TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 BTV WRF suggests we don't see the sun again the rest of the afternoon. Looks like off and on showers for the rest of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 BTV WRF suggests we don't see the sun again the rest of the afternoon. Looks like off and on showers for the rest of the day I don't see any clouds where I am lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I don't see any clouds where I am lol Yes cause your in ORH. -sn again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 A favorable bump in the latest GYX map. Go west young man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 The wv loop for the country is pretty sick right now. So many cool features all over the us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I couldn't be less excited about tonight. Hoping it comes together but it's going to be a race as it crosses RI as to whether this gets going or not. Lots of people aren't going to be getting the 2-3" they thought...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I couldn't be less excited about tonight. Hoping it comes together but it's going to be a race as it crosses RI as to whether this gets going or not. Lots of people aren't going to be getting the 2-3" they thought...? Eh, it could be a cool 2-3hrs as the band comes through. Should have great ratios too. I bet someone eeks out 3" or better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Radar says the Tolland masif might be squeezing out some upslope flurries lol Better let the schools out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Eh, it could be a cool 2-3hrs as the band comes through. Should have great ratios too. I bet someone eeks out 3" or better. If it comes together too late I'm holding you personally accountable. The Reverend has had me all amped up for 2-4" since Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I couldn't be less excited about tonight. Hoping it comes together but it's going to be a race as it crosses RI as to whether this gets going or not. Lots of people aren't going to be getting the 2-3" they thought...? really? any snow is good snow, IMO. i think it'll be "pretty good"....generally as advertised i think with a 1-3 type of situation. in some of the winters of this decade i guess we would kind of laugh at this one, but given how deep my snow pack is right now, i'm going to embrace every flake. LOL. given the modeled lift and instability going for it...despite maybe being short-lived it could really come down at a good clip late tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 If I don't get two inches of snow tonight I may become depressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStick Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 most of the meso models are keying in on precip starting ahead of the clipper in the seacoast and york county area of maine Weenie flakes in Portsmouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I couldn't be less excited about tonight. Hoping it comes together but it's going to be a race as it crosses RI as to whether this gets going or not. Lots of people aren't going to be getting the 2-3" they thought...? I was thinking similarly a few days ago, but model guidance continues to have a solid period of strong lift through the SGZ, with forcing for a consolidated band of snow. I think many areas will see 2-3" of very high ratio snow within a 2 hour period tonight. Again, whatever anyway gets will sublimate, melt, and compact to nothing by the afternoon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm not sure how old this map is, but at least it adds a freshness to the existing snowpack (can you actually call 5" of snow a snowpack?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 really? any snow is good snow, IMO. i think it'll be "pretty good"....generally as advertised i think with a 1-3 type of situation. in some of the winters of this decade i guess we would kind of laugh at this one, but given how deep my snow pack is right now, i'm going to embrace every flake. LOL. given the modeled lift and instability going for it...despite maybe being short-lived it could really come down at a good clip late tonight. Below... I was thinking similarly a few days ago, but model guidance continues to have a solid period of strong lift through the SGZ, with forcing for a consolidated band of snow. I think many areas will see 2-3" of very high ratio snow within a 2 hour period tonight. Again, whatever anyway gets will sublimate, melt, and compact to nothing by the afternoon lol I trust you guys, you've all been saying the same things for a few days and I get that. I just get nervous when I see it's a last second deal to some extent...there's not much and then boom on all models a band explodes over us. I just think there's the potential for it to be more banded/choppy/showery and not a solid N/S line so that some get left out. BUT, I'll be up watching because I think it's got the potential to be pretty damn cool. I just want to see consolidation as it's over Steve's head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Nam has a good band moving through central areas from 3-6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Below... I trust you guys, you've all been saying the same things for a few days and I get that. I just get nervous when I see it's a last second deal to some extent...there's not much and then boom on all models a band explodes over us. I just think there's the potential for it to be more banded/choppy/showery and not a solid N/S line so that some get left out. BUT, I'll be up watching because I think it's got the potential to be pretty damn cool. I just want to see consolidation as it's over Steve's head. Well I think 1-3" is fair and if you get more than that..count it as a blessing. So therefore, anything in that range is reasonable imo. I could see some spots getting a bit more if everything came together in the particular region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Well I think 1-3" is fair and if you get more than that..count it as a blessing. So therefore, anything in that range is reasonable imo. I could see some spots getting a bit more if everything came together in the particular region. I'm going with .7 to 1.2 here, not that optimistic but hoping for the best. (think I'm going to bust high, could see us getting less than a 3/4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Author Share Posted January 19, 2012 Just got home and it's snowing very lightly. I left a call in the ghetto in downtown HFD and could see the clouds to the NE over the hills. Almost looks like a lake effect band when you're looking from a distance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Just got home and it's snowing very lightly. I left a call in the ghetto in downtown HFD and could see the clouds to the NE over the hills. Almost looks like a lake effect band when you're looking from a distance That's just smoke from the hobo fires to the NE of Hartford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 That's just smoke from the hobo fires to the NE of Hartford. LOL. You know we're in a crappy winter when this is one of the more active threads in the New England forum. Plus, it has a pinned obs thread to. Granted it will be more active tonight. But........it's no 2010-2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 no mention of the euro? it's really dry... the .1" liquid line goes from the eastern tip of LI to boston and nobody in SNE gets more than that until you go up to vt/nh/maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Author Share Posted January 19, 2012 Scooter..Is this prelim stuff in CT just convergence or a little upslope or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 no mention of the euro? it's really dry... the .1" liquid line goes from the eastern tip of LI to boston and nobody in SNE gets more than that until you go up to vt/nh/maine lol we tossed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 no mention of the euro? it's really dry... the .1" liquid line goes from the eastern tip of LI to boston and nobody in SNE gets more than that until you go up to vt/nh/maine Listen I'm only going to tell you the rules around here one more time. We only use the Euro when it's the snowiest like for Saturday's storm, otherwise it gets tossed. The Euro IMO delivers some showery type, squally snows that aren't a solid band. To me it's a punt for 50%+ of the members here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 no mention of the euro? it's really dry... the .1" liquid line goes from the eastern tip of LI to boston and nobody in SNE gets more than that until you go up to vt/nh/maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Author Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm not sure how old this map is, but at least it adds a freshness to the existing snowpack (can you actually call 5" of snow a snowpack?). Is that a .22 around ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Listen I'm only going to tell you the rules around here one more time. We only use the Euro when it's the snowiest like for Saturday's storm, otherwise it gets tossed. The Euro IMO delivers some showery type, squally snows that aren't a solid band. To me it's a punt for 50%+ of the members here. it's odd that not a single poster in this forum has mentioned the euro until now... there's always the possibility that it's right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 it's odd that not a single poster in this forum has mentioned it until now I'd say it's par for the course. I'm glad you're the one pointing it out as if this flops tonight and we have a disjointed band of snowshowers across the region it'd be worth noting that's essentially what the Euro is showing right now. The 18z NAM...sure it gets to .2"...but what it has is a band of snow and then a lagging band along the south coast that may well be a ghost which leaves us with a 30 mile wide band of "snow"..... If I get a 1/2" here I'll be happy, more than 1.5" and this will have dramatically overperformed in my eyes. The dynamics are there as the guys keep pointing out and many times that's all that matters..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 i'd put my money on scott anyday . seems this is a robust little system with some dynamics and i'm not sure how the global euro picks up on these factors or others that may be relevant with the period of snow tonite btw what did the euro show yesterday or last nite with the sytem (i would hope that it showed more) based on your comment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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