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Jan 20/21 Snow Threat


snowNH

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  On 1/19/2012 at 6:22 PM, snowNH said:

I'm hoping it keeps trending south at this point... no point in having 2 measily inches dirty my car, all of which will just melt over the next couple days.

Keep going south! Unless were getting a 6-12 type deal, I don't really want snow anymore.. no more snow equals an early golf start!

ill take my 3-4 from both storms total. that would be 300% more snow than YTD total

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  On 1/19/2012 at 6:22 PM, weatherMA said:

12z gfs output has more snow for tonight then Saturday...2.6" tonight and 1.9" Saturday...Nam had 2.2" tonight and 2.5" Saturday.

They're in agreement then. I'm just going to enjoy it. I really enjoyed the 2" the other night. Add another .6" and it's even better. Snow is snow. Maybe we squeeze out another inch or two to get 3-4 or 5" out of one.

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  On 1/19/2012 at 6:27 PM, NorEastermass128 said:

I think you'd get 3-4" on Saturday alone. You're in a good spot for that right now if guidance is right. 1-2" tonight and that's a nice 4-6" stretch of a couple days.

Beggars can't be choosers.

absolutely, this winter anything mesurable is a "event" down here. should have known with Irene, we wasted all the juju for the winter.

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  On 1/19/2012 at 6:24 PM, NorEastermass128 said:

They're in agreement then. I'm just going to enjoy it. I really enjoyed the 2" the other night. Add another .6" and it's even better. Snow is snow. Maybe we squeeze out another inch or two to get 3-4 or 5" out of one.

Agreed. I'll take 2" tonight and 2-4" Saturday. Was hoping for more but I'll take what I can get.

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  On 1/19/2012 at 6:22 PM, snowNH said:

I'm hoping it keeps trending south at this point... no point in having 2 measily inches to dirty my car, all of which will just melt over the next couple days.

Keep going south! Unless were getting a 6-12 type deal, I don't really want snow anymore.. no more snow equals an early golf start!

You really need to go away....

...jk

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  On 1/19/2012 at 6:33 PM, HubbDave said:

You really need to go away....

...jk

Lol, Seattle is having a better winter than SNE!!! Nice snowstorm past couple days, now an ice storm!!

Ice storm warning in Seattle

OT: is there anyway to only be 5ppd on the weather side? I wanna freaking post in the sports forum but I can't.. this sucks.. dendrite? Will?

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  On 1/19/2012 at 6:35 PM, snowNH said:

Lol, Seattle is having a better winter than SNE!!! Nice snowstorm past couple days, now an ice storm!!

Ice storm warning in Seattle

Yeah, I saw that. And they have no equipment to handle it.

Golf will be back soon enough at this rate. I'll be skiing in 2 hours in the meantime

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This was written before the south trend at 12z...but still I don't think BOX should be mentioning warning's in their AFD lol.

THE BETTER SW-NE THETAE AXIS REMAINS WELL S

OF NEW ENGLAND. NEVERTHELESS WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY WITH THE

PLAUSIBILITY OF AVG 6 INCH AMNTS THRU THE INTERIOR WITH LESSER AMNTS

ACROSS IMMEDIATE S NEW ENGLAND /WHILE WINTER WX ADV ARE STILL

EXPECTED...MAY SEE A FEW LOCALES EXCEED WINTER STORM WARNING

CRITERIA/

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  On 1/19/2012 at 6:45 PM, weatherMA said:

This was written before the south trend at 12z...but still I don't think BOX should be mentioning warning's in their AFD lol.

THE BETTER SW-NE THETAE AXIS REMAINS WELL S

OF NEW ENGLAND. NEVERTHELESS WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY WITH THE

PLAUSIBILITY OF AVG 6 INCH AMNTS THRU THE INTERIOR WITH LESSER AMNTS

ACROSS IMMEDIATE S NEW ENGLAND /WHILE WINTER WX ADV ARE STILL

EXPECTED...MAY SEE A FEW LOCALES EXCEED WINTER STORM WARNING

CRITERIA/

I think they know what they are doing. High ratio stuff.

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Not as excited about things today as I was yesterday, not only in terms of Saturday's event, but beyond as well. Saturday is probably a 2-3" type deal here in W MA verbatim. It wouldn't surprise me if we can squeeze out another inch or two on top of this if snow growth is good, but QPF wise, things are rather paltry.

The cutter for Monday-Tuesday is God awful...warm, rain, and strong south winds that will obliterate the snowpack for everyone around here; yes, even Peru at 2K. Beyond that things look zonal and boring with weak lows going beneath SNE (like Saturday's event), while the stronger lows cut. Regardless, I'm not on the bring spring bandwagon, and nor will I ever be. I still have hope we can find a way to get a good storm at some point, even it's in mid-April. Anyone who is on the spring, warminista bandwagon should be :banned:

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  On 1/19/2012 at 8:00 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said:

some euro qpf for saturday:

hya: .33

bos: .26

orh: .29

bdl: .35

for orh and bdl - that's falling with temps in the upper 10s/lower 20s. even bos it's mid 20s.

Thanks for the qpf numbers. And yeah even the nam had low 20s for ORH. Maybe Pete can pick up 5-6" because of 20:1 ratios. I remember on eastern people used to mention ratios all the time...its hardly come up lately.

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Several more runs to keep trending north ..absolutely no reason why it wouldn't this winter. Trends screwed me a few times and benefitted NH and ME, but this time I think we have enough breathing room.

  On 1/19/2012 at 8:23 PM, weatherMA said:

Nam is stronger then 12z and north...I think this run will be good for SNE....but its the 18z nam.

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