Ellinwood Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Randy's gonna have to buy a boat: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Do we get to count this as a torch? Absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 This winter has not sucked. This winter has swallowed. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 We need to start a new thread. "Looking Forward to Spring..." sounds good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I am telling it like it is. The true hurts sometimes doesn't it? I am very disappointed myself. Constant let downs and to me horrible pattern we have had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Yes, we are coming into a more favorable pattern. I still believe we will get snow. Where we stand now and to what has happend so far has stunk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Correct me if I'm wrong, but in 2009-2010 winter, each of our big snowstorms was preceded by a major snow in Iowa about 5-7 days earlier. If Iowa gets a nice snowfall this week, it may be a signal that our storm is coming about 5-7 days later. I know, this is quite a stretch, but I seem to recall that correlation in the 2009-2010 winter. Disclaimer: I am a snow starved weenie grasping at straws here and I do not have a mathematical formula or even the time necessary to go back and find the exact dates of the Iowa snowfalls prior to each of the DC snowfalls that winter. Just a correlation I seem to recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2012 Author Share Posted January 31, 2012 I am in Stage 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I am in stage 5. resigned to no more snow this season, but hoping for a good severe weather season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Fixed: WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Stage 6. If the weather blows elephant dong medicate by trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2012 Author Share Posted February 1, 2012 The 00z GFS run will be telling (credit to Randy) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Gotta love the real possibility that I may not see heavier snow this winter than I did in York on 10/29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I just saw that parts of Maine are under a WWA for 6-10." I know warning criteria differs by location/CWA, but what the hell is warning criteria up there? I would have thought 6-10" would be considered enough for a warning, even in Northern Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 When in doubt.....go with persistence....no reason to believe anything else until it's sitting on top of your head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I just saw that parts of Maine are under a WWA for 6-10." I know warning criteria differs by location/CWA, but what the hell is warning criteria up there? I would have thought 6-10" would be considered enough for a warning, even in Northern Maine. . Folks in northern Maine are not sissies like mid atlanticers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I just saw that parts of Maine are under a WWA for 6-10." I know warning criteria differs by location/CWA, but what the hell is warning criteria up there? I would have thought 6-10" would be considered enough for a warning, even in Northern Maine. It depends. If it's 6-10" in a 12 hour period, then it is a warning. If it takes longer, then a warning isn't needed unless it's at least 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 It depends. If it's 6-10" in a 12 hour period, then it is a warning. If it takes longer, then a warning isn't needed unless it's at least 10". Interesting that thr DC/Baltimore metro area needs a higher snowfall total that West Virginia and SW Virginia for a Warning. You would think it would be the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Interesting that thr DC/Baltimore metro area needs a higher snowfall total that West Virginia and SW Virginia for a Warning. You would think it would be the opposite. Keep in mind that this is the 24 hour warning criteria. It's much more common to get our snowfalls in 12 hours periods or less so the 12 hr criteria is much more relevant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I'm not even looking at models anymore. Just a quick brush and I move on. For some odd reason, I don't even think I care if it snows this winter. I not not sure I know who I am right now. Maybe I need to take a prozac the size of a frisbee? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I want -20F departures during our climo hottest part of the year to compensate for the last 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Keep in mind that this is the 24 hour warning criteria. It's much more common to get our snowfalls in 12 hours periods or less so the 12 hr criteria is much more relevant we should be in the yellow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I want -20F departures during our climo hottest part of the year to compensate for the last 2 days. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Should have left my sig up. It has torched the last 2 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This. Preferably put the entire month of august into the icebox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This. Preferably put the entire month of august into the icebox. Perhaps RodneyS, Ian or zwyts could answer this since they have such a natural affinity for recalling past weather events, but in the years I've lived in Maryland (81-99, 09-present), I really can't recall periods with -20F departures in summer. I recall often having days like this in winter, but I don't recall any days in late July or early August with lows in the upper 40s and highs in the upper 60s. I remember a few coolish days in June from time to time, but never in the dog dayz of summer in mid July-early August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Worst seasonal forecast ever? Hands down, AccuWeather.com's long-range experts agree that the Midwest and Great Lakes region will be dealt the worst of winter this year. Bitterly cold blasts of arctic air are expected to invade the northern Plains, Midwest and Great Lakes from December through January, while snowfall averages above normal. "A couple of heavy hitters are possible [during this time]," Pastelok said in relation to the snow. http://www.crh.noaa....=78489&source=0 Record Warm Fall and Winter - So Far Based on the preliminary data the period of September 1st 2011 through January 31st 2012 is the warmest for the Fargo Area, the Grand Forks Airport and the University of North Dakota/ NWS location. Below are the tables that tell the story. Fargo Area (ThreadEx Station) Extremes Highest Average Average Temperature degrees F Days: 9/1 - 1/31 Length of period: 153 days Years: 1881-2012 Rank Value Ending Date 1 38.1 2012 2 36.5 2006 3 36.0 1932 4 35.8 2002 5 35.5 1964 6 35.4 1995 7 34.9 1942, 1944 9 34.8 1921 10 34.3 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Worst seasonal forecast ever? Well...the Pacific NW forecast is not bad. In a bit of fairness, CPC also went cold for the northern plains when hugging La Nina climo. But, lest we forget my old buddy at Accuwx who predicted a mass exodus from Chicago after this brutal winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Perhaps RodneyS, Ian or zwyts could answer this since they have such a natural affinity for recalling past weather events, but in the years I've lived in Maryland (81-99, 09-present), I really can't recall periods with -20F departures in summer. I recall often having days like this in winter, but I don't recall any days in late July or early August with lows in the upper 40s and highs in the upper 60s. I remember a few coolish days in June from time to time, but never in the dog dayz of summer in mid July-early August. The standard deviation is so much higher now than in the summer that comparing the magnitude of departures is kind of futile. Just looking at the record low highs in July, there are a lot of low 70s and upper 60s which are -20 departures, but I'm willing to bet those are mostly rainy days where the overnight lows are held up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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