January 12-14 Winter Storm Part 2

[Thundersnow12]

  On 1/12/2012 at 4:31 AM, csnavywx said:

Time to stop using the models and break out the good ol' radar and satellite.

Cloud tops are cooling and a nice sturdy band of snow has developed behind the front. I would expect it to slowly expand as frontogenesis and DPVA increase over the next few hours. The divergent portion of the jet max is just now beginning to impinge upon this area as well, so this should add some fuel to the fire.

And can really see the beginning the cloud tops starting to cool nicely from southwest MN on southward looking at IR.

[cyclone77]

  On 1/12/2012 at 4:31 AM, Thundersnow12 said:

24hr RUC really hammering northeast IL from around 17-23z tomorrow

The new RGEM does too. Looks like moderate to heavy snow for northeast Illinois from late morning through mid evening.

[cyclone77]

Snowing in Cedar Rapids already. Visibility down to 2.5 miles.

[csnavywx]

Awesome, keep the reports coming. Include flake size and makeup if possible (dendrites, aggregates, plates, needles, rimed structures, etc).

[Gilbertfly]

WRF rippin' right at the heart of rush hour for chi-town...

[Thundersnow12]

  On 1/12/2012 at 5:02 AM, Gilbertfly said:

WRF rippin' right at the heart of rush hour for chi-town...

link to that?

[Thundersnow12]

  On 1/12/2012 at 4:57 AM, csnavywx said:

Awesome, keep the reports coming. Include flake size and makeup if possible (dendrites, aggregates, plates, needles, rimed structures, etc).

Will be home all day tomorrow, asked for the day off lol

[Gilbertfly]

  On 1/12/2012 at 5:05 AM, Thundersnow12 said:

link to that?

U of I...

[cyclone77]

  On 1/12/2012 at 5:05 AM, Thundersnow12 said:

Will be home all day tomorrow, asked for the day off lol

Ahh, must be nice! lol. I'm off most of next week, wish I would have picked a week earlier now. Congrats on the internship btw, that's f'g awesome. Skilling's the best in the business, hands down. Hope he stays on the air another 10+ years.

Man, I could watch this all night....

http://www.emc.ncep....yle/spcprod/00/

EDIT: The reflectivity loop is what I intended.

[Thundersnow12]

  On 1/12/2012 at 5:09 AM, cyclone77 said:

Ahh, must be nice! lol. I'm off most of next week, wish I would have picked a week earlier now. Congrats on the internship btw, that's f'g awesome. Skilling's the best in the business, hands down. Hope he stays on the air another 10+ years.

Man, I could watch this all night....

http://www.emc.ncep....yle/spcprod/00/

EDIT: The reflectivity loop is what I intended.

Thank you sir! I'm pretty pumped, hopefully we cold more active or nights can get boring in there lol but still a good time.

[daddylonglegs]

Everything is snowcovered here now... don't see the grass anymore.

[Geos]

1.2" at Wabasha, MN already. Snow marching into Eastern IA.

[jhamps10]

Final call forecast!!!

After looking at the models and different forecasts I decided this is my call and I am sticking to it. I think the winds will make travel difficult at best at times, especially on N-S interstates and highways. So with that said here is my thinking on the storm tomorrow/Friday, lets enjoy the snow guys, with the way this winter has been you never know when were going to get more, LOL...

[cyclone77]

Pretty sweet leading edge of the snow over eastern Iowa. Goes from nothing to decent snowfall over a short distance.

[kab2791]

00Z EURO FWIW:

MOP: 0.55-0.60

BTL: 0.73

DTW: 0.27

ORD: 0.57

MKE: 0.48

LAF: 0.27

[Thundersnow12]

Euro with .51" at DPA and .58" at ORD

Great agreement between .45"-.55" for MBY

Final call 5-8"

[Thundersnow12]

  On 1/12/2012 at 6:07 AM, kab2791 said:

00Z EURO FWIW:

MOP: 0.55-0.60

BTL: 0.73

DTW: 0.27

ORD: 0.46

MKE: 0.48

LAF: 0.27

ORD with .58"

[PatrickSumner]

  On 1/12/2012 at 6:08 AM, Thundersnow12 said:

Euro with .51" at DPA and .58" at ORD

Great agreement between .45"-.55" for MBY

Final call 5-8"

What about OKK???

