MadTown Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 the new ruc gives me some hope for 6" here in madison wi. anyone else have an idea, on the road traveling today, and would like to get home before the country roads turn to crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 13z RUC has a .50" qpf bullseye over your house and still snowing through 1z. continues to go crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Blowing like crazy. Its one of those snows that isn't even sticking to the roof in areas. Very light, very small flakes. Airport here shows 2.5...Maybe 5 inches by the end of the day? Hard to know. I bet the roads are crazy slick. Not a fun day to be driving I90/I94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 928 AM CST THU JAN 12 2012 DISCUSSION 914 AM CST SNOW HAS OVERSPREAD JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW SPOTS ACROSS NORTHWEST INDIANA. BETTER FORCING WILL ARRIVE THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING THE MORE INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES/VSBY REDUCTIONS TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BUT VSBY AROUND 1SM IS PREDOMINANT RIGHT NOW WITH EMBEDDED AREAS DOWN TO AROUND 1/2SM WITH ACCUM RATES LIKELY IN THE 1/2 TO 3/4 IN/HR. FORECAST FOR MOST OF THE AREA REMAINS ON TRACK BUT MESOSCALE DETAILS CONTINUE TO BE ASSESSED. SEVERAL SUBTLE BUT POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT SIGNALS ARE NOW PRESENT IN TERMS OF POTENTIAL LAKE INFLUENCE. LATEST SURFACE OBS FROM AROUND THE SOUTH END OF LAKE MICHIGAN SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MESO LOW WITH NORTHWEST WINDS FROM WAUKEGAN TO GARY...WEST AND MICHIGAN CITY...SOUTHEAST AT ST. JOE/BENTON HARBOR AND NORTHEAST AT MUSKEGON. LATEST RUC SURFACE TRAJECTORIES SUPPORT THIS ALONG WITH A WESTWARD PROGRESSION INTO THIS AFTERNOON. LOCAL WRF FROM OVERNIGHT SHOWS MORE OF A SHORELINE CONVERGENCE AREA DEVELOPING ALONG THE ILLINOIS SHORE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A LAKE ENHANCED BAND TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD INTO THE LAKESHORE COUNTIES OF NE IL AND POSSIBLY LAKE COUNTY INDIANA FROM MID AFTERNOON ONWARD. THIS WOULD LIKELY RESULT IN A PERIOD OF VERY INTENSE SNOWFALL. THIS IS NOT CLEAR CUT GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE SYNOPTIC FLOW TO THE WEST OF THE LAKE SO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL ADJUSTMENTS IN FORECAST/HEADLINES. MDB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 GFS goes boom on ALEK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 928 AM CST THU JAN 12 2012 you can see the nice little kink possibly developing...data a little tardy on the image... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 12z GFS, 27 hour total QPF. Yeah yeah I know, late in the game to posting models (outside minute by minute RUC updates ). But...go crazy Alek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Oh and obs...flakes have turned fluffier here in IKK. Still light, but definitely better dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 good stuff, light snow in the Loop. Wish work wasn't so busy...gonna end up slacking and coming in this weeked for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordoFabulous Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Already down to 34 in Muncie, about 3 or 4 degrees lower than was forecasted for this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 12z GFS, 27 hour total QPF. Yeah yeah I know, late in the game to posting models (outside minute by minute RUC updates ). But...go crazy Alek. Followed the trend of the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Light snow has finally commenced here, but we're right around freezing, so probably no accumulation initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 light snow has commenced at valpo. Just starting to stick to the mulch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 First flakes starting to fly in LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Radar is looking very healthy, starting to think an upgrade for LOT's eastern counties might be in the works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like a dusting already. 15z RUC gives 4-6" for much of S Wisconsin and N Illinois in just its first 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Radar is looking very healthy, starting to think an upgrade for LOT's eastern counties might be in the works. right down the road from me. . . CHICAGO AREA WEATHER ROUNDUPNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 1000 AM CST THU JAN 12 2012 LEWIS AIRPORT* SNOW 28 28 98 NW12 29.46F VSB 1/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 snow started here about an hour and a half ago. intensity has been on the increase as it "pours" flakes. looks like around a half inch down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Just finished my commute from the northside of Chicago out to Oak Brook. Snow started as I was approaching the loop, and visibility was surprisingly low the further west I got (half mile or less). According to my car, temp was around 34 or 35 by the lake, but by the time I made it to Oak Brook (about 18 miles due west of downtown Chicago), the temp had dropped to 28 and everything was nicely coated in white. The cold air is on the move! (as expected) Last minute model trends sure are encouraging. Bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Radar is looking very healthy, starting to think an upgrade for LOT's eastern counties might be in the works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Latest RUC runs looking impressive on simulated composite radar...HRRR a little less impressive, but 3-6" looks like a good range across Central Michigan. Snow ratios won't be as impressive as in IL/WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 snow started here about an hour and a half ago. intensity has been on the increase as it "pours" flakes. looks like around a half inch down. yep...still pouring flakes here as well, but about 33% are reaching dime size dendrites and being whipped by the breeze...gl w/the snow joe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 LOT's radar filling in quite nicely. Now if I can just get past this small dry pocket overhead right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 15z RUC with a .70" Alek bullseye, now close to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 approaching low end moderate...flake size still small but I don't expect improvement on that front for another few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 2.5" reported down in Bloomington. Looks like the snow started sometime between 6-7 AM at BMI...so pretty good rates. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 1004 AM CST THU JAN 12 2012 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1002 AM SNOW 3 SW BLOOMINGTON 40.45N 89.01W 01/12/2012 M2.5 INCH MCLEAN IL MESONET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 meso low definetly getting cookin' over Lake Michigan. . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 The green on radar continues to grow back into the Cedar Rapids area. I did not put my snow boards in my backyard because they area worthless when strong wind is blowing around dry snow, but now I wish I had. The wind really isn't that strong so the snow has accumulated pretty uniformly across my yard. When sticking the ruler down to the ground I measured 4-4.5 in several spots. I'm not sure how much I should subtract due to the grass, maybe a half inch? 3.5-4 inches for a total so far would be more than all the surrounding reports, but considering the uniformity throughout the yard I have to go with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 The green on radar continues to grow back into the Cedar Rapids area. I did not put my snow boards in my backyard because they area worthless when strong wind is blowing around dry snow, but now I wish I had. The wind really isn't that strong so the snow has accumulated pretty uniformly across my yard. When sticking the ruler down to the ground I measured 4-4.5 in several spots. I'm not sure how much I should subtract due to the grass, maybe a half inch? 3.5-4 inches for a total so far would be more than all the surrounding reports, but considering the uniformity throughout the yard I have to go with it. Congrats. It'll be nice to change your sig from that awful 0.1" total, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 NAM would be pitiful here... cuts the precip from .3-.4" on previous runs down to a ridicuolous .12". Hope to god that doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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