MaineJayhawk Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It looks like it has a good burst of lift coming through. I get a good burst of lift when you talk dirty like that. 3" .. I'm locking it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It looks like it has a good burst of lift coming through. timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 new NAM coming in a bit cooler down here...decent QPF too. If it's cold enough 2-4" here, if not, heavy heartbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 If it's cold enough 2-4" here, if not, heavy heartbreak. the only warm layer is at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 NAM has TTs in BOS up to 53 with a nice steep lapse rate right into the snow growth region. We definitely have the potential for some heavier bursts of snow with good snow growth tomorrow night. Hopefully its like Monday night but a little longer lasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Unfortunately Nam looks kind of meh for tomorrow night. Still looks like a decent band will move through with 1-2"+, but I'd be worried if I made a 4-5" call, but we'll see. Who in the hell called for 4-5" tmw night.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 the only warm layer is at the surface. Think it'll be overcome? I'm thinking 2-4 here...with 2 being the most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Who in the hell called for 4-5" tmw night.... Noyes http://www.necn.com/01/18/12/Afternoon-forecast-Cold-air-on-the-move/landing_weather.html?blockID=633758&feedID=4699 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Noyes http://www.necn.com/...758&feedID=4699 Love him to death, but he's Kevin with a degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Who in the hell called for 4-5" tmw night.... Matt Noyes. 4" with possible more for Eastern areas Just saw it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 If it's cold enough 2-4" here, if not, heavy heartbreak. the 12z euro had cooled a couple degrees at the surface as well vs the 00z run. if it's steady precip (like that NAM run implies) and these slightly cooler BL temps verify, we'll be much much better off. otherwise i think it flip/flops between snow and rain etc and has a tough time accumulating much. i like that cooler look to the NAM though and it's got some good VVs developing right overhead. it's "tough" to rain with a ~520 ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Think it'll be overcome? I'm thinking 2-4 here...with 2 being the most likely. 2" is a safe call imo. This is a quick hitter with minimal QPF. Given just enough dynamics and colder upper levels, it should snow nicely overnight. Biggest event for me since Oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Who in the hell called for 4-5" tmw night.... http://www.mattnoyes...plowable-s.html I didn't see it but folks said he was throwing weenies around on the air calling for 4"+ In his blog though... he basically called for 2-4" for SNE with upside if things were to break right (more for downeast maine and much of maine in general). His rationale is super fluffy high ratio snow to make up for slim QPF it seems. Personally I think 2-4" is probably a decent call for much of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 some parts of eastern mass and maine might get that Who in the hell called for 4-5" tmw night.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 3" is what I am going with.. hoping for double that on Sat.. most storms have been trending cooler recently.. so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 This sure beats torch talk... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 NAM has TTs in BOS up to 53 with a nice steep lapse rate right into the snow growth region. We definitely have the potential for some heavier bursts of snow with good snow growth tomorrow night. Hopefully its like Monday night but a little longer lasting. I am glad you mentioned the instability. I saw some TTs approaching 60 on a few bufkit profiles the other day. Notice the SREF probabilities for snow are exceptionally high along with the strong +MPV anomalies with the front they are producing. Snow squall heaven ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 If anyone gets 4-5", it will sublimate, melt, and compact down to nothing by Friday afternoon anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 This sure beats torch talk... We're so accustomed to this years climate it seems "cold" in comparison...despite the fact it's been way above normal most of the month. The torch was here all along. I remember as a kid months being 1 or 2 degrees above being a big deal. We'll likely end up 3+ this month...and it seems almost "seasonable". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 We're so accustomed to this years climate it seems "cold" in comparison...despite the fact it's been way above normal most of the month. The torch was here all along. I remember as a kid months being 1 or 2 degrees above being a big deal. We'll likely end up 3+ this month...and it seems almost "seasonable". It has been sickening. I like some warmth (shudder) in July and August... let it go crazy there and get +5 monthlies then... ...leave my winters alone dammit! Looks good for you eastern folk this go-round Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 timing? Between 03z and 06z or so. I posed some maps that showed it a page back or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 If anyone gets 4-5", it will sublimate, melt, and compact down to nothing by Friday afternoon anyway lol...pixie dust goes poof I will build a big tent to hide my snow from the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 NAM has TTs in BOS up to 53 with a nice steep lapse rate right into the snow growth region. We definitely have the potential for some heavier bursts of snow with good snow growth tomorrow night. Hopefully its like Monday night but a little longer lasting. Yeah there could be a really good band right along the front/occlusion moving east. That's where the LLJ and convergence may get maximized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Between 03z and 06z or so. I posed some maps that showed it a page back or so. Yeah, I found those. Thanks. I'll be with the ski club at Wachusett and won't be leaving school until 8ish. Hopng to avoid sliding up Rte 2 afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I would make a map if I had time. Maybe later on. Pete and GC 2-3" Kevin and CT 1-2" Will and ORH area 2-4" BOS and much of eastern mass 2-4" Maine beaches, lakes region, PWM, 3-6" lower range of numbers Midcoast and downeast 3-6" higher range of numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Models signalling a nice late blooming clipper for Thursday nite. Looks like a 3-5 central SNE event..maybe 4-8 lollis to 10 east Well...not quite there yet. But perhaps better than the 1-2" originally modelled 2" for you and me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I would make a map if I had time. Maybe later on. Pete and GC 2-3" Kevin and CT 1-2" Will and ORH area 2-4" BOS and much of eastern mass 2-4" Maine beaches, lakes region, PWM, 3-6" lower range of numbers Midcoast and downeast 3-6" higher range of numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm thinking 2 maybe 3 in northern RI? Sound right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm thinking 2 maybe 3 in northern RI? Sound right? Matty Noyes thinks 4" for you But 2-3 sounds good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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