Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 southern CT gets into the lower 50's...52-54F. You're forecasting 50's off the GFS 5 days in advance in a CAD situation..Ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 You're forecasting 50's off the GFS 5 days in advance in a CAD situation..Ok That's not a CAD situation and it's kind of hard to get CAD with a flow that is south/southeast. Here's your 2M temps for 1:00 PM Monday 10M winds: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Euro has it too Kev. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Euro has it too Kev. It won't end up like that and I think you have that in the back of your mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It won't end up like that and I think you have that in the back of your mind I think it's something where you may be in the 30s to low 40s, and then shoot up ahead of the front. I think you will hit 50F, Monday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I think it's something where you may be in the 30s to low 40s, and then shoot up ahead of the front. I think you will hit 50F, Monday evening. As long as we get that weak secondary we def won't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I think it's something where you may be in the 30s to low 40s, and then shoot up ahead of the front. I think you will hit 50F, Monday evening. It's not a bad thing in the long run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It's not a bad thing in the long run. Kevin fears 50F. I've never seen anything like it..lol. Just accept it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Kevin fears 50F. I've never seen anything like it..lol. Just accept it. Does he fear 50 more than sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm glad I won't hit 50...lol 50 is terribke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Does he fear 50 more than sleet? LOL, I don't know. Either way for a good chunk of us, Monday will become mild. Should be stubborn cold in the ORH area and points northwest, but even they will warm eventually..except for maybe GC and SW NH. Luckily for those guys..should be only brief warming, if it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 LOL, I don't know. Either way for a good chunk of us, Monday will become mild. Should be stubborn cold in the ORH area and points northwest, but even they will warm eventually..except for maybe GC and SW NH. Luckily for those guys..should be only brief warming, if it does. I'm fine with a warm day ahead of the front. I'm not looking for snowpack this year. Just give me some crumbs and that appears on the table. Overall I'm ok with where the pattern seems to be going. Just a week ago the consensus was for a 7-10 day torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Kevin fears 50F. I've never seen anything like it..lol. Just accept it. I don't want to lose snowpack..and some ofthe modelling has a weak secondary which would prevent that from happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm fine with a warm day ahead of the front. I'm not looking for snowpack this year. Just give me some crumbs and that appears on the table. Overall I'm ok with where the pattern seems to be going. Just a week ago the consensus was for a 7-10 day torch. Yep, take what we can get. On a side note, seems we will be into Nino status this summer, per models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I don't want to lose snowpack..and some ofthe modelling has a weak secondary which would prevent that from happening Low to the west becomes too strong. It's just not a snow pack winter for most, so lets just enjoy what we get. Hopefully, you'll keep yours on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It'll be interesting to see what happens. Signal is there for cad..Both ideas have merit though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 It'll be interesting to see what happens. Signal is there for cad..Both ideas have merit though There will def be CAD for a long time, but I think the warmth will come into nrn CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 SREFs came back north at 09z...maybe 25 mile bump back to the north with the 0.25" qpf line and also about 10-15 mi with the 0C line at 850. We'll have to see how this goes in the final 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Saturday could be nice for cstl areas too. Maybe a little ocean enhanced snow along with better ratios..if it did verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'm probably way late to the party - but the 6Z suite is much, much colder - NAM is almost all frozen for NYC and GFS looks to be almost all snow, though there could be some pesky warm layers in there, not totally sure. Looks like a nice 3-5" deal, maybe someone can squeeze out 6. Solid advisory event. Also, gotta like where the pattern is heading in the long range. AO heading decidedly negative (hasn't been there despite being advertised), PNA heading toward neutral, as is the NAO. We gnash our teeth for a few days pre-cutter, but pattern thereafter is starting to get this poster intrigued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Euro is def a bit south of 12z...but not nearly as far south as the GFS or GGEM. Most of the region is in line for 3-6" on the Euro with north of the MA/NH border getting less. About what I figured....I think we're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Yep, take what we can get. On a side note, seems we will be into Nino status this summer, per models. Please do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Kevin hasn't made an honest post in a week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 NAM looks like a decent 3-5 kind of deal on Saturday. A little fluff with good dendritic growth/cold atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Nam is really weak on qpf but really cold. Looks like maybe 4-5" jackpot somewhere in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 NAM looks like a decent 3-5 kind of deal on Saturday. A little fluff with good dendritic growth/cold atmosphere. We dedicate this event to Dr Mel, loved the gentle perfect dendrite events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I'd like to see the NAM a bit more amped than it is...but given we are 48-54 hours out, its negligible right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I don't want to lose snowpack..and some ofthe modelling has a weak secondary which would prevent that from happening My question is with 3 days of almost persistent light snows coming up, why's everyone talking about the buzz kill of early next week? So be it if everything ends up melting, nothing you can do about it. Just take the snow the next few days and pile it in the north facing corners of the house. And just enjoy the next 72 hours which will be a treasure in these types of winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 We dedicate this event to Dr Mel, loved the gentle perfect dendrite events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Surface temps in the interior are like 20-22F on the nam...only 26F even in BOS. Probably like a 17F snow for Pete. 3-6" of nice fluffy high ratio snow seems to be the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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