cast4 Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 today was epic weather win. That it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 "Full Worm" moon has produced again, with droves of robins riding this warm surge. And oh yea it was a great day out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 Very nice day (with the exception of the strong breeze). Was able to get some yardwork done in preperation of the all the spring bulbs that will greet us in the weeks to come. Glad to hear others are suffering from muddy yards too. Can't wait for things to dry out.........in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 The low/mid level clouds that the NAM were trying to fire up for today for SE PA aren't there to the extent the model was calling for. I think Philly hits 70 today. Wouldn't shock me to see 75 in Millville or Hammonton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 The low/mid level clouds that the NAM were trying to fire up for today for SE PA aren't there to the extent the model was calling for. I think Philly hits 70 today. Wouldn't shock me to see 75 in Millville or Hammonton. The model bias with this is quite annoying; its like the JMA with winter storms, their only guidance is that it sounds the all clear when its not forecasting it to occur. You think Jack is smiling about this past winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 The low/mid level clouds that the NAM were trying to fire up for today for SE PA aren't there to the extent the model was calling for. I think Philly hits 70 today. Wouldn't shock me to see 75 in Millville or Hammonton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 The model bias with this is quite annoying; its like the JMA with winter storms, their only guidance is that it sounds the all clear when its not forecasting it to occur. You think Jack is smiling about this past winter? Jack probably is getting 80 and sun every day in his heaven. I'm sure he's enjoying his 365 days of warmth. I was kinda concerned that the NAM would ultimately be right since the GFS was showing drizzle and similar setup down in SW Virginia (thought some of that would sneak up the east side of the Apps). Thankfully it looks like we'll at least get some sun through a good chunk of the day. Too bad the record today is 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 Living in mushroom growing country, fire weather is always something we watch for. At least one or two manure\hay fires a season. Even without significant snow melt I cannot envision reading the word drought. My yard as well it still absolutely saturated. I do not recall it being this way for this long of time, ever. I still think we seeing the residual effects of the ridiculous 2011 rainfall. Rainfall totals were unprecedented in some areas and it takes quite a while evaporate that out of the ground. The increasing strength of the sun, lack of tree canopy (for now) and little chance for additional heavy rain should dry things out pretty quickly though I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 Jack probably is getting 80 and sun every day in his heaven. I'm sure he's enjoying his 365 days of warmth. I was kinda concerned that the NAM would ultimately be right since the GFS was showing drizzle and similar setup down in SW Virginia (thought some of that would sneak up the east side of the Apps). Thankfully it looks like we'll at least get some sun through a good chunk of the day. Too bad the record today is 80. I agree, I was concerned about this morning from an aviation perspective for a couple of days, because the gfs had it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 Anyone remember when PHL was last under a drought? I can't remember the summer/year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 Anyone remember when PHL was last under a drought? I can't remember the summer/year. Philadelphia county was under a drought watch Aug. 5, 2011 which quickly disappeared as the monsoon got underway. Drought warning for Philadelphia county was issued Sept. 16, 2010. Looks like last drought emergency was Feb. 12, 2002 due to lack of winter snow (sounds familiar). http://www.pabulletin.com/secure/data/vol32/32-8/291.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 Philadelphia county was under a drought watch Aug. 5, 2011 which quickly disappeared as the monsoon got underway. Drought warning for Philadelphia county was issued Sept. 16, 2010. Looks like last drought emergency was Feb. 12, 2002 due to lack of winter snow (sounds familiar). http://www.pabulletin.com/secure/data/vol32/32-8/291.html 02' sounds familiar. I was thinking more summer long drought rather than a monthly drought. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 62 @ 9:30am, hmmmm......we're going to pay for this in April or May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 Time for a torch thread for obs and such for today and next week's heat wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 62 @ 9:30am, hmmmm......we're going to pay for this in April or May. Bootleg April Fools' snow event? Mega backdoor front screwjob in late April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 8, 2012 Share Posted March 8, 2012 Bootleg April Fools' snow event? Mega backdoor front screwjob in late April? Those both happened last year......I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 Nice little heavy rain line moving through. Winds getting gusty again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 Those both happened last year......I think. Yup. Prom was April 1st, and I had to inform the prom committee of the snow threat after all four 12z models came in with a big hit on Tuesday. The joke ended up being on me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 0.04" from the shower line. down 11 degrees in 40 minutes with the FROPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 Those both happened last year......I think. Snow did...back door a la 2003 (40 degree drop from one day to next) or anything of that ilk really didn't. 4.20 was a fun one though -- 30 degree temp rise in 5 hours. http://classic.wunderground.com/history/airport/KPTW/2011/4/20/DailyHistory.