of the trees near the beach was bright red. Couple in my yard are starting on a few branches also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Have you moved down to Monroe full time? Yeah, pretty much Rick. I still have my house in Queensbury, but the wife and kids missed the family who all live betwwen Monroe and Brooklyn. I'm hoping that my 800 additional feet of elevation here will offset my loss of latitude. Naturally, it won't make any difference if the 0/850 line is sitting to my north. The elevation makes a difference though. In the 5 min. drive from Exit 16 to my house, I usually lose 2 to as much as 4 degrees. Surprisingly, I haven't needed to throw the A/C on for about a week now. I'm an A/C person too......But dews have been 55-60 and it's been 77-82 by day and 50's at night. Going to take the kids on a Delaware River rafting trip today. Water level is pretty low this time of year so I'm not going to deal with canoe and rocks on the rapids up by ten mile river. Guess I'll just float and eat. Geez, I must be pushing 50 yrs. old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 24, 2012 Author Share Posted August 24, 2012 Your 800 feet will do wonders for you down here in most cases. I just got back from dropping my son off at SUNY Oswego...I think I may do a lake effect chase in a few months...kill two birds with one stone! Ahahaha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Your 800 feet will do wonders for you down here in most cases. I just got back from dropping my son off at SUNY Oswego...I think I may do a lake effect chase in a few months...kill two birds with one stone! Ahahaha! winter, ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 30, 2012 Author Share Posted August 30, 2012 Got down to 49 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Got down to 49 this morning. 48 here...........felt good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Wasn't sure in which thread I should post as I'm not sure if Albany is considered the Hudson Valley, Upstate or both, but it's hot here today, supposed to be 91 degrees. Makes sense that after I escape NE NJ's heat I encounter heat again in Albany. Tuesday looks wet, if not very wet though due to Isaac's remnants: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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