MidlothianWX Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Why is the PD3 thread locked? #notgoingtohappenhowevermuchwewi**** Because it is a 10 day fantasy storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 2 years ago today winter didn't suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Now here's the perfect way to respond to a whining weenie Brad, why do you think the ao/nao are going to "scream positive" and what analysis have you done to feel comfortable in saying that they won't cooperate before it's too late? If they can't give a coherent answer, then tell them to read more/post less and/or 5 post them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Look, we all knew this storm would lamer than a Wes Junker golf game. It's time to move on to the 240 hour next sure thing. I just got back inside after picking my daughter up. I walked from the zipcar to my house in a hoodie and a tanktop and I wasn't cold. It's February 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Look, we all knew this storm would lamer than a Wes Junker golf game. It's time to move on to the 240 hour next sure thing. I just got back inside after picking my daughter up. I walked from the zipcar to my house in a hoodie and a tanktop and I wasn't cold. It's February 10th. Put some pants on man....sheesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Put some pants on man....sheesh We need some snow man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 We need some snow man. Amen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Took the kids out for a ride around the area before bedtime. Had the high beams on for maximum flake effect. Rural roads were clear, but farm fields, fences, grass and trees had a nice coating. One of the best scenes yet during this lackluster winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Excellent WVclimo! All 4 of my kids get stoked with weather. My 7 year olds watch radar and know exactly where we are on the map. I'm rubbing off on them and love it. Being in touch with natural surroundings is becoming more and more rare amd it's a shame. I hope u can hit the sledding hill tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 It would be nice, Bob, if we could get them out there in the morning before the winds come up in the afternoon. Hoping for at least enough to slide on. As much as I hate giving up a year for a poor winter, I feel worse for them. It always snowed every year when I was a kid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 No kids are happy this year. No snow days and not enough snow to build a snowman for most. I thought it was pretty cool that you took a "snow drive" for the kids. I'm all about doin the same thing for mine. It may seem silly to regular folks but it means alot to the little ones. Kids never forget that stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Posted in wrong thread. Oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spud Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 what's the best radar for getting an accurate reading of the precipitation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 That squail sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF CONTROL MODEL THAT JUST CAME OUT HAS A KU FOR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS NOT A JOKE!!! IT PRODUCES A BLIZZARD FOR EVERYONE FROM DC TO BOSTON AS IT BRINGS THE LOW FROM THE GULF COAST ON SATURDAY TO THE DELMARVA ON SUNDAY MORNING AND BOMBS IT THERE TO A 978MB, THEN ONLY SLOWLY MOVES IT ENE FROM THERE ALMOST DUE EAST, KEEPING US IN THE HEAVY DEFORMATION BAND FOR THE ENTIRE DAY ON SUNDAY!! TOTAL PRECIP IS NEAR 2 INCHES AND 850'S ARE BELOW FREEZING FROM DC TO BOSTON THE ENTIRE TIME OF THE STORM. THE ONLY AREA CLOSE BY THAT GETS ABOVE FREEZING AT 850 IS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NJ ALONG THE COAST FOR A SMALL TIME PERIOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF CONTROL MODEL THAT JUST CAME OUT HAS A KU FOR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS NOT A JOKE!!! IT PRODUCES A BLIZZARD FOR EVERYONE FROM DC TO BOSTON AS IT BRINGS THE LOW FROM THE GULF COAST ON SATURDAY TO THE DELMARVA ON SUNDAY MORNING AND BOMBS IT THERE TO A 978MB, THEN ONLY SLOWLY MOVES IT ENE FROM THERE ALMOST DUE EAST, KEEPING US IN THE HEAVY DEFORMATION BAND FOR THE ENTIRE DAY ON SUNDAY!! TOTAL PRECIP IS NEAR 2 INCHES AND 850'S ARE BELOW FREEZING FROM DC TO BOSTON THE ENTIRE TIME OF THE STORM. THE ONLY AREA CLOSE BY THAT GETS ABOVE FREEZING AT 850 IS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NJ ALONG THE COAST FOR A SMALL TIME PERIOD. Calm the f*** down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Calm the f*** down. what's the ecmwf control model? i see nothing of the sort on the op or ens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF CONTROL MODEL THAT JUST CAME OUT HAS A KU FOR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS NOT A JOKE!!! IT PRODUCES A BLIZZARD FOR EVERYONE FROM DC TO BOSTON AS IT BRINGS THE LOW FROM THE GULF COAST ON SATURDAY TO THE DELMARVA ON SUNDAY MORNING AND BOMBS IT THERE TO A 978MB, THEN ONLY SLOWLY MOVES IT ENE FROM THERE ALMOST DUE EAST, KEEPING US IN THE HEAVY DEFORMATION