AppsRunner Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 lol Well there's your problem... it's like trusting Henry M to make a good snow map for the Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yikes! That totally is a miss for me. Nah, you're gonna be ok. Not meant to be a forecast, Just interesting to compare the events. Also, '83 was a bit to the west of where this storm is progged to go. Positive thoughts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 was that the winter of that decent tornado from McHenry Co into Wisc? that was '08. There was a severe outbreak with Tornadoes in IL/WI/MI just a day or so before the blizzard hit in Jan67. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Somehow IWX is only calling for 1-3" for NWOH... I almost feel like I'm missing something given the NAM/GFS/ECM all show a general 3-5/iso 6" amounts That's a tad under what I'd do but looking at it I'd say 2-4" in all honesty for NW Ohio. Maybe more out towards Delta, Archbold and Defiance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 This map says it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Clownin' in the QC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 That's a tad under what I'd do but looking at it I'd say 2-4" in all honesty for NW Ohio. Maybe more out towards Delta, Archbold and Defiance I'm sticking with 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Clownin' in the QC. Models still hardcore trolling my location... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Thanks...shows .47 for LSE> Might squeeze out some extra snow on those ridge tops and hills in SW Wisconsin - Vernon, Crawford, Grant counties especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Clownin' in the QC. Man if we were to get 8" from this thing I'll wear a clown nose to work on Friday lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Good luck, gang. Heck of a storm brewing for you guys after a long snow drought... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 So the models took back some qpf from eastern Iowa through the day, but they've given it back with the 00z runs. Looks like the snow band is a couple hours away. The band is gradually gaining some better green returns on radar, as expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I'm sticking with 3-6" Idk even with enhanced snow ratios I don't see much more than 4". Although a southwesterly wind during the snowstorm part of it looks good as far as totals go I just don't see this thing spitting out 6" except maybe in like Defiance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 GFS came in wetter as well.. .50+ near Alek's crib.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 After reviewing the latest model guidance, my preliminary call for the Toronto area is 1-3", with the heavier amounts in the eastern sections of the Greater Toronto Area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Final, final. IND: 1-3" LAF: 2-4" OKK: 2-4" IKK: 3-5" ORD: 5-7" MKE: 5-7" Good luck to all. And enjoy the snow...it's the only snow you got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 indeed. 0.50" at ord this run. 0.49" on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 After reviewing the latest model guidance, my preliminary call for the Toronto area is 1-3", with the heavier amounts in the eastern sections of the Greater Toronto Area. Pretty close to my call. I went 0.5-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Pretty close to my call. I went 0.5-2". 0.5" on the low end...sigh. Better luck to you and all the Toronto folks. Hope it overachieves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Pretty close to my call. I went 0.5-2". Latest SWS from EC is calling for 2-4" in the GTA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 0.5" on the low end...sigh. Better luck to you and all the Toronto folks. Hope it overachieves. It won't. Never does. GL fending off ORD and MKE from surpasing your seasonal total. I voted against you. Honest belief. Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Latest SWS from EC is calling for 2-4" in the GTA That was based on the bullish RGEM from last night. It's sinced backed off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 We have about 1-1.5 inches here in Tulsa, OK!!! Beautiful big snowflakes...sticking to everything!! It's the perfect snow to make snow ice cream, snowangels, and snowballs!! I am a VERY happy girl!!! If we were only supposed to get a trace, you people up in the midwest are in for a surprise! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 It won't. Never does. GL fending off ORD and MKE from surpasing your seasonal total. I voted against you. Honest belief. Sorry Eh, here's to hoping anyway. Don't blame you on voting against LAF. 4" leads weren't meant to last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 That was based on the bullish RGEM from last night. It's sinced backed off. Yet another bust for Toronto. It is absolutely surreal walking around andseeing bare ground in mid January. This will be a year of no winter in Toronto at the rate we're going. If saying that makes me a weenie or a troll, so be it. It is incredible to see the temperature contrast between Ottawa and Toronto. It's currently 2C in Toronto while it's -13C in Ottawa. I'm not a betting man, but I will hazard a guess that Toronto saw it's coldest day of the winter on January 3rd, when the mid afternoon temperature was around -14C without the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 That was based on the bullish RGEM from last night. It's sinced backed off. Ba-humbug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 We have about 1-1.5 inches here in Tulsa, OK!!! Beautiful big snowflakes...sticking to everything!! It's the perfect snow to make snow ice cream, snowangels, and snowballs!! I am a VERY happy girl!!! If we were only supposed to get a trace, you people up in the midwest are in for a surprise! This is the attitude we all need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Time to stop using the models and break out the good ol' radar and satellite. Cloud tops are cooling and a nice sturdy band of snow has developed behind the front. I would expect it to slowly expand as frontogenesis and DPVA increase over the next few hours. The divergent portion of the jet max is just now beginning to impinge upon this area as well, so this should add some fuel to the fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 24hr RUC really hammering northeast IL from around 17-23z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yet another bust for Toronto. It is absolutely surreal walking around andseeing bare ground in mid January. This will be a year of no winter in Toronto at the rate we're going. If saying that makes me a weenie or a troll, so be it. It is incredible to see the temperature contrast between Ottawa and Toronto. It's currently 2C in Toronto while it's -13C in Ottawa. I'm not a betting man, but I will hazard a guess that Toronto saw it's coldest day of the winter on January 3rd, when the mid afternoon temperature was around -14C without the wind. Nobody (as far as I'm aware) ever prepared a forecast with amounts based on a rogue set of runs from the NAM/RGEM. So it in no way can be characterized as a "bust". But yeah, it's frustrating. It seems we can't catch a break the last couple of winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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