UW-weather Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 12z GFS spits out a solid 6-10" in NE IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I think you may break your 8.5" call. With the meso low coming into play, I could see 10" being a possibility. Possibly but ratios are probably 8-10:1 right now with warm surface temps...I think i'll pretty much nail it. EDIT: although if the persistent banding does set up over the area and the meso low moves west, you're right, it might get crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UW-weather Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Heaviest snow will fall alone the WI/IL Border and in NW Indiana, best spot to see total of 8, 9, 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 A great snow shower day in the STL area. Getting breaks of blue and sun followed by repeated blitzes of heavy dendrites. the 5 minute blizzards I like to call em... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 East-central Iowa now upgraded to winter storm warning as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Snowing good here the last hour, everythings white. To bad the dryslots moving in fast and furious. Hopefully when the storm pivots through tonight we can get back into some heavier stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 35/33 at UGN 18/14 at FEP It was that way until about 11:15. 32° and snow quickly picking up in intensity now. ~I'm 1 3/4 miles from the airport. Snow sticking to vegetation and my truck currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Forgive me for chucking this one. Total IMBY-ism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Er...John Dee going all out o.O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 LOT 1110 AM CST HAVE OPTED TO UPGRADE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST IL AND NORTHWEST IN. RADAR TRENDS SHOW THE MAIN BAND OF SNOW INTENSIFYING AND BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA AS IT LIFT NORTHEASTWARD AND BEGINS TO PIVOT COUNTER-CLOCKWISE. FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING BECOME BETTER FOCUSED AS MID LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING IN WARM ADVECTION FROM THE EAST AND COLD ADVECTION FROM THE WEST. IN ADDITION...FOCUSING MAY BE FURTHER ENHANCED BY THE PRESENCE OF A MID LEVEL TROUGH OF WARM AIR ALOFT. THIS SYNOPTIC FORCING BY ITSELF SUGGESTS THAT SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE HIGHER FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING RESULTING IN 4-8 INCH TOTALS IN A SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME. IN ADDITION LAKE ENHANCEMENT IN SOME FORM STILL LOOKS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL BE VERY CHALLENGING TO PIN DOWN. SURFACE OBS AROUND THE SOUTHERN SHORE STILL SHOW SIGNS OF A CIRCULATION WITH RADAR SHOWING A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED BAND OF PRECIP WHICH MAY BE REFLECTIVE MORE OF A ELONGATED CONVERGENCE AREA. SEVERAL RECENT RUNS OF THE RUC/HRRR SHOW A CLOSED CIRCULATION SHIFTING WESTWARD TOWARD THE IL SHORE THIS AFTERNOON WITH OTHER GUIDANCE SHOWING AT LEAST SOME SORT OF SHORELINE CONVERGENCE DEVELOPING. THE CHALLENGE WILL BE FOR THIS TO CONTINUE IN THE MIDST OF INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW...WHICH HAS BEEN SLOWER TO ADVANCE EASTWARD. SHOULD THIS LAKE ENHANCEMENT/BANDING OCCUR...AND THIS IS STILL UNCERTAIN...THEN SOME AREAS COULD EASILY SEE 8-10 INCHES OR POSSIBLY MORE BUT THIS WOULD LIKELY BE VERY LOCALIZED. EVEN WITHOUT LAKE ENHANCEMENT SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HEAVIEST DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING RUSH HOUR...WITH IMPACTS MAGNIFIED UNDER ANY LAKE BANDS. GUSTY WINDS WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND INTO THE CHICAGO METRO LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN INTO NW INDIANA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 LOT 1110 AM CST HAVE OPTED TO UPGRADE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST IL AND NORTHWEST IN. RADAR TRENDS SHOW THE MAIN BAND OF SNOW INTENSIFYING AND BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA AS IT LIFT NORTHEASTWARD AND BEGINS TO PIVOT COUNTER-CLOCKWISE. FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING BECOME BETTER FOCUSED AS MID LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING IN WARM ADVECTION FROM THE EAST AND COLD ADVECTION FROM THE WEST. IN ADDITION...FOCUSING MAY BE FURTHER ENHANCED BY THE PRESENCE OF A MID LEVEL TROUGH OF WARM AIR ALOFT. THIS SYNOPTIC FORCING BY ITSELF SUGGESTS THAT SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE HIGHER FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING RESULTING IN 4-8 INCH TOTALS IN A SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME. IN ADDITION LAKE ENHANCEMENT IN SOME FORM STILL LOOKS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL BE VERY CHALLENGING TO PIN DOWN. SURFACE OBS AROUND THE SOUTHERN SHORE STILL SHOW SIGNS OF A CIRCULATION WITH RADAR SHOWING A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED BAND OF PRECIP WHICH MAY BE REFLECTIVE MORE OF A ELONGATED CONVERGENCE AREA. SEVERAL RECENT RUNS OF THE RUC/HRRR SHOW A CLOSED CIRCULATION