Parsley Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 What a difference on the 00z soundings in the Delaware Valley for the front end of the storm compared to 12z and 18z NAMs. Nice front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 well you people better measure the snow once it changes over or clear your snow board. once that sleet comes in 3 inches will become 1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Can we score a touchdown with this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I know in the past the NAM overdoing qpf being a concern, with the cautious interpretation of qpf or clown maps was to generally halve what was shown on a given run. Does anyone feel that applies here or does it seem to be pretty well modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 clownage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Can we score a touchdown with this? you might be able to, but we're gonna need a tebow in OT in snj... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I know in the past the NAM overdoing qpf being a concern, with the cautious interpretation of qpf or clown maps was to generally halve what was shown on a given run. Does anyone feel that applies here or does it seem to be pretty well modeled? swfe are always tough to forecast..i won't feel good till this time tomorrow if its still being modeled the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 clownage me, tony, and maybe gorse too get in on that 4" "nipple" in Burlington county lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 me, tony, and maybe gorse too get in on that 4" "nipple" in Burlington county lol... Me too, barely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 me, tony, and maybe gorse too get in on that 4" "nipple" in Burlington county lol... Yellow is 3-4" on that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 for those who care...0z rgem precip type maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Yellow is 3-4" on that map. I know, and I almost went back and put a tilde in front of the 4, but was too lazy. You're correct to point it out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 gfs through hr 27 is coming in colder so far...high is stronger this run, storm system is further to the south also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Those RGEM maps looked good for a good chunk of the area through the height of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blinkers88 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 gfs through hr 27 is coming in colder so far...high is stronger this run, storm system is further to the south also. sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 philly is just barely hanging on to snow at hr 36...rippin snow most likely bout 5-10 miles north of the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 i95 north and west stays below freezing the whole event on the gfs...snow to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 so glad we are in 0z run mode, 18z mode needs to be voided, always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 i95 north and west stays below freezing the whole event on the gfs...snow to sleet. It looks remarkably like the NAM. 850 line goes just a bit higher later in the storm. But nice to see close agreement on a tricky situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 sv snowfall maps for gfs has 2-4 for everyone from 295 in jersey west...with 4-8 in central pa and susq valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 interior PA appears to be the sweet spot for sure on this GFS run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 i95 north and west stays below freezing the whole event on the gfs...snow to sleet. yeah, it looks like s&e of philly changes over for the bulk of the precip after hr 33... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 yeah, it looks like s&e of philly changes over for the bulk of the precip after hr 33... We need a Canadian model upset down in SJ...then again, probably be staying the night at my brother's in North Brunswick friday night so I expect to wake up to a solid inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I'm glad to see pretty decent agreement between the GFS and NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM Bufkit has 2" at kmiv, roughly 3" at both Kilg and kphl followed by sleet and freezing rain and 5" at krdg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 sv snowfall maps for gfs has 2-4 for everyone from 295 in jersey west...with 4-8 in central pa and susq valley Looking great Tombo! Thanks for your updates! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 what kind of ratios are we anticipating? 10:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 How does the Euro look precip-wise? Looks cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 How does the Euro look precip-wise? Looks cold enough. I get that information but not for about another 45 minutes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Euro is still the driest model. .25-.5" QPF for everybody, although I don't think many locations approach .5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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