ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 LOL that band plus what's before might verify noyes totals? There isn't much before the band I don't think...that's going to be the main show and probably 90% of the total. There could be some weenie snow for a while before that, but its called weenie snow for a reason...its just light flakes that doesn't accumulate much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Very heavy snows at 6z tonight across eastern SNE. a lot of models have a good burst swinging through. that's a composite reflectivity product so it's kind of a weenie thing though. either way, any snow > not snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Author Share Posted January 19, 2012 Looks like snow starts in Ct around 7:00 or 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Looks like snow starts in Ct around 7:00 or 8 Yeah...you might be able to see a few flurries before bedtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 There isn't much before the band I don't think...that's going to be the main show and probably 90% of the total. There could be some weenie snow for a while before that, but its called weenie snow for a reason...its just light flakes that doesn't accumulate much. Agreed. I'm guessing the radar will make it look like the precip is running into an invisible wall as it heads east just before it consolidates into that N-S oriented band, so areas getting the band will see little before and after while areas seeing the early precip will be less likely to glean the benefits of the band. The band itself should be quite enjoyable, though. Yesterday's sim radar runs looked like it would not get going until it was east of here, but now it looks like we get a nice punch out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 a lot of models have a good burst swinging through. that's a composite reflectivity product so it's kind of a weenie thing though. either way, any snow > not snowing Yes indeed, not a huge synoptic event but ripping for an hour or so. Still impressive TTs showing up. Wish it was daytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Flurries about to invade cape ann on tdwr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Agreed. I'm guessing the radar will make it look like the precip is running into an invisible wall as it heads east just before it consolidates into that N-S oriented band, so areas getting the band will see little before and after while areas seeing the early precip will be less likely to glean the benefits of the band. The band itself should be quite enjoyable, though. Yesterday's sim radar runs looked like it would not get going until it was east of here, but now it looks like we get a nice punch out of it. 2 mile to 1/8 for 15 mins TStorm style, maybe that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Sorry CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 cAn you post what that shows for total qpf? I can never find that thing on their website It only does 24 hour QPF and this is the 6z run from this morning... so you can't cover the whole event with one QPF map as 6z tonight it will be moving into eastern areas. Overall QPF is pretty light, but generally 0.1-0.2" of fluffy snow. It really hammers western Maine tonight though. Through 06z tonight: After 06z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It will be RIPPING snow... for about 30 minutes...somewhere over Scooter's fanny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Sorry CT LOL your geography FTL, I have as much as you on that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 a lot of models have a good burst swinging through. that's a composite reflectivity product so it's kind of a weenie thing though. either way, any snow > not snowing Yeah definitely. I always forget that because up here we only use the composite radar so I've gotten used to what that usually translates to the surface in the mountains. Base radar up here is useless out of BTV. But when the composite goes 30-40dbz up here we usually get solid 1-2"/hr snows... not sure how composite radar translates to the surface in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Sorry CT Works for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 LOL your geography FTL, I have as much as you on that map. LOL my geography? I know where the CT border is lol. Sorry let me rephrase, "Parts of CT ftl" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Those new BOX snowfall maps are so ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 MAZ002-192100- WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 715 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 .TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. Sky cover forecast a big time fail--overcast since about 8:00a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 LOL my geography? I know where the CT border is lol. Sorry let me rephrase, "Parts of CT ftl" Better but what was the point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Those new BOX snowfall maps are so ugly Yeah I like the old ones better. If you're in a range it gives you an idea of what side of the range for a particular location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Those new BOX snowfall maps are so ugly Yeah, I miss the old (smoother, if louder) clown maps from last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Better but what was the point. Actually I was joking b/c I was surprised BOX was so low for CT...I didn't think the BL problems would be major. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Actually I was joking b/c I was surprised BOX was so low for CT...I didn't think the BL problems would be major. There could def be a bit of a hole in the snow in central/southern CT before the band intensifies to the east....some of the guidance has been showing it, but its not always certain. These little snow burstscan be tough to predict...especially near where they really start to ramp up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 That band of 1-2 hr snows may be the main show. Looks relaitvely broad on radar now, so maybe broad area of very light snows aside from the one band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Very heavy snows at 6z tonight across eastern SNE. I approve of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm still waiting for that 4-8 to show up on one of those maps that Kevin promised us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Nice burst on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 GFS looks like it drives a nice LLJ plume of moisture into CT, ctrl MA, and RI on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Nice quick burst. It's over in western mass by 1am this run. Could be starting in western areas by 5-6 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 While people are talking about ern areas, we may have to watch for a mini jackpot in the se flow over CT and GC east into ORH and maybe RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 While people are talking about ern areas, we may have to watch for a mini jackpot in the se flow over CT and GC east into ORH and maybe RI. Agreed. With ratios likely to be pretty good (12:1 at least, maybe 15:1 or even 18:1?) I'll be disappointed with less than 2" despite the BOX snow map. We could be looking at a disproportionally high impact on roadways if it comes in as a wall between 5-6 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.