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Jan 20/21 Snow Threat


snowNH

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Yup--I think even up to me and into SVT will do reasonably well. Unfortuantely, I'm currently at 30K en route to ATL. I'll be salivating at the 12z runs on my connection to CR.

18.4/11 back at the Pit.

Enjoy your Diet Coke in a glass festooned with a yellow umbrella.

0.1" QPF seems to be the norm for my area, so with favorable ratios I'll make a preliminary guess of 1.3" total.

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Yup--I think even up to me and into SVT will do reasonably well. Unfortuantely, I'm currently at 30K en route to ATL. I'll be salivating at the 12z runs on my connection to CR.

18.4/11 back at the Pit.

Try not to be too miserable in costa rica...lol.

Enjoy it and travel safely.

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Looking at BUFKIT for BOS, there are a few areas where theta-e surfaces are upright and even a little folded back, meaning a weak pocket of stability or even instability. So there will probably be a decent weenie band or two.

Also, probably some decent OE over the coast, especially pym county. Probably a CF near BOS too perhaps, but it may be very weak, since the low itself is weak and milder Atlantic inflow is limited.

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So what are you thinking for Dorchester? And how about for Newton? :D

Looking at BUFKIT for BOS, there are a few areas where theta-e surfaces are upright and even a little folded back, meaning a weak pocket of stability or even instability. So there will probably be a decent weenie band or two.

Also, probably some decent OE over the coast, especially pym county. Probably a CF near BOS too perhaps, but it may be very weak, since the low itself is weak and milder Atlantic inflow is limited.

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Looking at BUFKIT for BOS, there are a few areas where theta-e surfaces are upright and even a little folded back, meaning a weak pocket of stability or even instability. So there will probably be a decent weenie band or two.

Also, probably some decent OE over the coast, especially pym county. Probably a CF near BOS too perhaps, but it may be very weak, since the low itself is weak and milder Atlantic inflow is limited.

Here is what I mean. Notice at 18z, as you go up in the atmosphere, you don't see the stratification of those theta-e surfaces. They become almsot upright and even fold back a little. Now it's complicated to explain this, but it implies some possible instability in the mid levels. It doesn't mean TSSN by any means..jsut that there may be an enhancec band or two.

post-33-0-80775700-1327065977.png

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