forkyfork Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'd say it's par for the course. I'm glad you're the one pointing it out as if this flops tonight and we have a disjointed band of snowshowers across the region it'd be worth noting that's essentially what the Euro is showing right now. The 18z NAM...sure it gets to .2"...but what it has is a band of snow and then a lagging band along the south coast that may well be a ghost which leaves us with a 30 mile wide band of "snow"..... If I get a 1/2" here I'll be happy, more than 1.5" and this will have dramatically overperformed in my eyes. The dynamics are there as the guys keep pointing out and many times that's all that matters..... i don't think it ever showed much for new england with this system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 kinda neat - there's a bit of a surface trough / convergence zone south of SNE right now enhancing those snows that are moving up into CT. there's actually a tiny little meso-low out there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Euro or not 3-5" is still a good bet here and if its higher bonus time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Just got home and it's snowing very lightly. I left a call in the ghetto in downtown HFD and could see the clouds to the NE over the hills. Almost looks like a lake effect band when you're looking from a distance i was up at the Tolland post office just a little while ago. Had never actually been up into town, it was really nice. Weenie flakes falling here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Author Share Posted January 19, 2012 kinda neat - there's a bit of a surface trough / convergence zone south of SNE right now enhancing those snows that are moving up into CT. there's actually a tiny little meso-low out there too. Yeah I was thinking there must be some sort of convergence going on to get these snows starting in CT..good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 i don't think it ever showed much for new england with this system How much for NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Author Share Posted January 19, 2012 i was up at the Tolland post office just a little while ago. Had never actually been up into town, it was really nice. Weenie flakes falling here. If you took a left out of that parking lot and went up the long hill..My house is 3 mins from the Post office Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 i don't think it ever showed much for new england with this system We'll see, I think it actually looks kind of healthy right now. Below... kinda neat - there's a bit of a surface trough / convergence zone south of SNE right now enhancing those snows that are moving up into CT. there's actually a tiny little meso-low out there too. Yes and that's part of the key, that's the "inflow" we need to see blossom. Later on the models (Nam/ruc etc) kind of leave a tail behind from Steve up to you and I after this first band moves through and that's where we could end up with 2,3,5" if it all hit right. I like the fact that we're seeing that development so early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Yeah I was thinking there must be some sort of convergence going on to get these snows starting in CT..good stuff It's just some inflow and moisture being picked up on se winds, enhanced by that low. The models hinted at this. This may swing nw and cause you guys to be a mini jackpot area like I mentioned earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Radar outside of that area in wcentral pa looks pretty bleak...would not be surprised at all to see a coating here at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Forky the euro QPF still falls in the 1-3" range with ratios, so not a big deal imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Radar outside of that area in wcentral pa looks pretty bleak...would not be surprised at all to see a coating here at best look at the buffalo radar sir http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=buf&loop=yes squall heaven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Author Share Posted January 19, 2012 It's just some inflow and moisture being picked up on se winds, enhanced by that low. The models hinted at this. This may swing nw and cause you guys to be a mini jackpot area like I mentioned earlier. Nude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 seems the OES showers have ended/ dried out along E MA is this supposed to get going again later or what is less favorable now that has them drying out? phil or scott? much thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Is that a .22 around ORH? I think they're showing accumulatino (not qpf) and that's 2.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 look at the buffalo radar sir http://radar.weather...id=buf&loop=yes squall heaven I saw them and have seen them before look great out that way and then they never quite make across the entire area but maybe they will this time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 look at the buffalo radar sir http://radar.weather...id=buf&loop=yes squall heaven Certainly helps to have a friggin' lake involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Nude A mini-jackpot of 1.4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 it's odd that not a single poster in this forum has mentioned the euro until now... there's always the possibility that it's right It's odd that you're in this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Certainly helps to have a friggin' lake involved. please post more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 seems the OES showers have ended/ dried out along E MA is this supposed to get going again later or what is less favorable now that has them drying out? phil or scott? much thanks Yeah it wasn't meant to continue to blossom I don't think. Sometimes it just comes in waves. The main thing is to transport moisture from the Atlantic, which it is doing. Also, there was a weak s/w earlier that may have helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 seems the OES showers have ended/ dried out along E MA is this supposed to get going again later or what is less favorable now that has them drying out? phil or scott? much thanks they are pretty much done. some of that stuff lurking over CT and south of there could get pushed N and E as the S flow gets established...but for the most part the OES phase of this is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It's odd that you're in this forum. it's either this or the nyc forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 the nyc forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 ccw, no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 ccw, no LOL...why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 LOL...why? i look like an 8 year old compared to all the talent there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm heading out to stock up on bread and milk just to be safe....this could get dangerous later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 i look like an 8 year old compared to all the talent there You look like an 8 year old in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm heading out to stock up on bread and milk just to be safe....this could get dangerous later tonight. I always find that most accidents occur during 'storms' that drop a fresh coating or only an inch. I would know, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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