ChrisM Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Someone will always measure 3". You have to remember there's a much denser net of people measuring than there was back before the web. And when the government took the bottom inch off of rulers that changed things too. I must be older than you, I'll take Romijn in the Xmen blue suit FTW. I'm 21, different generation I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I thought the GFS was a terrrible model? It is an awful model, but haven't you learned, which ever model puts out the most favorable solution is the model that has the best handle on the evolution of a particular system. Come one man, everyone around here knows that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I'm 21, different generation I suppose. 39. They've proven via science that as we age we find people in our age bracket more attractive. So a guy like Jerry finds Betty White smoking hot (just seeing if he's paying attention). It is an awful model, but haven't you learned, which ever model puts out the most favorable solution is the model that has the best handle on the evolution of a particular system. Come one man, everyone around here knows that. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Could be one of those things where weenie light snow develops from low level waa well ahead of the main area of snow. GFS and even euro sort of hint at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 Snow by evening rush in CT tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Day off FTW tomorrow. Maybe I'll catch a flick at the Capitol tomorrow night. GFS coming in relatively beefy. *QUESTION: Wouldn't placement of the LP prevent anything more than nuisance snows though? I mean its parked NW of Plattsburg, NY. Redevelopment off SNE coast, but that would help ME. What's creating the lift to spit out .2-.3" QPF for SNE. WAA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 That is some pretty nice lift over eastern areas late in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I feel like at some point Thursday Night, the QPF shield will get an injection as it comes east, thanks to Atlantic inflow. Look at the kink in the thickness field just east of BOS by 12z Friday. Strong WAA. Strong 950-850 inflow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I feel like at some point Thursday Night, the QPF shield will get an injection as it comes east, thanks to Atlantic inflow. Look at the kink in the thickness field just east of BOS by 12z Friday. Strong WAA. Strong 950-850 inflow. Bingo! Got the answer to my question. Couple inches more likely now for most. Maybe eastern areas get a bit luckier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I feel like at some point Thursday Night, the QPF shield will get an injection as it comes east, thanks to Atlantic inflow. Look at the kink in the thickness field just east of BOS by 12z Friday. Strong WAA. Strong 950-850 inflow. A lot of these southerly flow WAA events do that...there's also a nice little shot of PVA diving in at the last second that catches up with the sfc convergence which could enhance the lift as it exits stage right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Bingo! Got the answer to my question. Couple inches more likely now for most. Maybe eastern areas get a bit luckier. Well it's hard to say who gets the most, but it may be something where the QPF shield becomes more organized and the echoes get more robust as it moves east. Still might be some ptype issues for se areas. GFS also seemed to like GC too. If the 950 inflow gets established..I could see ORH hills and GC maybe getting an extra inch..perhaps kevin too. Just some speculation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 A lot of these southerly flow WAA events do that...there's also a nice little shot of PVA diving in at the last second that catches up with the sfc convergence which could enhance the lift as it exits stage right. Yep, that helps too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Well it's hard to say who gets the most, but it may be something where the QPF shield becomes more organized and the echoes get more robust as it moves east. Still might be some ptype issues for se areas. GFS also seemed to like GC too. If the 950 inflow gets established..I could see ORH hills and GC maybe getting an extra inch..perhaps kevin too. Just some speculation. Yeah...but I could see a forecast calling for a region wide 1-3", less for extreme SE MA/CC. Perfect primer for Saturday's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 I feel like at some point Thursday Night, the QPF shield will get an injection as it comes east, thanks to Atlantic inflow. Look at the kink in the thickness field just east of BOS by 12z Friday. Strong WAA. Strong 950-850 inflow. This is exactly what i was posting to Forky yesterday, There's going to be some nice se inflow on this thing tomorrow night via the Atlantic. One of the reasons why i've been so bullish on a decent event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 The one wind direction where I upslope and get some enhancement is a SE wind..There's no hills to block me from that direction..so i like these kinds of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 The one wind direction where I upslope and get some enhancement is a SE wind..There's no hills to block me from that direction..so i like these kinds of events. Yeah, anything from a southerly direction would upslope for our part of CT. The plateau seems to peak along the MA/CT border and then generally slopes down again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 Yeah, anything from a southerly direction would upslope for our part of CT. The plateau seems to peak along the MA/CT border and then generally slopes down again. We see these types of S or SE upslope events once or twice per winter..It obvosuly has to be a weak sysem coming from the west pulling in some atlantic moisture with a good cold dome in place. We don't need any screaming soueasters lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 euro not very impressive but does have some light snows along the coast well out in advance of this thing...gfs sort of doing the same with it snowing out here tomorrow AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 euro not very impressive but does have some light snows along the coast well out in advance of this thing...gfs sort of doing the same with it snowing out here tomorrow AM. So it lost the .15-.20 it had at 00z? Or is it down to .10 or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 euro not very impressive but does have some light snows along the coast well out in advance of this thing...gfs sort of doing the same with it snowing out here tomorrow AM. There's your 1-3..and then the rest of us get our snow tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Thursday night special sounds like something featured at the golden banana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 euro seems like an inch or 2 at best for tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Thursday night special sounds like something featured at the golden banana lol Isn't that the name of an express train from Boston to Washington DC. Or maybe a song by Lynrd Skynrd? . . .Oh, that's Saturday Night Special. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 tomorrow could be a nice winter day for some areas with mood flakes flying for a good chunk of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 tomorrow could be a nice winter day for some areas with mood flakes flying for a good chunk of the day. Increased sun angle ... noticeably longer days ... Groundhog Day imminent ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 tomorrow could be a nice winter day for some areas with mood flakes flying for a good chunk of the day. Is this cryptic for you are still worried about the BL in your area tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Increased sun angle ... noticeably longer days ... Groundhog Day imminent ... ha ha. well thankfully i think we are about 10 days +/- from turning a big corner on this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Is this cryptic for you are still worried about the BL in your area tomorrow night? no, i'm still worried about the BL some but that had nothing to do with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Gyx pretty bullish for here with 3-5", I am thinking more in line with 2-4" and would be happy if we see that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Well it's hard to say who gets the most, but it may be something where the QPF shield becomes more organized and the echoes get more robust as it moves east. Still might be some ptype issues for se areas. GFS also seemed to like GC too. If the 950 inflow gets established..I could see ORH hills and GC maybe getting an extra inch..perhaps kevin too. Just some speculation. GC will find a way to get the most...you can't go wrong forecasting the hills and mountains to get the most...especially in these garbage seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.