nzucker Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 NAM at 84h has the high over Vim Toot and the low running out of the OH Valley...definite snow/ice setup. QPF looks weak but obviously subject to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 NAM at 84h has the high over Vim Toot and the low running out of the OH Valley...definite snow/ice setup. Decent antecedent cold too, I feel like we've lacked that this winter with a lot of 40's before precip arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 GFS looks pretty good for a solid snow event that changes to sleet/ZR near the end...esp south of the pike...but who knows where that type of line would set up this far out. The cold in place right before the event is very impressive so I think there is a good chance that this features a lot of frozen precip, even if it trends north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 GFS on board for an advisory event...hopefully the euro comes in with more then the .25 it had at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Yes but it's nice to see the Rev always finding a way to make it snow in his backyard...EURO is right if it's cold and snowy and if it's too warm then it will trend cold and snowy. This is much better than the "it's never ever going to snow again, this ones going to Vim Toot. I hate my life." type of posts we've seen lately I know you aren't stupid, so I'm going to assume that you are purposely being a dick. Give it a rest.....it's obviously easier to assume that perspective when you have a decent snowpack and have witnessed a few good storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 It's like me going into the MA forum and wondering why they were whining, last January....beyond unadvised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Cmc is a rather large snw dump. Best setup we've had since my hollow weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Cmc is a rather large snw dump. Best setup we've had since my hollow weenie. Yeah that is low end warning criteria snow for most of SNE...pretty nice looking. I'll be happy with advisory, but will hope this trends a little juicier on the qpf while the high really keeps that cold air entrenched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I saw Harvey at the end of the 11pm news calling for a cloudy Saturday (no snow). Just looked at some guidance. What did/is he looking at? I see an advisory-low end warning snow on most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I saw Harvey at the end of the 11pm news calling for a cloudy Saturday (no snow). Just looked at some guidance. What did/is he looking at? I see an advisory-low end warning snow on most guidance. Could be just that he didn't want to mention it yet. Honestly with it being day 4/5 I can't blame him the way the public latches on to snow forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I saw Harvey at the end of the 11pm news calling for a cloudy Saturday (no snow). Just looked at some guidance. What did/is he looking at? I see an advisory-low end warning snow on most guidance. Maybe he mentioned the possibility in his segment but didn't feel the need to put it on the forecast graphic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 My guess for this is north trend and increase in QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Maybe he mentioned the possibility in his segment but didn't feel the need to put it on the forecast graphic? Not sure...I saw the broadcast's closing and he said...no storm Saturday. Now looks to mostly cloudy, but dry. Maybe I misheard him? :confused: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 00z Euro looks like a low end warning criteria snowfall for most of SNE...save maybe the south coast where it would probably mix after snow to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 00z Euro looks like a low end warning criteria snowfall for most of SNE...save maybe the south coast where it would probably mix after snow to start. I know it's the wrong thread, but it looks like it trended more snowy for Thursday night too. Esp. for E MA/RI. Few inches within the realm of possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Biggest concern looking at the upper air pattern is what is going to stop a north trend. The cold air is quite deep and the high is in a good spot, so there's probably going to be a good thump of snow even if it trends 100 miles north, but then it could introduce a lot of icing and IP concerns. At any rate, a lot of features in this system looks like the classic SWFEs we had from '07-'09. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 maybe our swfe pattern is arriving....just got into London so I'll miss thursday but land on midday Sat! off to sleep a couple hours before work. thanks for hte euro update! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Biggest concern looking at the upper air pattern is what is going to stop a north trend. The cold air is quite deep and the high is in a good spot, so there's probably going to be a good thump of snow even if it trends 100 miles north, but then it could introduce a lot of icing and IP concerns. At any rate, a lot of features in this system looks like the classic SWFEs we had from '07-'09. Congrats, Dendrite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Ensembles looked good for this event and beyond in the 11-15 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Box hitting mixed precip really hard for all but northern ma and southern nh on Saturday's event...and yesterday it was the heaviest snow south of the pike lol Have things really trended warmer that much that fast? Just as I was starting to get sucked in lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 06z GFS still looking good...interestingly, it hints at a possible solid ice storm for the interior around D6. Anyways, back to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 06z GFS still looking good...interestingly, it hints at a possible solid ice storm for the interior around D6. Anyways, back to bed. LOL..... BTW, so much for the torch coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Euro is very cold for Saturday, all the way to the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Winter is arriving, just one month late. Big, big March incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Euro is very cold for Saturday, all the way to the cape. yeah it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Funny thing is we had foxboro 60 and sunny Sunday. Now it looks like 30s with visible snow in the sidelines. First major torch that may be heading to failure....or at least a not insignificant delay. I like where we're going. Scott...you alluded to euro ens looking good in the long range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Funny thing is we had foxboro 60 and sunny Sunday. Now it looks like 30s with visible snow in the sidelines. First major torch that may be heading to failure....or at least a not insignificant delay. I like where we're going. Scott...you alluded to euro ens looking good in the long range? Yeah they started to look better. Still may get ugly for a day or so later next week, but after that..we get some ridging over the Davis Straits, and The Pac slowly improves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Man..can you guys believe this? What once looked to be a nasty nasty torch..has turned into 3 snowstorms this week and a possible ice storm next week..with maybe one slightly mild day.. This is like winters of old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Man..can you guys believe this? What once looked to be a nasty nasty torch..has turned into 3 snowstorms this week and a possible ice storm next week..with maybe one slightly mild day.. This is like winters of old When we get a cold dump into Canada (courtesy of the current AK ridging) and then an arctic high situates itself in northern Maine and Quebec...it can be extremely pesky to get rid of that air mass...lot of torches coming out of the plains run into that wall and are ineffective. We might break into a couple of mild days next week, but its certainly looking nothing like it did several days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 what happened to all the guys talking about the torch next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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