Hoosier Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 This thing is still out in the Pacific so shifting is likely. I'm feeling strangely optimistic for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Long range NAM... EDIT: Not saying the GFS is any better, however... Oh I am not saying the NAM is correct either, but it is following suit with the Euro/GGEM on track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Oh I am not saying the NAM is correct either, but it is following suit with the Euro/GGEM on track True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Even the Euro dropped more than 0.20" on Chicago on its 12z run, so it's not like the GFS is completely crazy. I mean yes, there's a track discrepancy, but even with the farther north track everyone north of LAF is snow verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 0z Canadian looks like roughly 0.25"-0.40" for Chicagoland off the b&w charts. There's a QPF max of 11mm (0.43") somewhere over north central IL between 96 and 108. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 0z Canadian looks like roughly 0.25"-0.40" for Chicagoland off the b&w charts. There's a QPF max of 11mm (0.43") somewhere over north central IL between 96 and 108. What about OKK and LAF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 What about OKK and LAF? http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Through 78 hrs it looks like the Euro might want to come in farther south. A little too early to say for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 17, 2012 Author Share Posted January 17, 2012 Through 78 hrs it looks like the Euro might want to come in farther south. A little too early to say for sure. Def further south through 90hr. Best snows near DSM. Not as wet as the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Def further south through 90hr. Best snows near DSM. Not as wet as the 12z run. Yeah, rather drastic difference on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Yeah, rather drastic difference on this run. Congrats ORD, and, pretty soon, congrats OV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Hey Chi Storm, if you're reading, mind running the QPF for Friday from the Euro? If not that's okay, I'll still love you anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 typical euro to blow one run up and then trend south and weak the next.. looks like a couple inches or so south of the wi/illanoy border - better than nothing i guess and i need laf to pass me up so hopefully it trends wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 0z ECMWF All snow... MSN: 0.01" MKE: 0.01" CID: 0.35" DVN: 0.36" PIA: 0.11" RFD: 0.19" ORD: 0.20" MDW: 0.23" VPZ: 0.24" LAF: 0.18" OKK: 0.23" FWA: 0.22" GRR: 0.01" BTL: 0.05" ADG: 0.10" DTW: 0.05" TDZ: 0.15" CLE: 0.13" Mix... IND: 0.08" (SN/ZR) HAO: 0.15" (ZR) DAY: 0.18" (SN/ZR) CMH: 0.15" (SN/ZR) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 That could fluff up to be xStreamweenies biggest snow event of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Chicago is normally good for at least one of these a winter. LOT IT APPEARS THAT ALTHOUGH THIS WILL BE A RATHER FAST MOVING SYSTEM...THERE WILL BE A SHOT OF GETTING A FAIR AMOUNT OF SNOW ACROSS A PORTION OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE AREA...SETTING THE STAGE FOR A POSSIBLE STRONGLY FORCED FRONTOGENETIC BAND OF SNOW. SNOW RATIOS WOULD ALSO LIKELY BE FAIRLY HIGH...AROUND 20 TO 1 OR POSSIBLY HIGHER IN SOME AREAS AS TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE COLUMN LOOK COLD. BUFFER SOUNDINGS FROM THE GFS SUGGEST AN INCREDIBLY DEEP SATURATED DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER...FROM NEAR THE SURFACE UP TO AROUND 550MB. THIS COULD SET UP EFFICIENT SNOWFALL PRODUCTION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 6z looks pretty good. at 84hr.now what happens ater that we will have to find out 12z... LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 6z looks pretty good. at 84hr.now what happens ater that we will have to find out 12z... LOL Im excited after looking at the 06Z NAM/GFS but the EURO is to far south for anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Chicago is normally good for at least one of these a winter. LOT IT APPEARS THAT ALTHOUGH THIS WILL BE A RATHER FAST MOVING SYSTEM...THERE WILL BE A SHOT OF GETTING A FAIR AMOUNT OF SNOW ACROSS A PORTION OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE AREA...SETTING THE STAGE FOR A POSSIBLE STRONGLY FORCED FRONTOGENETIC BAND OF SNOW. SNOW RATIOS WOULD ALSO LIKELY BE FAIRLY HIGH...AROUND 20 TO 1 OR POSSIBLY HIGHER IN SOME AREAS AS TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE COLUMN LOOK COLD. BUFFER SOUNDINGS FROM THE GFS SUGGEST AN INCREDIBLY DEEP SATURATED DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER...FROM NEAR THE SURFACE UP TO AROUND 550MB. THIS COULD SET UP EFFICIENT SNOWFALL PRODUCTION. Classic LOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Watch this storm fail miserably. lol Although this is probaly the best chance we have had all winter. Wrong, won't fail for SEMI because the torch is scheduled to be lit right on it's heels. Never fails, a natural born "winner" for us over here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Wrong, won't fail for SEMI because the torch is scheduled to be lit right on it's heels. Never fails, a natural born "winner" for us over here.. We have a complaint thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 12z GFS a nice hit (3-5") from LSE to DBQ to ORD to MKE to GRR to FNT. Speck of blue showing up in N IL as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 12z GFS a nice hit (3-5") from LSE to DBQ to ORD to MKE to GRR to FNT. Speck of blue showing up in N IL as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Looks similar to last weeks map. Deja Vu! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Looks similar to last weeks map. Deja Vu! much different setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Best snow chances for the Detroit area all season. GFS shows less "torch" then previous runs behind this storm. Snow could stick around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 GFS is advertising close to 20:1 ratios over the ILL/WI border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 17, 2012 Author Share Posted January 17, 2012 .50" at DPA and .53" at ORD with good ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Best snow chances for the Detroit area all season. GFS shows less "torch" then previous runs behind this storm. Snow could stick around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 17, 2012 Author Share Posted January 17, 2012 GFS is advertising close to 20:1 ratios over the ILL/WI border. from LOT THERE WILL LIKELY BE A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE AREA...SETTING THE STAGE FOR A POSSIBLE STRONGLY FORCED FRONTOGENETIC BAND OF SNOW. SNOW RATIOS WOULD ALSO LIKELY BE FAIRLY HIGH...AROUND 20 TO 1 OR POSSIBLY HIGHER IN SOME AREAS AS TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE COLUMN LOOK COLD. BUFFER SOUNDINGS FROM THE GFS SUGGEST AN INCREDIBLY DEEP SATURATED DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER...FROM NEAR THE SURFACE UP TO AROUND 550MB. THIS COULD SET UP EFFICIENT SNOWFALL PRODUCTION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.