Hailstorm Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I assume a "trace" is a dusting or coating on the ground, so CPK will most likely not record anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Some rain/snow has fallen in the Bronx e.g., New York Botanical Garden. Snowflakes were graupel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I assume a "trace" is a dusting or coating on the ground, so CPK will most likely not record anything. A trace of snow does not require any kind of accumulation. Snow that falls and melts on contact is a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I told you guys dont underestimate the SE ridge in the upcoming patter and I was blasted. Congrats, you win ONE TIME, that still doesn't eliminate your ridiculous posts from last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 My second official trace so far this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 we have had no trouble breaking 60 so far this winter with colder setups than that. Maybe the coastal won't do it, but KEWR, Mount Earthlight etc can. Look at the 500 mb heights, that's insane. Only a few times the temp has reached over 60 in January and you expect temps near 80?..never happen..maybe 65 max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I assume a "trace" is a dusting or coating on the ground, so CPK will most likely not record anything. Literally, one snowflake is a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I told you guys dont underestimate the SE ridge in the upcoming patter and I was blasted. because that's not what you said and your history of being a complete douche makes everything you say suspect and irrelevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 There's also no guarantee that those forecasts will even be correct. The super warm forecasts go beyond the medium range and we know how accurate those are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Only a few times the temp has reached over 60 in January and you expect temps near 80?..never happen..maybe 65 max technically i said if 850's get to plus 12, we would hit upper 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Back to 34 and rising temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Yup had a fun commute into work this morning. When i left my house this morning in Monmouth County it had started to rain, then as I traveled through southern Middlesex County it had changed over to a heavy sleet and then a quick burst of snow as I started to enter Mercer County. Didn't stick of course but it was fun while it lasted. Temp dropped from 40 degrees at my house to 35 by the time I got to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 technically i said if 850's get to plus 12, we would hit upper 70's. that would be 40 degrees above normal..that's like highs in the 40's in July..never happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 A trace of snow does not require any kind of accumulation. Snow that falls and melts on contact is a trace. Thanks for clarification. However, the graupel was mixed with sleet and rain all the time so it would be classed as a "wintry mix." Also, considering that the event only lasted 5 minutes and was fairly localized to the point where CPK itself may not have seen any flake, it's not certain that the city proper records a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I finally received a trace of snow this winter. What a miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 that would be 40 degrees above normal..that's like highs in the 40's in July..never happen ok......never say never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Would rather have gone with nothing if this is all we get I finally received a trace of snow this winter. What a miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 just as an fyi, the 850 temps at the end of the 00z gfs were between + 8 and +12 across the area and 925 temps were +12 as close as southern jersey. As I said, i thikn the heat signal could trend stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Would rather have gone with nothing if this is all we get Agree. I wanted to see records broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 because that's not what you said and your history of being a complete douche makes everything you say suspect and irrelevant. where is the like button damnit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 just as an fyi, the 850 temps at the end of the 00z gfs were between + 8 and +12 across the area and 925 temps were +12 as close as southern jersey. As I said, i thikn the heat signal could trend stronger. Will it be enough for a pool party at Earthlight's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 was there actually a trace at any official reporting station? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 that would be 40 degrees above normal..that's like highs in the 40's in July..never happen Winter is subject to far more deviations from mean temps than summer, so that really isn't a valid comparison. It's more like highs in July of maybe around 60 or on the other end 105-110. Definitely extreme (as the record high in January is 72) but not completely impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 that would be 40 degrees above normal..that's like highs in the 40's in July..never happen 70'S can happen in the winter, and you don't need a terrible pattern to get them either. I remember one instance in the past few years where we had highs in the 70's 3 or 4 days in a row only to get a SECS a few days later. I believe that was in February but the exact year escapes me. It was definitliy in the last ten or fifteen though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Are people really already calling a forecast 10+ days out?!!!!! Lmao!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Are people really already calling a forecast 10+ days out?!!!!! Lmao!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! heat always verifies, cold never does. Duh.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Are people really already calling a forecast 10+ days out?!!!!! Lmao!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! It's not only on this board. People are cancelling winter on every board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 was there actually a trace at any official reporting station? So far just EWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Just for comparison sake, the record high today at KMMU was 69 in 1932 and the record low was -15 in 1981. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 The NAEFS have been doing a good job recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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