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Jan 20/21 Snow Threat


snowNH

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I don't even care if I mix..just nice to see something modeled. There is a little more room for north trend though I think, but at the same time..snother s/w rides across Quebec which will limit the extent.

Yeah I'd be fine with getting some ice into the snowpack. 2-4 tomorrow nite..maybe another 2-4 then ice..fine with me

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euro has a nasty CAD situation early next week...ice problems for the interior...especialy GC northward....verbatim

Yeah, I mentioned this earlier with the GFS, actually...

The thing is ... let's suppose the GFS solution works out; the hour 84 system peels away, and we are left with deep layer saturable flow into a marginally 0C isothermal sounding...for hours on end. Could be ice off that, too - interesting.

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how accurate are is the snowfall map on the Euro. I was looking at it on Wunderground and seemed pretty good for PVD and points on north. only immediate CT coast and CC had issues at H78

SV Euro has the 32F line up to KTAN-PVD-DXR at 78...by 84 it has the 32F crashing back but the 0C 850 from DXR-Tolland-Ma/Ri border-TAN

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SV Euro has the 32F line up to KTAN-PVD-DXR at 78...by 84 it has the 32F crashing back but the 0C 850 from DXR-Tolland-Ma/Ri border-TAN

really on the edge in Attleboro awfully close. cant afford another north tick. i see rain/ sleet in my future.....and the streak continues. oh well

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I think you'll be ok as of now in Attleboro. Any northward trend from this solution then your screwed.

it was funny I went to google maps and where i am is directly east of KTAN, need that HP to stay or strenghten up a bit, trends have been my undoing all year so why break the patten.

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Here's what the gfs has for ORH...shows how its not as juiced as the euro. I would think the euro would show more.

120121/1200Z 72 VRB01KT 15.3F SNOW 17:1| 0.7||

120121/1500Z 75 09003KT 16.7F SNOW 12:1| 0.6||

120121/1800Z 78 05006KT 18.1F SNOW 8:1| 1.0||

120121/2100Z 81 04011KT 18.1F SNOW 7:1| 1.1||

120122/0000Z 84 01010KT 18.5F SNOW 7:1| 0.3||

..and BOS:

120121/1200Z 72 VRB02KT 19.9F SNOW 9:1| 0.1||

120121/1500Z 75 VRB01KT 21.7F SNOW 13:1| 0.4||

120121/1800Z 78 05006KT 23.0F SNOW 9:1| 0.8||

120121/2100Z 81 04010KT 24.8F SNOW 9:1| 1.7||

120122/0000Z 84 01012KT 26.4F SNOW 5:1| 0.3||

120122/0300Z 87 35013KT 23.9F FZDZ 0:1| 0.0||

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