Ian Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 who long till "bee weather ready" becomes annoying. i give it 3 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 well its not even that he added April to the mix, but he also added the "20" part... in previous calls it was always "30+ inches" plus the upward momentum flux was supposed to become an east based phaseology by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 even if bb's call verifies i wont give him credit.. sorry don't punish because he knows more about CC stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 plus the upward momentum flux was supposed to become an east based phaseology by now I'm gonna fire up the DeLorean and run one point twenty-one gigawatts through my flux capacitor and go back to Feb 5th, 2009. I'll bring back some snowballs and pictures. Cya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I'm gonna fire up the DeLorean and run one point twenty-one gigawatts through my flux capacitor and go back to Feb 5th, 2009. I'll bring back some snowballs and pictures. Cya! it'll be more fun if you make it 2/4/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I'm gonna fire up the DeLorean and run one point twenty-one gigawatts through my flux capacitor and go back to Feb 5th, 2009. I'll bring back some snowballs and pictures. Cya! Can you take me back to 12/19/09? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Can you take me back to 12/19/09? Something special happen that day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 soon we can expect 30" between begin april and end june I guess to get 30, we need at 5 four inch or greater events. There have only been 14 such events with a ONI of below -0.6 since 1950. That is almost 35% of the total 4 inch La Nina events from the last 62 years. How likely is that in the period of a 4 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I guess to get 30, we need at 5 four inch or greater events. There have only been 14 such events with a ONI of below -0.6 since 1950. That is almost 35% of the total 4 inch La Nina events from the last 62 years. How likely is that in the period of a 4 weeks. no. just one. one crippling, devastating, snowpocolyptic storm. the odds for one of those is better than 5 four inch ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 no. just one. one crippling, devastating, snowpocolyptic storm. the odds for one of those is better than 5 four inch ones. Yes a top 10 storm in a la nina year, 1996 that's what's coming but that still doesn't get DCA to 30. I think we need the knickerbocker storm plus one other modest event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I guess to get 30, we need at 5 four inch or greater events. There have only been 14 such events with a ONI of below -0.6 since 1950. That is almost 35% of the total 4 inch La Nina events from the last 62 years. How likely is that in the period of a 4 weeks. Not likely. Also, I you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Yes a top 10 storm in a la nina year, 1996 that's what's coming but that still doesn't get DCA to 30. I think we need the knickerbocker storm plus one other modest event. it will happen. the snow ratios will be better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Not likely. Also, I you Ah..... . We need a face that blushes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Ah..... . We need a face that blushes. I copied this from DBM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Yes a top 10 storm in a la nina year, 1996 that's what's coming but that still doesn't get DCA to 30. I think we need the knickerbocker storm plus one other modest event. This made me laugh out loud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I copied this from DBM that's what we need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 it will happen. the snow ratios will be better We had ~2" of liquid for 2/6/10, so just need some 12-15:1 ratios and BOOM! Verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Whether BB's right or not, he's at least giving people something to talk about. And, to be honest, I give him serious props for being willing to go way out on a limb...to a small branch...to a twig...in putting that long-range forecast out there. We all know he gets a ton of sh*t around these parts already, and this just adds fuel to the fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I'm waiting for the models to start showing me what I should hug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2012 Author Share Posted January 26, 2012 Chance for some svr storms tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Whether BB's right or not, he's at least giving people something to talk about. And, to be honest, I give him serious props for being willing to go way out on a limb...to a small branch...to a twig...in putting that long-range forecast out there. We all know he gets a ton of sh*t around these parts already, and this just adds fuel to the fire. personally, im embarrased for him. something is clearly not right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2012 Author Share Posted January 26, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 personally, im embarrased for him. something is clearly not right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 soon we can expect 30" between begin april and end june ...but did his original forecast specify 2012?? Maybe his out is he will say he meant 2013, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 ...but did his original forecast specify 2012?? Maybe his out is he will say he meant 2013, Feb 2012 thru April 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 it'll be more fun if you make it 2/4/10 Damn, I can't even get my own jokes right this winter. yes, that is exactly the day I want to go back to. Can you take me back to 12/19/09? Why, do you want to change your answer to the I do question? ...........rimshot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Feb 2012 thru April 2018 Hmmmmm....... it's a really really tough call......but heck, I'll still take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Why, do you want to change your answer to the I do question? ...........rimshot No way - I just want to do the whole day over again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 No way - I just want to do the whole day over again Awww......I'm a little choked up right now........sniff.......I got 9 years under my belt and still wouldn't change my decision. It's briefly crossed my mind once or twice though..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Awww......I'm a little choked up right now........sniff.......I got 9 years under my belt and still wouldn't change my decision. It's briefly crossed my mind once or twice though..... I'm sure your wife appreciates that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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