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Jan 2012 Banter Thread


LongBeachSurfFreak

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Here we are after looking at almost every model run for the past 3 months:

http://media.tumblr....LgkW1qhdp7t.gif

don't worry, we will get our pattern.

The sun will come out, April will arrive, and then the NAO will tank, we will get a nice block up north and storms will ride up the coast just in time for baseball season, mothers day, fathers day and the 4th of July. :axe:

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don't worry, we will get our pattern.

The sun will come out, April will arrive, and then the NAO will tank, we will get a nice block up north and storms will ride up the coast just in time for baseball season, mothers day, fathers day and the 4th of July. :axe:

Probably. The data that I've looked at thus far suggests a cool spring and summer. That can change, but right now I'm leaning cool for the warm season.

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Probably. The data that I've looked at thus far suggests a cool spring and summer. That can change, but right now I'm leaning cool for the warm season.

I still think spring and summer will end up warm, that's how pretty much every month has ended up so why not continue that warm streak. I'm predicting at least 1 day in March where we hit 80F.

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Roger Smith still likes February

No changes in theoretical reasoning since last update, expecting a gradual change to colder pattern in the northeast U.S. during February eventually delivering one or perhaps two memorable snowstorms. The most likely "events" from my theory would be southern max (about 18th-19th), new moon (22nd-23rd) and a complex of events around the 25th to 27th. The events earlier in the month, while somewhat promising, may not find a strong enough pool of cold air in place for an epic snowstorm but there could be one or two events similar to the past weekend's local 4-6 inch snows. These events will be around the 3rd, 7th-8th and 10th-12th in two waves.

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Aside from a positive PNA ..we keep the AO mainly positive other then the beginning flirtation in the negative territory and a brief flirt around the 6th to the 8th before going up to almost + 3.0 ...Almost sure that would result in a cold cold pattern !

How correct have the GFS ensembles been this winter season? If they were we would have been shivering in November and December! ZERO trust in the GFS ensembles or the GFS for that matter!

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Aside from a positive PNA ..we keep the AO mainly positive other then the beginning flirtation in the negative territory and a brief flirt around the 6th to the 8th before going up to almost + 3.0 ...Almost sure that would result in a cold cold pattern !

Sarcastic?

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