Mitchel Volk Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 GFS is faster and flatter that is why NYC gets more snow on this run. The CAD is also stronger too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiksports Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 initialization errors... Don't spoil the fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 The upper level low and associated confluent shortwave over Southeast Canada play a huge role here....farther east this run which causes a west-northwesterly flow at important levels and keeps the storm from driving too far north. Instead it goes east off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 QK says that one of the weather balloons for the 0z run did not deploy correctly causing inhibited feedback, need to toss out this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 What, you moved to phillly? I told John this was going to happen this afternoon....I'm sure he'll share the text with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 QK says that one of the weather balloons for the 0z run did not deploy correctly causing inhibited feedback, need to toss out this run. Qk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It will be interesting to see if this is a burp run of sorts or if the trend is "real" per se. The GFS can do this some times...and be wrong. But it's also at 60 hours now...so it will be interesting to see what happens with the other globals tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I told John this was going to happen this afternoon....I'm sure he'll share the text with you. nah, he doesnt breach confidentiality like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It will be interesting to see if this is a burp run of sorts or if the trend is "real" per se. The GFS can do this some times...and be wrong. But it's also at 60 hours now...so it will be interesting to see what happens with the other globals tonight. I mean lets look at recent history...Euro had storm, lost it mid-range, GFS brings it back, then other models follow...any takers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I mean lets look at recent history...Euro had storm, lost it mid-range, GFS brings it back, then other models follow...any takers? I'm gonna run outside and put the christmas lights back on to get into the festivities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 And the GFS makes me look stupid. But its all alone....for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 And the GFS makes me look stupid. But its all alone....for now. Not for nothing but the NAM shifted a good amount south as well. It isnt as cold as the 0z GFS but a huge improvement from 18z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Not for nothing but the NAM shifted a good amount south as well. It isnt as cold as the 0z GFS but a huge improvement from 18z.. Yea, but mid levels are warm.....hopefully we can pull it off.......still doubting this greatly. gods deliver! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 GGEM looking good through 60, especially with the overrunning precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 UKmet south and snow for the nyc metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Ukie looks very cold and more precip then gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Through 60 hours the GGEM is farther south and much colder than it's 12z run. Not sure what it will do from there but it looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Is there anyhing that will stop this from moving south?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 This has fallen on ukie from hour 66-72 as all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 72 hours on GGEM 1014mb low over Virgina elongated to the northeast. Not even remotely similar to the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Wow, hopefully the trends keep up!! Could see a 5 or 6" swipe for people that stay snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Awesome trends at 00z. It fits the pattern we have been in. Flat and less amplified Question is does this warrant to 6z crew to come out of retirement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Awesome trends at 00z. It fits the pattern we have been in. Flat and less amplified Question is does this warrant to 6z crew to come out of retirement? I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 21f here...not a rinky dink airmass tonight and it will be reinforced tomorrow..... Think Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bass28 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm in Should be in haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 21f here...not a rinky dink airmass tonight and it will be reinforced tomorrow..... Think Snow Check out the DP--im 24/4 right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 21f here...not a rinky dink airmass tonight and it will be reinforced tomorrow..... Think Snow 13.8*/9* up here.. brrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Adding up the ggem, it looks like 12-13mm, which is right around .50" of precip. A solid 4"-6" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Check out the DP--im 24/4 right now... 13.8*/9* up here.. brrr Should be colder early Saturday morning before the snow...... Winter is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Adding up the ggem, it looks like 12-13mm, which is right around .50" of precip. A solid 4"-6" event. Very impressive. I wish this was Friday night. All we need now is the Euro to cooperate though I wouldn't be totally surprised if it didn't completely shift to the colder solutions just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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