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January 12-14 Winter Storm Part 2


Hoosier

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Looks like precip is basically about to shut off here for a while. Still hoping that we can manage the lower end of 3-5" but have to say that my confidence is slipping.

Yeah, doesn't look great for LAF. I see Chad had 0.6" awhile ago...if that's close to what you got, I can see another 1.5-3.0" tonight/overnight. At least that's what most of the models seem to indicate. We'll see. LAF is good at late rallies.

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Yeah, doesn't look great for LAF. I see Chad had 0.6" awhile ago...if that's close to what you got, I can see another 1.5-3.0" tonight/overnight. At least that's what most of the models seem to indicate. We'll see. LAF is good at late rallies.

That we are. :D

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LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS

AFTERNOON. RADAR TRENDS AND SHORT TERM GUIDANCE SHOW TWO AREAS OF

BETTER FORCING WITHIN THE BROAD LIFT. THE FIRST IS ORIENTED FROM

BENTON HARBOR MICHIGAN NORTHWEST ACROSS MILWAUKEE WITH A SECOND

STARTING TO TAKE SHAPE FROM RENSSELAER TO PRINCETON TO SAVANNA. IN

BETWEEN...RADAR RETURNS HAVE EASED OFF SOMEWHAT BUT SNOWFALL

CONTINUES. OVERALL NEAR TERM TRENDS SUGGEST THAT

FORCING/FRONTOGENESIS WILL BECOME MORE FOCUSED OVER THE CWA INTO

LATE AFTERNOON...WITH PERHAPS THE MOST FOCUSED FORCING OVER NE

IL/NW IN EARLY THIS EVENING.

IN ADDITION...LOW LEVEL AREA OF CONVERGENCE OVER THE LAKE

CONTINUES TO COMPLICATE NEAR TERM DETAILS. LATEST RUC SHOWS AN

EAST-WEST BAND OF CONVERGENCE FROM THE LAKE/COOK IL BORDER

EASTWARD. THIS TROUGH IS NOT SO EVIDENT IN SHORE OBS BUT ORD TDWR

SHOWS A SOUTHWESTWARD MOVING AREA OF ENHANCED REFLECTIVITY MOVING

INLAND FROM EVANSTON SOUTHWARD INTO DOWNTOWN CHICAGO. LAKE

INFLUENCE WILL LIKELY BE RATHER TRANSIENT BUT IS SEEMINGLY ABLE TO

OCCUR...AND MAY BECOME MORE FAVORED AS LOW-LEVEL THERMAL PROFILES

COOL. THE EXTENT TO WHICH IT OCCURS IS STILL NOT CLEAR BUT AREAS

ALONG THE COOK COUNTY IL SHORE SEEM MOST FAVORED INTO MID

AFTERNOON BEFORE IT PIVOTS INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA LATE THIS

AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING.

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