Grothar Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 12:10 PM, Sunny and Warm said: Feb 2007. It was just before Valentines Day. Otherwise, I completely agree with your post. Nothing better than shoveling sleet. I think more freezing rain only for the fact that the temps are not below 20 degrees for a prolong period of time like Valentines Day 2007 to produce significant sleet accumalations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 12Z NAM is rain for the entire area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 12:10 PM, Sunny and Warm said: Feb 2007. It was just before Valentines Day. Otherwise, I completely agree with your post. Depends on where you were. In the LV, yeah Feb 07 was probably the big sleet storm, but for the next tier southeast, it was March 07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fsu_wxgirl Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I keep watching for the secondary low to develop in just the right spot and the high pressure in the northeast to weaken and allow the secondary low to ride up the coast. Looks like another case where everything has to time just right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 Unless its a bombogenesis event, South Jersey/Delaware Bay is not a good place for the secondary to develop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Maybe just enough blocking near the Straits on the 12Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 12z GFS is all frozen for most of SE PA except immediate Philly burbs. All snow north of the LV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 It looks good for areas to the west of the city with some elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 3:08 PM, famartin said: Depends on where you were. In the LV, yeah Feb 07 was probably the big sleet storm, but for the next tier southeast, it was March 07. you would be correct. I completely forgot about the "mini" sleetfest in March 07 since we had 5-7" of it in Feb. But now that you mention it, I do recall saying, "not again". Give me snow or rain all day long next to ZR and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 4:15 PM, easternsnowman said: It looks good for areas to the west of the city with some elevation. If you like ice... at 12Z Saturday the 850 mb 0C line on the GFS is already parallel to and along or just north of the PA Turnpike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 12z GFS has me concerned about ice here in the suburbs. It would be a change from rain, but I can never really like ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 4:39 PM, famartin said: If you like ice... at 12Z Saturday the 850 mb 0C line on the GFS is already parallel to and along or just north of the PA Turnpike. classic waa, warms the mid levels up while the surface is cold. gfs looks like a mainly sleet concern for the burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 So it is looking more like ice out here too than snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 what does the arrival time look like at this point for ABE and north? thinking of heading up to blue early saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 5:36 PM, Storm Clouds said: So it is looking more like ice out here too than snow? yea, this is a latitude storm, in terms if you want snow. Further north the colder denser the air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 5:41 PM, tombo82685 said: yea, this is a latitude storm, in terms if you want snow. Further north the colder denser the air Thanks Tombo. Ugh I hate ice! Bad memories... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 wow that ice almost gets down to the city itself, real close....definitely colder than 0z, at least at the surface... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 4:39 PM, famartin said: If you like ice... at 12Z Saturday the 850 mb 0C line on the GFS is already parallel to and along or just north of the PA Turnpike. Yes for this winter it would do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Euro looks to flip with GFS, now warmer than previous runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 5:39 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: what does the arrival time look like at this point for ABE and north? thinking of heading up to blue early saturday. Pre-dawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 6:17 PM, GD0815 said: Euro looks to flip with GFS, now warmer than previous runs... Not much warmer...still all snow in the Poconos and the all-frozen line barely gets past I-78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 6:17 PM, GD0815 said: Euro looks to flip with GFS, now warmer than previous runs... Yeah, its mainly rain at PHL now. Per the Wunderground clown maps... EC has: MPO - 3.2 ABE - 2.6 RDG - 1.3 TTN - 0.9 PHL - 0.1 ILG - 0.1 ACY - 0.0 GED - 0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 6:27 PM, famartin said: Yeah, its mainly rain at PHL now. Per the Wunderground clown maps... EC has: MPO - 3.2 ABE - 2.6 RDG - 1.3 TTN - 0.9 PHL - 0.1 ILG - 0.1 ACY - 0.0 GED - 0.0 If you strike a mean between the 12Z Euro and GFS, I think Ewing or Hopewell looks like the dividing line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 6:27 PM, famartin said: Yeah, its mainly rain at PHL now. Per the Wunderground clown maps... EC has: MPO - 3.2 ABE - 2.6 RDG - 1.3 TTN - 0.9 PHL - 0.1 ILG - 0.1 ACY - 0.0 GED - 0.0 yea it has gotten warmer. I just wonder if models are under doing the surface temp. The high is in a decent spot throughout the event.. the mid level warmth i dont deny one bit it will warm up quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 7:26 PM, tombo82685 said: yea it has gotten warmer. I just wonder if models are under doing the surface temp. The high is in a decent spot throughout the event.. the mid level warmth i dont deny one bit it will warm up quickly. The usual bias, of course, is to warm the surface too fast and mid levels too slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 our best chance (for many/some/notta) since oct.29th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 (waiting for adam to throw more heat towards this system) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Maybe we will get some sleet from this. Where is Rib? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 8:38 PM, MGorse said: Maybe we will get some sleet from this. Where is Rib? Trying keep order in NY thread that is 10 pages compared to this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On 1/18/2012 at 8:47 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: Trying keep order in NY thread that is 10 pages compared to this one. Hmmm, sounds entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.