EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Warnings out of PBZ now for 1-4" snow and .25" ice. Then Adv for 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Warnings out of PBZ now for 1-4" snow and .25" ice. LOL, sending half the PBZ coverage straight into warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 LOL, sending half the PBZ coverage straight into warnings. Surprise!!!!!! Only makes me wonder what ctp will do.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM is saying approx 4.5" for KMDT. I'd be more than happy with that. Hoping that holds up 30 miles SE here at KLNS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 LOL, sending half the PBZ coverage straight into warnings. Well, they've busted on just about every event this winter...even one event took down an advisory only to put it up 3 hours later again..we'll see how this goes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Wooooshhh... Sound of this storm and models going over NWS employees heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Surprise!!!!!! Only makes me wonder what ctp will do.... Yea i'm going through thoughts of what their alignment is gonna look like. Pittsburgh's point totals on their snowmap are all within a few tenths of 5 inches in the advisory range and even 3.5" in the city proper. They're def thinking on the colder end of things and not a major warm penetration into SW PA, which has implications for the Laurels. That might mean less freezing rain and potentially not warning criteria ice. Really tough call as the QPF depending on the model skirts either side of that verifying a warning line as all snow. I think CTP would've been better suited by just putting watches up for the coverage area from say about southern Clinton/Lycoming south. I mean they still can, as the storm likely won't be impacting until later Friday evening. That would be my call. I mean its either gonna be a high end advisory (4-6") for all snow regions with the potential of somewhere within the I-80 corridor to have more of a 6-8" type deal with greater than 10:1 ratios or a high impact (advisory snow and ice) event. And then theres the extreme southern tier that may see the 1/4" of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Yea i'm going through thoughts of what their alignment is gonna look like. Pittsburgh's point totals on their snowmap are all within a few tenths of 5 inches in the advisory range and even 3.5" in the city proper. They're def thinking on the colder end of things and not a major warm penetration into SW PA, which has implications for the Laurels. That might mean less freezing rain and potentially not warning criteria ice. Really tough call as the QPF depending on the model skirts either side of that verifying a warning line as all snow. I think CTP would've been better suited by just putting watches up for the coverage area from say about southern Clinton/Lycoming south. I mean they still can, as the storm likely won't be impacting until later Friday evening. That would be my call. I mean its either gonna be a high end advisory (4-6") for all snow regions with the potential of somewhere within the I-80 corridor to have more of a 6-8" type deal with greater than 10:1 ratios or a high impact (advisory snow and ice) event. And then theres the extreme southern tier that may see the 1/4" of ice. 6Z NAM in 15-25 mins will tell a good story of what they should do. If it goes colder ya watches/warnings needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 6Z NAM in 15-25 mins will tell a good story of what they should do. If it goes colder ya watches/warnings needed. I wanna see those 3Z SREFs, they should be out shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 I wanna see those 3Z SREFs, they should be out shortly. Look even more moist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 More %% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 More %% cha-CHING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Oh my...the NAM just went ape sh*t lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Lol, wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 This run of the nam sponsored by Hole E! Deicer brand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Haha...no way are those totals of 10-12 inches going to verify (actually, do those include current snow cover?), but I think a general 6-8 is possible for areas that stay all snow? This run of the nam sponsored by Hole E! Deicer brand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Haha...no way are those totals of 10-12 inches going to verify (actually, do those include current snow cover?), but I think a general 6-8 is possible for areas that stay all snow? Yes it says 6" is already there. So it is more like 6-7" like the rest of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 This run is just excuse me? Tells Euro to go f itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Wow, and I was worried about installing a 6-8" zone in my snowmap? Needless to say I feel better after seeing the 3z SREFs and 6z NAM. Here's the early stab. I trust we'll be seeing some watch/warning expansion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Mag, what time does this look to start in the Pittsburgh area, and finish, for that matter? 8PM-Noon seem like a good timeframe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Finally a all PA event, look at that. Stops right at MD line pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Mag, what time does this look to start in the Pittsburgh area, and finish, for that matter? 8PM-Noon seem like a good timeframe? Yea that should be a pretty reasonable timeframe. Likely one of those quick 12 hour or so events with a 4-6 hour period of the heaviest precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Finally a all PA event, look at that. Stops right at MD line pretty much. Yea an immediate nit pick of my map would be to connect my 3" lines nosing down out of the bottom of the map and connect them skirting them right near the mason-dixon. Ah well, theres 12z to get through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Why bother when it's all gone in a few days! I'd be a little more excited if the pattern would stay consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Why bother when it's all gone in a few days! I'd be a little more excited if the pattern would stay consistent. Please tell me you are not serious.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Yea an immediate nit pick of my map would be to connect my 3" lines nosing down out of the bottom of the map and connect them skirting them right near the mason-dixon. Ah well, theres 12z to get through. Ya a shift 50 miles south would make me feel comfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sunday night freezing rain adv possible as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Please tell me you are not serious.... Sure, this storm is like the Chiefs vs the Packers. It was a great win ie sweet storm, but ultimately it means nothing if you don't make the playoffs. I'm pyched for the storm, but it is all for not with a GLC wipping it all away in a few days, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Alright, it bothered me enough that I redid the lower 3" line real quick on the snow map. No real changes, I was just a lil bit lazy dumping that 3 inch line. Time for bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sure, this storm is like the Chiefs vs the Packers. It was a great win ie sweet storm, but ultimately it means nothing if you don't make the playoffs. I'm pyched for the storm, but it is all for not with a GLC wipping it all away in a few days, Any snow is worth it. Even if it melts the next day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.