RI Rob Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Matty Noyes thinks 4" for you But 2-3 sounds good 4 would be nice but I'll keep it on the low end for now. A surprise is usually a nice thing =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm thinking 2 maybe 3 in northern RI? Sound right? Yea looks like a repeat , liking this week a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I am glad you mentioned the instability. I saw some TTs approaching 60 on a few bufkit profiles the other day. Notice the SREF probabilities for snow are exceptionally high along with the strong +MPV anomalies with the front they are producing. Snow squall heaven ... Pants tent, naked as a Maine Jaybird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Been on the road all day and was surprised to see my point and click from Box offering 2-4" tomorrow night. Drove Rt 2 Greenfield to Cambridge and back and I was a little surprised by the lack of snow cover east of the River, even through Orange, Gardenr etc. Must have really torched for a while yesterday. Lets hope that gets taken care of tomorrow with fresh cover for all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm thinking 2 maybe 3 in northern RI? Sound right? Yea I am calling for 2-4" for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 yeah new NAM would be a good - by 2011/2012 standards - snow event out here. several inches by the looks of it. it's also finally saturating the lower levels of the column tomorrow like the GFS has been doing...it's got some good ENE flow and some ocean induced CAPE...still looks like a shot at some flakes tomorrow...could see that sneaking westward a bit too in SE MA maybe up to BOS as well. GFS now actually spitting out measurable during the day too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 gfs looks fantastic for eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It has been sickening. I like some warmth (shudder) in July and August... let it go crazy there and get +5 monthlies then... ...leave my winters alone dammit! Looks good for you eastern folk this go-round It's just so weird isn't it? But that's why we all love living here.... yeah new NAM would be a good - by 2011/2012 standards - snow event out here. several inches by the looks of it. it's also finally saturating the lower levels of the column tomorrow like the GFS has been doing...it's got some good ENE flow and some ocean induced CAPE...still looks like a shot at some flakes tomorrow...could see that sneaking westward a bit too in SE MA maybe up to BOS as well. GFS now actually spitting out measurable during the day too. Phil so you think snow is a go here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 yeah new NAM would be a good - by 2011/2012 standards - snow event out here. several inches by the looks of it. it's also finally saturating the lower levels of the column tomorrow like the GFS has been doing...it's got some good ENE flow and some ocean induced CAPE...still looks like a shot at some flakes tomorrow...could see that sneaking westward a bit too in SE MA maybe up to BOS as well. GFS now actually spitting out measurable during the day too. You talking about Sat? >2" , <6" = 'several' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It's just so weird isn't it? But that's why we all love living here.... Phil so you think snow is a go here? yeah i think we're good for a couple/few inches...might be tough on the far lower cape (CHH) but most of the area should get some - especially over toward your area. i could see some surprise light accumulation happening during the day tomorrow as well...but that's more of wild card. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 You talking about Sat? >2" , <6" = 'several' no, thur pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 My goal (or over/under) is 1.5" tomorrow night and 5" on Saturday. Perhaps a bit lofty for Saturday in this winter, but maybe a little better than 10-1 ratios and we can achieve it. It's just so weird isn't it? But that's why we all love living here.... Phil so you think snow is a go here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 no, thur pm Then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 gfs looks fantastic for eastern areas Uh, it's not showing warmth and sun...what are you talking about? :sun: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 gfs looks fantastic for eastern areas For tmw night....doesn't look like anything special to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Harv 1-3 for everyone but the GC Thursday and said more snow south of Boston than north on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 good luck, weenies!!! hope you fnally get your snow!!! i'll be lurking from a distance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 this week is shaping up very nicely with 3 snow falls (hopefully) more bullish for thursday nite is awesome. just great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Box mentioned ocean effect snows during the day. Nice. Seem bearish on amounts. Too low imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm a little shocked there aren't any winter weather advisory's up yet for the area...perhaps later on this morning we will see them fly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Nice fluff pile for the coast and lakes region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Author Share Posted January 19, 2012 2-4 for all of SNE with Rays area north possible lolli's to 5. Even LL gets a couple inches tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 SPC WRF has a pretty heavy band coming through tonight. It also shows a secondary batch hitting RI and se mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 SPC WRF has a pretty heavy band coming through tonight. It also shows a secondary batch hitting RI and se mass. The heavy band coming through seems to line up fairly well with that ribbon of higher elevated instability working in aloft with TT's briefly spiking close to or into the lower 50's and mlvl lapse rates getting up to around 6.5 C/KM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Box point n click has me at 1-3 WCVB Wsi product has lots of 1-1.5 amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm a little shocked there aren't any winter weather advisory's up yet for the area...perhaps later on this morning we will see them fly. I think you've been influenced by the liberal tossing of the WWA the other day. A general 1-3" (that's my p/c and I think it is pretty much region-wide, no?) should cut it, and the timing of it eliminates their oft-used rationalization of issuance due to impact of timing with rush hour. My two cents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I think you've been influenced by the liberal tossing of the WWA the other day. A general 1-3" (that's my p/c and I think it is pretty much region-wide, no?) should cut it, and the timing of it eliminates their oft-used rationalization of issuance due to impact of timing with rush hour. My two cents. Yeah I agree...I was thinking coating to 2'' region wide with some spot 3'' amounts...was thinking maybe some 4'' totals but didn't add that on my map...this system is moving rather rapidly and we should only be snowing for several hours and I doubt we see 1''+ rates for the entire duration so it could be difficult to see many totals above 3''. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Box point n click has me at 1-3 WCVB Wsi product has lots of 1-1.5 amounts I wouldn't go by that, although it would fall into the snowfall range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Courtesy of our friends at Channel 22. Bless their hearts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Courtesy of our friends at Channel 22. Bless their hearts. Too funny you lamenting going to Costa Rica in mid winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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