snowstormcanuck Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Moisture starved and fast moving, so not a huge threat. But there are some indications that the cold front will feature some enhanced convergence. Maybe a winter time squall line of brief +SN? Also, temps look sufficiently cold for snow regardless of what side of the clipper you're on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 I think someone will get a lot of snow out of the clipper, huge temperature gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 15, 2012 Author Share Posted January 15, 2012 I think someone will get a lot of snow out of the clipper, huge temperature gradient. could be some enhanced amounts NE of the lakes. Generally though, wouldn't look for more than 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 Sfc low track has trended further north (NE of Georgian Bay), which is where the best snows will occur. Another secondary area of enhanced lift along the cold front looks to produce a snowfall maxima just north of I-70 per the GFS although not with the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 A lot of the 18z GEFS members are more robust than the OP GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 A lot of the 18z GEFS members are more robust than the OP GFS They are all below freezing, thats a plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Euro has a good hit from LaCrosse to Milwaukee, and into Michigan. Kind of grazed by it down here. GFS is further south, but would definitely trust the Euro this season at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 A lot of the 18z GEFS members are more robust than the OP GFS I'd certainly take a few of those over the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 0z NAM has a streak of 1" snows from central IL on eastward for Thursday. I'm pretty sure I'm in the right thread with this anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Euro has a good hit from LaCrosse to Milwaukee, and into Michigan. Kind of grazed by it down here. GFS is further south, but would definitely trust the Euro this season at this range. Woops, posted the above in the wrong thread. Meant to put this in the 20th thread lol. This pattern has become so active it's scrambling my brain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 1" of Snow for SEMI is possible before the bigger storm FRI/SAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Maybe we can eek out an inch with this thing. None of the models are great, or even good, but all seem to show some QPF. Better make due, as this is LAF's only chance this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Looks like some accumulating snow along I-80 with the arctic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 First dagger in the Thursday snow for here. lol, I smell a shut out this week for LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 First dagger in the Thursday snow for here. lol, I smell a shut out this week for LAF. This thing should be good for like 0.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 0.5 to 2" looks good for SEMI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 This thing should be good for like 0.8" T-0.5". First and last call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 0z NMM was the lolz with this...0.25" amounts in a thin stripe. Looks like the 12z NAM is north...light amounts, but still something to watch before the main show arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 NAM has measurable amounts (0.10") for northern IN on east through the northern half of OH. YYZ gets some love too. Sticking with my T-0.5" for LAF...if that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 NAM has measurable amounts (0.10") for northern IN on east through the northern half of OH. YYZ gets some love too. Sticking with my T-0.5" for LAF...if that. I'll go with 14 flakes. The ratios don't even look that superb so I'm not expecting any boost there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 my call is for 1.5" with this thing for LAF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 0.5 to 2" looks good for SEMI im thinking much closer to the 0.5". qpf picks up bigtime once you get southeast of the state into N OH and PA. If Friday holds, no worries though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I'll go with 14 flakes. The ratios don't even look that superb so I'm not expecting any boost there Sounds about right. my call is for 1.5" with this thing for LAF lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Will take any snow here, just would like to see some snow before anything that happens Friday/Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Looks like 1-2" of fluff to me for LAF. Models have been pretty consistent in streaking a nice band of snow from southeast Iowa right through the LAF area. RGEM looks especially nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Looks like 1-2" of fluff to me for LAF. Models have been pretty consistent in streaking a nice band of snow from southeast Iowa right through the LAF area. RGEM looks especially nice. Was thinking the same for around here (CMH)? Or am I crazy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Sounds about right. lol get with the program, winter '11/'12 bullish on the regular Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 get with the program, winter '11/'12 bullish on the regular You're freakin' me out with this optimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Was thinking the same for around here (CMH)? Or am I crazy? Yeah looks like it will streak right through there as well. Wouldn't be surprised to see an isolated 3" total in that swath somewhere, but I wouldn't count on it in any given location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 FWIW, Skillings RPM model pegs LAF pretty nicely. http://www.chicagoweathercenter.com/maps/rpm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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