MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 GFS has the far southwest mixing at 30 hours and the entire state of PA snowing at 36 ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 When is the start time of tomorrow's storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Chronic Town is a hidden gem. I love that place. Yeah, that's so strange about you getting flurries - you saw my 511 traffic cam....talked to my neighbor when he called to see if we got home okay and he was telling me the snow became heavy when he got home at 5. We got stuck right there where N Atherton ends at Valley Vista and you go to either get on I99 or go the old say over Skytop that cross 550. We skidded off the road right under the highway sign. I was freaked out how bad our car was handling it wasn't like that last winter, but it's so frustrating our Altima with the snow tires was at home. I was out in it a little bit after it finally started snowing good and the roads got slippery fast. It was probably just one of those snowfalls where the snows really slippery plus the pavement gets frozen over underneath the snow. Concrete roadways can be even worse with that it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 OK, I really hate to ask this question, but since I'm presently in Alabama, and am using a cell phone where it's really difficult to read a web page, I'm going to. What does it look like for the Tamaqua area for Saturday? Is the 3-6 that I'm deducting from the discussions here about right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 GFS has the far southwest mixing at 30 hours and the entire state of PA snowing at 36 ftw. Our in-house model (using nam/sref input) paints out 5 to 8 inches along I-80 to UNV, then all of eastern PA to the north of 322 Also .4 to .5 of ice in JST and Somerset after 2 to 4 inches of snow. 3 to 5" in between JST and UNV and southward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 When is the start time of tomorrow's storm? 9-10 p.m. probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Wooohoo.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 State College has been doing pretty good this season. Finally got a coating on the ground here. Long over due!! Worked up around Towanda today on top of a mountain. At 1:30 the outside temp gauge on the truck said 17 degrees. With about 30mph winds from the front. Carharts wasn't even cutting it. Passed a tractor tractor on the mountain road with a load of air heaters. Must have been for some well sites. Heaters was about 10' long and about 7' high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 :lmao: That will fail..hard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 2001kx That 70% area is pretty small. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 ABC27 out of HBG just showed their precisioncast and it showed 7" around the Chambersburg - Carlisle - Harrisburg - Lancaster area Not sure I buy that high of totals yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Looks like they need to shift that area south in PA. Not terrible looking tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 ABC27 out of HBG just showed their precisioncast and it showed 7" around the Chambersburg - Carlisle - Harrisburg - Lancaster area Not sure I buy that high of totals yet That is unusual. They usually say like 1" when it is supposed to snow 6". lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 ABC27 out of HBG just showed their precisioncast and it showed 7" around the Chambersburg - Carlisle - Harrisburg - Lancaster area Just watched the newscast, that's only if it's all snow... Not sure I buy that high of totals yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Our in-house model (using nam/sref input) paints out 5 to 8 inches along I-80 to UNV, then all of eastern PA to the north of 322 Also .4 to .5 of ice in JST and Somerset after 2 to 4 inches of snow. 3 to 5" in between JST and UNV and southward .5 ice, really? That's a lot of ice, could give them problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 OK, I really hate to ask this question, but since I'm presently in Alabama, and am using a cell phone where it's really difficult to read a web page, I'm going to. What does it look like for the Tamaqua area for Saturday? Is the 3-6 that I'm deducting from the discussions here about right? Yes sir.. that's what it looks like right now. Potential exists for slightly higher amts, localized, and in the higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 NMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Cold cold. All snow for PA like 6-10" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonesy56 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Yeah I was at 5 guys and a hookah bar most of the evening so was shocked to see how nicely it came down. Not to get too OT-but are you a junior? That's when it seems like most people transfer to UP. Yea, I'm technically a junior in the program with way too many cumulative credits to not have some kind of degree by now... Thats what indecision will get ya! I've got a few questions for you about grad school up here if you dont mind, but I'll PM you later so I dont clutter the thread here... Anyway, the timing of this upcoming event looks ideal. The majority of folks won't have to be out on the road when this moves in overnight and no classes to wake up for on Sat. One to sit back and enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Starting to hash out a snow map for this next storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 No one say anything about the Euro. It is been a terrible model lately and has no chance of being right on this one. If you bring it up you will be taken outback and shot. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 No one say anything about the Euro. It is been a terrible model lately and has no chance of being right on this one. If you bring it up you will be taken outback and shot. Thanks http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O0KvuVPtJBk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Our system is moving into Iowa now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 No one say anything about the Euro. It is been a terrible model lately and has no chance of being right on this one. If you bring it up you will be taken outback and shot. Thanks Looks like what a weak wave event should look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Looks like what a weak wave event should look like. Ok you are first... :gun_bandana: :gun_bandana: LOL. Euro has been nothing but a troll. Probably trolling us too low this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 No one say anything about the Euro. It is been a terrible model lately and has no chance of being right on this one. If you bring it up you will be taken outback and shot. Thanks Well thermally it's looks like all snow for JST/AOO/MDT and even LNS. QPF still lacks, but it has been lacking on it the last few runs. I don't really buy that aspect of it..as I said last night it was too dry on the rainy part of the last major system several days ago. However, it does make me think about the precip shield. Your gonna have a large snow shield with this coming across, and probably not much below the mixing line..which is really why i'm not biting on the ice aspect of this storm too much. Those NMM and ARW maps you put up a bit ago illustrate that to some degree. And even if 850's advect above freezing in the southern tier, 925 temps seem like they stay pretty cold and probably equate to more sleet. Best chance of verifying warning ice accumulations is going to be the southwestern Laurel's and along the mason dixon line crossing the ridge and valley region. NAM/SREFs really making this forecast more challenging than it should be, although the new NAM isn't all that warm really. I have a feeling the 03z SREFs are going to continue to ramp up the snow probs further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Ok you are first... :gun_bandana: :gun_bandana: LOL. Euro has been nothing but a troll. Probably trolling us too low this time. It could show nothing at all! Lets not get to greedy, it is better than what we have been getting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Well thermally it's looks like all snow for JST/AOO/MDT and even LNS. QPF still lacks, but it has been lacking on it the last few runs. I don't really buy that aspect of it..as I said last night it was too dry on the rainy part of the last major system several days ago. However, it does make me think about the precip shield. Your gonna have a large snow shield with this coming across, and probably not much below the mixing line..which is really why i'm not biting on the ice aspect of this storm too much. Those NMM and ARW maps you put up a bit ago illustrate that to some degree. And even if 850's advect above freezing in the southern tier, 925 temps seem like they stay pretty cold and probably equate to more sleet. Best chance of verifying warning ice accumulations is going to be the southwestern Laurel's and along the mason dixon line crossing the ridge and valley region. NAM/SREFs really making this forecast more challenging than it should be, although the new NAM isn't all that warm really. I have a feeling the 03z SREFs are going to continue to ramp up the snow probs further south. Ya Euro is always pretty dry. I think a general .25-.5" is more likely with some higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Long range OP's starting to look mighty interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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