[Chargers09]

  On 1/12/2012 at 6:07 AM, kab2791 said:

00Z EURO FWIW:

MOP: 0.55-0.60

BTL: 0.73

DTW: 0.27

ORD: 0.46

MKE: 0.48

LAF: 0.27

Not too shabby. Noticing the uptick in amounts for dtw. Is this due to no dryslotting or what?

[kab2791]

You're right. I had the GFS text data in a tab next to the Euro text data, and was looking at the GFS accidentally. Whoops.

  On 1/12/2012 at 6:09 AM, Thundersnow12 said:

ORD with .58"

[Hoar_Frost]

I'm going 5-7" here in Geneva, Illinois (near DPA and Thundersnow). I might inclined to go higher tomorrow if snowflake growth turns out to be favourable on account of a particularly robust DGZ.

[Ajdos]

  On 1/12/2012 at 6:11 AM, kab2791 said:

You're right. I had the GFS text data in a tab next to the Euro text data, and was looking at the GFS accidentally. Whoops.

So what about DTW? EURO OOZ, not gfs..

[kab2791]

Everything in my above post is Euro data now...only messed up ORD.

  On 1/12/2012 at 6:12 AM, Ajdos said:

So what about DTW? EURO OOZ, not gfs..

[Ajdos]

  On 1/12/2012 at 6:13 AM, kab2791 said:

Everything in my above post is Euro data now...only messed up ORD.

Oki Doki..Thx

[Chicago Storm]

0z ECMWF

  Reveal hidden contents

LSE:

 
THU 06Z 12-JAN  -6.4    -6.8    1009	  63	 100    0.05	 537	 530   
THU 12Z 12-JAN  -8.3   -10.9    1009	  65	 100    0.15	 533	 526   
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -8.5   -12.9    1008	  66	  99    0.13	 530	 524   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -8.8   -14.9    1009	  64	  99    0.09	 530	 522   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN -10.5   -13.1    1011	  59	  55    0.03	 530	 521

MSN:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN  -3.1    -4.6    1003	  75	  95    0.01	 535	 532   
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -3.7    -8.8    1002	  76	  99    0.13	 530	 529   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -6.3   -11.9    1004	  77	 100    0.17	 529	 525   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -8.2   -13.5    1006	  72	  98    0.07	 528	 524   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN -10.1   -13.2    1010	  67	  63    0.02	 530	 522

MKE:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN   0.4    -4.7	 998	  85	  99    0.06	 531	 533   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -3.4    -8.5    1000	  80	  98    0.19	 528	 528   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -6.0   -10.8    1002	  76	  98    0.18	 527	 525   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -7.2   -13.5    1007	  71	  97    0.05	 528	 523   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -5.6   -15.2    1011	  60	  54    0.01	 531	 522

SBM:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -1.5    -4.2    1000	  80	 100    0.05	 532	 532   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -4.1    -7.9    1001	  77	  99    0.15	 529	 528   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -6.2   -10.7    1002	  73	  99    0.14	 527	 526   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -6.6   -14.6    1006	  70	  98    0.04	 528	 523   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -5.9   -15.9    1011	  62	  88    0.01	 530	 522

CID:

 
THU 06Z 12-JAN  -5.8    -6.5    1009	  64	 100    0.02	 538	 531   
THU 12Z 12-JAN  -8.4   -12.9    1009	  61	  99    0.12	 532	 525   
THU 18Z 12-JAN -10.5   -14.7    1009	  68	 100    0.18	 527	 520   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -9.7   -15.3    1011	  68	  99    0.12	 528	 520   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN -10.1   -12.8    1013	  57	  76    0.03	 530	 520

DVN:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN  -6.1    -9.6    1007	  69	 100    0.06	 534	 529   
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -8.0   -13.3    1006	  73	 100    0.20	 528	 523   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -8.9   -14.8    1009	  72	  99    0.13	 527	 521   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -9.3   -14.3    1011	  68	  97    0.03	 529	 521   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN -12.3   -11.3    1014	  61	  40    0.01	 531	 520

