michsnowfreak Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 yep still nice. Excited for our first real event Hard to believe it with me at 10 inches and you at 15 inches on the season, but this really will be our first widespread significant impact event. Barring major shifts, it looks like solid advisory criteria snowfall, it will be cold and powdery, plows should be out everywhere, unlike the numerous mostly-grass-sticking snows of December and the isolated snow squalls that had some local plows out in various towns in Jan but never area-wide. The closest would be when plows were needed well northwest of Detroit on Nov 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Doesn't look as good for Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I could live with the GFS. Certainly better than the NAM for the QCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 You're going to love the 00Z GGEM then. I could live with the GFS. Certainly better than the NAM for the QCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Doesn't look as good for Toronto. Nope. Although we still get grazed. Love this board, but if this ends up missing us to the south, I'm done for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 00z GFS would be very livable indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Love this board, but if this ends up missing us to the south, I'm done for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I wouldn't mind the 00Z NAM/21Z SREF mean Nope. Although we still get grazed. Love this board, but if this ends up missing us to the south, I'm done for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 GGEM definitely bonkers for the QC and northern IL and northern IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 GGEM definitely bonkers for the QC and northern IL and northern IN. Indeed...of course we're right on the razor's edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 00z GFS p-typing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Indeed...of course we're right on the razor's edge. As it should be. Lots of model differences to sort though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 GGEM definitely bonkers for the QC and northern IL and northern IN. You're going to love the 00Z GGEM then. The GEM has been insistent on slamming this area. Nice, but the Euro has won me over with its performance so far this season. Unless it shifts south I'm not gonna get too excited. I'd hedge my bets further north at this point, but who knows. Still 60+hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Yeah, I'm pretty much fed up. This is the third straight year of this frustration. Mother nature will do what she wants but I'm not going to be a captive audience for a second longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Yeah, I'm pretty much fed up. This is the third straight year of this frustration. Mother nature will do what she wants but I'm not going to be a captive audience for a second longer. I don't buy it. Nobody can stay away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I wouldn't mind the 00Z NAM/21Z SREF mean Those are the models on our side? Lawd help us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Yeah, I'm pretty much fed up. This is the third straight year of this frustration. Mother nature will do what she wants but I'm not going to be a captive audience for a second longer. You will get yours I can feel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Yeah, I'm pretty much fed up. This is the third straight year of this frustration. Mother nature will do what she wants but I'm not going to be a captive audience for a second longer. I feel your pain living in the 90's around here we experienced the same thing for several winters in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Yeah, I'm pretty much fed up. This is the third straight year of this frustration. Mother nature will do what she wants but I'm not going to be a captive audience for a second longer. I understand. Hopefully something breaks right for you soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I don't buy it. Nobody can stay away... Double or nothing on the $20? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Double or nothing on the $20? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I feel your pain living in the 90's around here we experienced the same thing for several winters in a row. We sure did. Been measuring snow since the mid-90s....it looks like two different climates from the 90s to now. Even looking at peak depth. mby 1995-96: 31.3" - peak depth 7" 1996-97: 35.9" - peak depth 6" 1997-98: 27.2" - peak depth 6" 1998-99: 52.1" - peak depth 24" 1999-00: 29.3" - peak depth 7" 2000-01: 47.2" - peak depth 13" 2001-02: 43.1" - peak depth 8" 2002-03: 69.0" - peak depth 11" 2003-04: 38.0" - peak depth 8" 2004-05: 82.1" - peak depth 11" 2005-06: 41.9" - peak depth 9" 2006-07: 36.3" - peak depth 10" 2007-08: 78.2" - peak depth 10" 2008-09: 64.8" - peak depth 14" 2009-10: 46.1" - peak depth 12" 2010-11: 69.4" - peak depth 15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Uncle Ukie looks pretty jacked up with QPF too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Uncle Ukie looks pretty jacked up with QPF too. Hoosier if you could maybe pm me a link or post an image so that I could check out when I arrive home, that is the only model I dont have a good link for ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Hoosier if you could maybe pm me a link or post an image so that I could check out when I arrive home, that is the only model I dont have a good link for ATM. nor do I. Always take others word for it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 What a bad bet Now I'm expecting him to make the same bet every winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 We sure did. Been measuring snow since the mid-90s....it looks like two different climates from the 90s to now. mby 1995-96: 31.3" 1996-97: 35.9" 1997-98: 27.2" 1998-99: 52.1" 1999-00: 29.3" Almost 70" here in 96-97 and more than 55" in 95-96. Even 97-98 which was a horrible winter generally we managed about 45". I take solace in the fact that this type of screwage doesn't happen to me exclusively. Anyway, I'll take my griping to the complaint thread. By no means do I need to be bullseyed on Saturday. Just 2-3" would be fine. Complete whiff is going to send me packing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Uncle Ukie looks pretty jacked up with QPF too. Yeha but farther north in the Euro/NAM camp. Still gets 5 mm (0.20") into Chciago and along I-80 though. Edit: And we probably eek out a few hundredths more 72-84, so put the UKMET down for 0.25"-0.30" for Chicagoland. Not bad given ratios (which should actually verify this time since we won't be dealing with wind). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Hoosier if you could maybe pm me a link or post an image so that I could check out when I arrive home, that is the only model I dont have a good link for ATM. http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=640x480&mo=ukmet≤=sfc&va=prec&in=.1&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=yes&mo=ukmet≤=sfc&va=slp&in=4&pl=ln&ft=h72&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 We sure did. Been measuring snow since the mid-90s....it looks like two different climates from the 90s to now. Even looking at peak depth. mby 1995-96: 31.3" - peak depth 7" 1996-97: 35.9" - peak depth 6" 1997-98: 27.2" - peak depth 6" 2 late March storms saved us or else it would have been horrid numbers. EVERYTHING MISSED it seemed like those years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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