SHIFTING WESTWARD TOWARD THE IL SHORE THIS AFTERNOON WITH OTHER GUIDANCE SHOWING AT LEAST SOME SORT OF SHORELINE CONVERGENCE DEVELOPING. THE CHALLENGE WILL BE FOR THIS TO CONTINUE IN THE MIDST OF INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW...WHICH HAS BEEN SLOWER TO ADVANCE EASTWARD. SHOULD THIS LAKE ENHANCEMENT/BANDING OCCUR...AND THIS IS STILL UNCERTAIN...THEN SOME AREAS COULD EASILY SEE 8-10 INCHES OR POSSIBLY MORE BUT THIS WOULD LIKELY BE VERY LOCALIZED. EVEN WITHOUT LAKE ENHANCEMENT SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HEAVIEST DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING RUSH HOUR...WITH IMPACTS MAGNIFIED UNDER ANY LAKE BANDS. GUSTY WINDS WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND INTO THE CHICAGO METRO LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN INTO NW INDIANA. beat me to it, you change you call? Still riding my 5-8" for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Er...John Dee going all out o.O 5-10" lol not going to happen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Er...John Dee going all out o.O updated one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Anyone got any photos? Stuck searching the web for traffic cams right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 The 14z HRRR is showing 10m wind gust tonight to be in the 35-40kt range across all of Indiana north of I-70. Should make for some white knuckle driving when I get off work at 11:30 tonight. It also coincides the strong wind with the heavier snow pivoting down from Northern Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 beat me to it, you change you call? Still riding my 5-8" for MBY. my first call stands... 5-9" for the area, with 3-7" far south-west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I like the WSW void zone of Rockford/Dekalb west. They have an warning sandwhich with some advisory as filling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UW-weather Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Here is my updated snowfall map! Check the article in midwest weather talk for more: http://midwestweathe...k.blogspot.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 8-12" here in southeastern MI? I haven't seen a single model show even half of that... I am SO confused... updated one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 24 with light snow. Temp has been dropping steadily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 24 with light snow. Temp has been dropping steadily. impressive warm tongue, still hanging in the low 30's up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 8-12" here in southeastern MI? I haven't seen a single model show even half of that... I am SO confused... Nothing to be confused about, it is just a bad forecast. I am sticking to my 2-4" for SEMI though from now until Sat Morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 We're in all snow now for the remainder of the event! Wind is starting to pick up, but not nearly at peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Snow is still coming down pretty good here I would say just over 2" and with what ILX said it sounds like it should pick up again later this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 really have to have the jd map posted 4 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 12z ECMWF Note: I did not include 12-18z totals given we're obviously past that time. LSE: 0.10" MSN: 0.28" MKE: 0.42" SBM: 0.33" CID: 0.17" DVN: 0.20" PIA: 0.18" RFD: 0.34" ORD: 0.59" MDW: 0.59" STL: 0.03" DEC: 0.09" PAH: 0.02" IND: 0.09" LAF: 0.25" VPZ: 0.69" OKK: 0.25" FWA: 0.28" HAO: 0.08" DAY: 0.13" CMH: 0.22" TDZ: 0.27" CLE: 0.33" MKG: 0.77" GRR: 0.73" BTL: 0.69" ADG: 0.32" DTW: 0.22" PHN: 0.20" YKF: 0.20" YYZ: 0.26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordoFabulous Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 32/31 in Muncie with light snow falling. Mostly small flakes with some slightly bigger ones mixing in. No rain mixing in at all. Sticking to cars, but not heavy enough yet to cover anything. EDIT: How's MIE looking on the Euro? Nam QPF has us at 0.13, GFS is a 0.28. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michigander Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 12z ECMWF Note: I did not include 12-18z totals given we're obviously past that time. Wow GRR and Muskegon over .7! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Snow is still coming down pretty good here I would say just over 2" and with what ILX said it sounds like it should pick up again later this afternoon Good friend of mine a firefighter in Decatur saying they are running like crazy right now with people forgetting how to drive. Figure that will be the same about everywhere. Rush hour in the Chicago metro area will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 32/31 in Muncie with light snow falling. Mostly small flakes with some slightly bigger ones mixing in. No rain mixing in at all. Sticking to cars, but not heavy enough yet to cover anything. Wow, Im a county or 2 west of you and its 26.4. Big temp difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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