PIA:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN  -4.5    -5.8    1005	  70	  98    0.02	 535	 531   
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -6.5   -14.0    1005	  65	 100    0.14	 527	 523   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -8.8   -15.6    1008	  69	 100    0.10	 526	 519   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -8.6   -15.5    1010	  65	  93    0.04	 529	 520   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN -10.6   -11.8    1014	  54	  77    0.01	 532	 521

RFD:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -3.5    -8.0    1001	  77	  98    0.14	 530	 529   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -5.9   -11.7    1004	  79	 100    0.16	 527	 524   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -7.6   -13.6    1006	  73	  98    0.09	 528	 523   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -9.7   -13.1    1011	  66	  86    0.02	 530	 522

ORD:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -0.1    -5.0	 998	  86	  99    0.11	 531	 532   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -2.8    -8.8    1000	  83	 100    0.23	 527	 527   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -5.8   -11.7    1003	  80	 100    0.18	 526	 524   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -7.6   -13.7    1008	  73	 100    0.05	 529	 523   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -6.8   -13.3    1013	  62	  41    0.01	 532	 521

MDW:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -0.2    -4.7	 998	  86	  99    0.10	 531	 532   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -2.6    -9.0    1000	  84	  99    0.23	 526	 526   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -5.5   -12.1    1003	  81	 100    0.18	 526	 523   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -7.2   -14.0    1008	  74	  98    0.06	 529	 523   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -7.0   -13.4    1014	  63	  51    0.01	 532	 521

STL:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN  -3.8   -11.0    1009	  67	 100    0.04	 535	 528   
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -3.6   -15.8    1009	  50	  99    0.04	 525	 518   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -5.9   -17.2    1012	  50	  99    0.03	 525	 515   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -5.7   -16.8    1014	  46	  97    0.02	 530	 519

DEC:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -5.8   -14.1    1005	  62	  98    0.09	 527	 523   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -8.1   -17.5    1009	  60	  97    0.03	 524	 517   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -8.1   -16.5    1011	  60	  97    0.04	 527	 519

PAH:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN   0.0   -12.2    1008	  54	  94    0.06	 528	 522   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -1.9   -13.7    1012	  54	 100    0.01	 525	 515

IND:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -0.3    -4.3    1000	  78	  99    0.02	 532	 532   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -5.7   -14.9    1004	  58	  97    0.05	 524	 520   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -7.9   -15.7    1007	  63	  99    0.04	 523	 517   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -7.9   -16.3    1011	  60	  90    0.02	 530	 521

LAF:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -1.5    -5.1    1000	  75	  99    0.03	 531	 531   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -6.3   -12.5    1003	  69	  99    0.10	 524	 522   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -7.6   -14.1    1006	  72	 100    0.11	 524	 519   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -8.2   -15.1    1010	  69	  90    0.04	 530	 522

VPZ:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN  -0.1    -3.7	 998	  90	  98    0.07	 531	 533   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -2.7    -7.8	 999	  88	  99    0.25	 526	 527   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -5.0   -12.2    1002	  84	 100    0.23	 524	 523   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -7.2   -14.7    1007	  78	  95    0.10	 529	 523   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -7.2   -14.9    1013	  67	  85    0.03	 532	 522

OKK:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN   1.1    -2.6	 998	  86	  81    0.02	 532	 533   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -5.7   -10.9    1002	  71	 100    0.07	 525	 523   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -7.6   -12.9    1004	  75	 100    0.13	 523	 520   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -8.0   -15.1    1009	  72	  91    0.07	 528	 521   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -7.5   -15.0    1015	  57	  91    0.02	 533	 522

FWA:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN   3.5	 0.2	 998	  97	  83    0.05	 542	 544   
THU 18Z 12-JAN   3.8    -1.3	 996	  90	  96    0.01	 533	 536   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -3.6    -7.2	 999	  76	  93    0.05	 526	 527   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -6.0   -10.1	 999	  79	 100    0.12	 522	 522   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -6.9   -12.6    1005	  79	  99    0.15	 525	 522   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -6.6   -14.3    1012	  67	  94    0.01	 532	 523