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 Might we see one last bit of pow pow in the Po Po? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 Snow did...back door a la 2003 (40 degree drop from one day to next) or anything of that ilk really didn't. 4.20 was a fun one though -- 30 degree temp rise in 5 hours. http://classic.wunde...ilyHistory.html Wow. 0.07" rain overnight here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 currently snowing in Northern Berks. Off and on with some large flakes mixed in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 rain here now. Temp 43 Wind gust to 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Up in Scranton for the parade today. Beautiful weather. Snow showers here yesterday. Edit^^^ it's freezing out!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Guess what? It's gonna warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 My withdraw from the winter train wreck is officially over, what a gorgeous afternoon for some pick-up b-ball & tennis. Any late season winter surprise would not break my heart but at this point I'm all-in for the seasonal change from warm to warmer. Some general tibits after reviewing the historically warm March records at Philly: Though 1990 isn't one of the top 10 warmest on record the early 3/12-3/17 torch is arguably the most noteworthy warm MAR event, (5) consecutive 80 days & (6) consectutive 70 days look to be the longest on record. What's really interesting is that following the torch there were (3) measurable snowfall events 3 12 1990 83 48 0 0 3 13 1990 84 49 0 0 3 14 1990 85 49 0 0 3 15 1990 81 46 0 0 3 16 1990 80 58 -1 0 3 17 1990 76 51 85 0 1921 is the warmest MAR on record culminating with (3) straight days of 80 on 3/26-28, warmth however really came to an abrupt end on the 28th - must have been a pretty strong cold front blow through, 82 high & 36 low with a 46 degree spread is very impressive for this area, following day was cold with a low of 25 - sensitive foliage probably didn't appreciate that change 3 26 1921 80 56 0 0 3 27 1921 83 50 0 0 3 28 1921 82 36 16 0 3 29 1921 44 25 -1 -1 11 months make up the top 10 warmest March's on record: - (4) yrs were followed by top 10 warm April's - 2010, 1977, 1921 & 1910 - (4) yrs had measurable snowfall the following April - 1921, 1903, 1898 & 2000 - (3) yrs had 90 degree weather the following April - 1977, 1929 & 1903 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Interesting, see text for almost all of the area tomorrow. I'll make a seperate thread for it if a Slight Risk gets issued. DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1153 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012 VALID 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...MIDDLE ATLANTIC... MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF SERN CANADA INTO THE NERN U.S. IN RESPONSE TO A SIGNIFICANT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH AS IT BEGINS TO DIG SEWD LATE IN THE PERIOD. THIS FEATURE WILL UNDOUBTEDLY AID A MOISTENING PROCESS ACROSS THE OH VALLEY DURING THE DAY1 PERIOD THAT WILL BE SHUNTED INTO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC TUESDAY. IT APPEARS SFC DEW POINTS MAY RISE INTO THE MID 50S BY MID DAY AHEAD OF A SFC TROUGH THAT WILL ALIGN ITSELF ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS FROM UPSTATE NY...SWWD INTO WRN VA. AS A RESULT...STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING IS EXPECTED WITHIN A VEERED FLOW REGIME FAVORABLE FOR AMPLE SUNSHINE AND DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION. THE NAM IN PARTICULAR IMPLIES THAT SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP BY 18Z FOR ROBUST UPDRAFTS AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 70F...A BIT COOLER NEAR THE NY BORDER AND WARMER OVER THE DELMARVA. IF SUFFICIENT CONVERGENCE EXISTS ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC BOUNDARY IT WOULD SEEM PLAUSIBLE THAT ISOLATED STRONG TO PERHAPS LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD EMERGE DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY. WILL INTRODUCE 5% PROBS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS SCENARIO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mforty Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 So, I'll be out in Ray's neck of the woods from 3/21 to 3/25 to visit my dad (Golconda, NV). Hopefully, I can bring some of the warmer weather with me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 So, I'll be out in Ray's neck of the woods from 3/21 to 3/25 to visit my dad (Golconda, NV). Hopefully, I can bring some of the warmer weather with me... Wow, what's your dad doing in Golconda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.