BAND FOR THE ENTIRE DAY ON SUNDAY!! TOTAL PRECIP IS NEAR 2 INCHES AND 850'S ARE BELOW FREEZING FROM DC TO BOSTON THE ENTIRE TIME OF THE STORM. THE ONLY AREA CLOSE BY THAT GETS ABOVE FREEZING AT 850 IS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NJ ALONG THE COAST FOR A SMALL TIME PERIOD. Already looked at the 3HR snowfall maps. Don't judge a storm by the 850 0C line. It's 100% rain for I95. Higher elevations of SNE are the only places that do good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 what's the ecmwf control model? i see nothing of the sort on the op or ens. I'm pretty sure he's going for the Op on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I'm pretty sure he's going for the Op on this one. cool i guess im totally lost then. i might need sleep.. there's a ku in there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Honestly guys, it is worth getting a trial free subscription just to see this. The control run sometimes keys in on things that the operational run does not. You see how close it was today if things worked out just a little differently we could have gotten nailed. The control run of the Euro showed today's potential a week ago very nicely, although things did not come together perfectly. I can tell you that I only watch the control run to see if it is vastly different than the operational run. The control run is like 001 of the GFS ensembles. It is usually very much like the operational run, but when things look very different on the control run it is often a sign that there is potential. It of course does not mean it will work out, but when the control run is vastly different, it is at least a sign that there is potential and that it would only take very small changes to the operational run to produce vastly different results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 took the dog for a walk... holy crap its cold with that wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Are you looking at the control run or the operational run? The control run shows nothing of the sort with a 978mb over the DelMarva wrapping cold air in, but who knows if it will even happen, but I doubt that would be snow if it were to really occur. Already looked at the 3HR snowfall maps. Don't judge a storm by the 850 0C line. It's 100% rain for I95. Higher elevations of SNE are the only places that do good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 As close as it gets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Are you looking at the control run or the operational run? The control run shows nothing of the sort with a 978mb over the DelMarva wrapping cold air in, but who knows if it will even happen, but I doubt that would be snow if it were to really occur. Don't know what the control run is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Don't know what the control run is. The control run of the Euro is just one ensemble member of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF CONTROL MODEL THAT JUST CAME OUT HAS A KU FOR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS NOT A JOKE!!! IT PRODUCES A BLIZZARD FOR EVERYONE FROM DC TO BOSTON AS IT BRINGS THE LOW FROM THE GULF COAST ON SATURDAY TO THE DELMARVA ON SUNDAY MORNING AND BOMBS IT THERE TO A 978MB, THEN ONLY SLOWLY MOVES IT ENE FROM THERE ALMOST DUE EAST, KEEPING US IN THE HEAVY DEFORMATION BAND FOR THE ENTIRE DAY ON SUNDAY!! TOTAL PRECIP IS NEAR 2 INCHES AND 850'S ARE BELOW FREEZING FROM DC TO BOSTON THE ENTIRE TIME OF THE STORM. THE ONLY AREA CLOSE BY THAT GETS ABOVE FREEZING AT 850 IS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NJ ALONG THE COAST FOR A SMALL TIME PERIOD. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Honestly guys, it is worth getting a trial free subscription just to see this. The control run sometimes keys in on things that the operational run does not. You see how close it was today if things worked out just a little differently we could have gotten nailed. The control run of the Euro showed today's potential a week ago very nicely, although things did not come together perfectly. I can tell you that I only watch the control run to see if it is vastly different than the operational run. The control run is like 001 of the GFS ensembles. It is usually very much like the operational run, but when things look very different on the control run it is often a sign that there is potential. It of course does not mean it will work out, but when the control run is vastly different, it is at least a sign that there is potential and that it would only take very small changes to the operational run to produce vastly different results. BB's little brother? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I BELIEVE EVERYTHING I READ IN ALL CAPS I'm kind of kicking myself in a weenie way for not going out and measuring the coating I got this morning -- so as to add it to my 1.5 for the season. Squall today gave me nothing but a weak dusting but was fabulous nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 BB's little brother? I'm learning shyt I've never learned before from him. It is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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