HAO:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN   5.1	 1.9    1000	  96	  43    0.01	 545	 545   
THU 18Z 12-JAN   6.4    -0.6	 998	  91	  93    0.02	 535	 537   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -2.9   -12.4    1003	  64	  90    0.10	 525	 523   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -6.4   -16.6    1006	  54	  98    0.03	 521	 516   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -6.8   -16.7    1010	  56	  94    0.02	 527	 519   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -3.9   -16.2    1015	  49	  95    0.01	 534	 523

DAY:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN   4.2	 1.2	 999	  97	  52    0.02	 545	 546   
THU 18Z 12-JAN   6.3    -0.4	 997	  83	  69    0.01	 536	 538   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN  -2.6    -9.4    1001	  76	  87    0.09	 526	 525   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -7.1   -15.7    1004	  59	 100    0.04	 520	 517   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -7.5   -16.1    1008	  61	  97    0.05	 525	 519   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -5.2   -16.2    1013	  52	  97    0.02	 533	 522

CMH:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN   7.6	 0.4	 997	  78	  86    0.01	 539	 541   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   3.2    -3.8	 998	  95	  85    0.15	 530	 532   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -5.4   -15.2    1003	  59	  99    0.03	 519	 517   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -6.6   -15.3    1006	  58	 100    0.04	 522	 518   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -5.1   -15.6    1012	  53	 100    0.03	 531	 522   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -5.2   -14.7    1017	  52	 100    0.01	 534	 521

TDZ:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN   4.7	 0.0	 995	  93	  71    0.04	 536	 541   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   2.1    -2.4	 996	  91	  92    0.02	 529	 533   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -5.5    -8.7	 996	  72	  99    0.04	 520	 523   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -2.8    -9.4	 997	  85	 100    0.20	 521	 523   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -2.6   -12.0    1006	  70	  94    0.10	 528	 524   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -6.1   -13.0    1013	  73	  99    0.03	 532	 522   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -8.0   -14.2    1016	  71	  79    0.02	 531	 519

CLE:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN   5.2	 0.4	 995	  90	  82    0.03	 539	 543   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   5.8    -1.2	 995	  90	  91    0.02	 532	 536   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -3.7    -9.8	 998	  70	  97    0.07	 521	 523   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -5.2   -10.4	 997	  75	 100    0.09	 518	 521   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -3.4   -12.0    1004	  72	  88    0.11	 526	 522   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -5.1   -12.6    1012	  69	  96    0.04	 532	 522   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -6.9   -14.2    1015	  71	  97    0.04	 531	 520   
SAT 12Z 14-JAN  -7.2   -14.9    1018	  72	  85    0.03	 531	 517   
SAT 18Z 14-JAN  -4.8   -14.9    1019	  64	  54    0.01	 531	 516

MKG:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN   2.1    -1.6	 996	  91	  99    0.02	 533	 536   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   1.0    -4.0	 995	  94	 100    0.21	 528	 532   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -1.2    -8.3	 996	  85	 100    0.22	 524	 527   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -2.9   -12.3    1001	  77	  99    0.19	 526	 525   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -3.0   -13.5    1007	  68	  97    0.07	 529	 524   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -4.1   -14.2    1013	  71	  85    0.03	 531	 520   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -6.3   -14.6    1015	  75	  77    0.02	 529	 517   
SAT 12Z 14-JAN  -6.5   -15.3    1017	  75	  65    0.01	 528	 515   
SAT 18Z 14-JAN  -4.2   -15.4    1018	  61	  68    0.01	 529	 515   
SUN 00Z 15-JAN  -6.7   -15.0    1019	  72	  69    0.01	 531	 516

GRR:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN   1.1	 0.1	 998	  92	  99    0.01	 540	 542   
THU 18Z 12-JAN   2.4    -1.6	 995	  97	  99    0.05	 534	 538   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   1.0    -4.0	 994	  98	 100    0.18	 528	 533   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -0.8    -6.9	 994	  93	 100    0.18	 523	 528   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -3.7   -11.8    1000	  84	 100    0.19	 524	 524   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -3.6   -13.3    1006	  70	  99    0.09	 529	 524   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -5.7   -14.2    1013	  80	  95    0.03	 531	 521   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -8.6   -14.5    1015	  87	  95    0.01	 530	 518   
SAT 12Z 14-JAN  -8.3   -14.7    1017	  83	  65    0.01	 528	 515   
SAT 18Z 14-JAN  -4.5   -15.1    1018	  65	  67    0.02	 529	 515   
SUN 00Z 15-JAN  -8.6   -15.2    1019	  83	  71    0.01	 531	 516

BTL:

 
THU 06Z 12-JAN   3.1	 1.1	 999	  88	  99    0.08	 544	 545   
THU 12Z 12-JAN   2.7    -0.1	 998	  97	  97    0.11	 541	 543   
THU 18Z 12-JAN   3.0    -1.2	 995	  95	  99    0.06	 534	 538   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   0.1    -3.6	 995	  96	  99    0.18	 528	 532   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -0.5    -6.4	 993	  95	 100    0.19	 523	 528   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -3.4   -11.0    1000	  85	  99    0.22	 524	 524   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -3.2   -12.6    1007	  70	  98    0.09	 529	 524   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -5.5   -13.8    1013	  80	  90    0.04	 532	 521   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -8.0   -14.0    1016	  87	  76    0.02	 530	 518   
SAT 12Z 14-JAN  -9.2   -14.3    1018	  86	  58    0.02	 530	 516   
SAT 18Z 14-JAN  -6.4   -14.7    1019	  70	  61    0.02	 531	 516   
SUN 00Z 15-JAN -11.9   -14.7    1020	  84	  63    0.01	 531	 516

ADG:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN   3.5	 1.1	 996	  98	  99    0.09	 542	 545   
THU 18Z 12-JAN   4.0    -0.7	 994	  92	  91    0.06	 535	 540   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   1.0    -3.0	 995	  94	  90    0.07	 528	 533   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -5.0    -6.2	 995	  81	 100    0.06	 521	 525   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -2.5    -9.4	 997	  84	 100    0.20	 521	 523   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -2.6   -12.1    1005	  68	  94    0.08	 528	 524   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -5.0   -13.4    1012	  75	  95    0.03	 532	 522   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -7.3   -14.3    1016	  79	  80    0.02	 531	 519   
SAT 12Z 14-JAN  -9.5   -14.7    1018	  80	  56    0.01	 530	 516   
SAT 18Z 14-JAN  -6.8   -14.6    1019	  70	  56    0.01	 531	 516

DTW:

 
THU 12Z 12-JAN   3.5	 2.4	 996	  98	  92    0.04	 542	 545   
THU 18Z 12-JAN   3.8    -0.7	 994	  95	  98    0.10	 536	 542   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   2.9    -2.4	 994	  96	  87    0.04	 529	 534   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -3.9    -6.1	 994	  81	  99    0.04	 521	 525   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -0.9    -7.9	 995	  85	 100    0.14	 520	 524   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -1.6   -12.1    1003	  61	  97    0.05	 527	 525   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -3.6   -13.6    1010	  72	  96    0.03	 531	 523   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -6.1   -14.6    1014	  75	  91    0.02	 531	 519   
SAT 12Z 14-JAN  -8.8   -14.8    1017	  77	  84    0.01	 529	 516   
SAT 18Z 14-JAN  -4.9   -15.3    1018	  65	  62    0.00	 530	 515   
SUN 00Z 15-JAN  -8.1   -14.9    1020	  74	  68    0.01	 530	 515

PHN:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN   4.9	 1.6	 992	  97	 100    0.09	 537	 544   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   3.1    -1.8	 993	  95	  84    0.07	 530	 536   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -0.4    -4.2	 992	  91	  68    0.01	 523	 529   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -3.1    -6.9	 993	  82	  96    0.04	 520	 526   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -1.9   -11.9    1001	  63	  90    0.04	 526	 525   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -4.1   -14.5    1009	  67	  97    0.01	 529	 522   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -6.6   -15.5    1013	  64	  99    0.01	 530	 520

YKF:

 
THU 18Z 12-JAN   1.7	 0.8	 995	  98	  96    0.06	 539	 543   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   2.9    -1.1	 993	  98	  83    0.07	 534	 539   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN   2.4    -1.6	 991	  97	  55    0.01	 528	 535   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -3.9    -7.7	 993	  79	  66    0.04	 521	 527   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN   0.2    -6.5	 993	  78	  83    0.05	 523	 528   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -4.9   -13.8    1005	  66	  97    0.03	 528	 524   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -7.2   -16.0    1010	  66	 100    0.01	 528	 521   
SAT 12Z 14-JAN  -8.6   -15.6    1014	  65	  86    0.02	 528	 517   
SAT 18Z 14-JAN  -5.3   -15.9    1015	  54	 100    0.01	 526	 514   
SUN 00Z 15-JAN  -8.0   -17.1    1019	  60	  37    0.01	 526	 512

YYZ:

 
THU 06Z 12-JAN   3.2	 0.8    1003	  89	  99    0.04	 547	 544   
THU 12Z 12-JAN   2.5    -0.3    1000	  96	  93    0.16	 544	 544   
THU 18Z 12-JAN   2.0    -0.3	 996	  96	  99    0.08	 540	 543   
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   3.1    -1.1	 994	  96	  89    0.09	 535	 540   
FRI 06Z 13-JAN   3.7    -1.1	 992	  94	  71    0.01	 529	 535   
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -1.3    -5.8	 992	  82	  93    0.08	 522	 528   
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -0.6    -5.8	 993	  78	  93    0.10	 522	 528   
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -3.5   -13.6    1004	  68	  95    0.03	 527	 524   
SAT 06Z 14-JAN  -7.0   -16.4    1009	  68	  98    0.01	 528	 521   
SAT 12Z 14-JAN  -9.2   -14.8    1014	  66	  67    0.01	 528	 517

[PatrickSumner]

Looks like OKK did a bit better on the latest run...2-4 still looking good from LAF to OKK

[L.B. LaForce]

  On 1/12/2012 at 6:07 AM, kab2791 said:

00Z EURO FWIW:

MOP: 0.55-0.60

BTL: 0.73

DTW: 0.27

ORD: 0.57

MKE: 0.48

LAF: 0.27

Ohh, a little juicier

[cyclone77]

Based on all the new 00z guidance tonight I feel pretty good about 5" or so for here. I think 4-6" would be a safe forecast for this area. Somewhere over eastern Iowa could pick up 6-8" from wherever that n/s band sets up and stalls.

[kab2791]

  On 1/12/2012 at 6:22 AM, L.B. LaForce said:

Ohh, a little juicier

Precip type initially made it difficult pinpointing a liquid equivalent, so here's the text output:

THU 18Z 12-JAN   1.4    -2.3     995      99      99    0.11     535     539    
FRI 00Z 13-JAN   0.8    -4.4     994      98      99    0.20     529     534    
FRI 06Z 13-JAN  -0.4    -6.7     993      91      99    0.16     524     530    
FRI 12Z 13-JAN  -3.7   -10.9     997      84      98    0.13     523     525    
FRI 18Z 13-JAN  -5.0   -14.3    1004      66      98    0.05     527     524    
SAT 00Z 14-JAN  -7.3   -15.4    1011      75     100    0.02     530     521    

[turtlehurricane]

Looks like the storm is determined on making my late afternoon flight from DTX to MSN risky, though I'm not sure since I'm not an expert on snow clearing techniques at MSN. HRRR says the storm will max out from 5 am to 4 pm. My flight is supposed to land at 4 pm, so right after the most accumulation.

Any opinions stebo?

Also, I'm pumped to fly over this mid-latitude cyclone if we do end up going. Many photos to be taken. If not, I'll use this forum as a log while I try to survive Detroit.