MDstorm Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Euro shows a nice shot of snow for SNE Thursday night into Friday (rain for us). The Sunday event looks like a miss for everyone south of SNE. SNE gets only very light snow. I still don't think we see much of anything snow-wise until after Feb 5. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I can't get over just how different the GFS op is from its ens. members. Not only that, HPC graphics have a low parked off of the Delmarva Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Heck even wjztv baltimore sun weatther has changed their forecast for sat/sun twice already. So has the weather channel. Doesnt really matter. Gfs lost the sunday light snow event too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 So much for the "torch" period that was supposed to be this week. A little milder than normal, but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 So much for the "torch" period that was supposed to be this week. A little milder than normal, but that's about it. am19psu lied to us all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Frederickwx only problem i see is that were still getti.g rain late in jan and i dont hold out much hope foe feb since the window is only 10 days. That is like ""threading the needle"" so to speake!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I have snow/sleet in my forecast for tomorrow night, with snow/sleet before a rain changeover on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 00Z run at 288hrs out? I know it's way out but it's funny to see one day and totally different the next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 00Z run at 288hrs out? I know it's way out but it's funny to see one day and totally different the next. Good lord. Literally, it's not funny. Literally, it's to be expected, because it's, yaknow, 288 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I have snow/sleet in my forecast for tomorrow night, with snow/sleet before a rain changeover on Thursday. Tasselmeyer changed his forecast, too, to include snow or mixed fir the same period of time. I wonder how far south that forecast goes, as I live in columbia??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Rain in my forecast. What a waste of precip in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Rain in my forecast. What a waste of precip in the winter. If we have to wsit until mid feb for another minor snow event, let it torch. Let the winter be over. All the severe wx buffs here can start early and save some money on heating bills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 So much for the "torch" period that was supposed to be this week. A little milder than normal, but that's about it. Here's the funny part, we are kind of torchy overall in North America. It hasn't necessarily translated to high surface temps though, especially with our CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I have snow/sleet in my forecast for tomorrow night, with snow/sleet before a rain changeover on Thursday. The SNOstorm cometh. Have faith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 The SNOstorm cometh. Have faith. Only gonna last a few hours if so - detailed forecast has snow/sleet after 5am with rain after 9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Only gonna last a few hours if so - detailed forecast has snow/sleet after 5am with rain after 9am Story of our winter if and when we get the wintry precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 12z GFS has a coastal Saturday but cold air is an issue as to be expected....maybe some promise for the western burbs....worth tracking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 12z GFS has a coastal Saturday but cold air is an issue as to be expected....maybe some promise for the western burbs....worth tracking Not really... 2m temps make good jump from hr 96 to 99... maybe a few hours of a sloppy mix to light rain... we don't even get much QPF (less than 0.25") from DC N and W... all of it S and E of DC is rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 12z GFS has a coastal Saturday but cold air is an issue as to be expected....maybe some promise for the western burbs....worth tracking It's worth tracking but still is fighting an uphill battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Not really... 2m temps make good jump from hr 96 to 99... maybe a few hours of a sloppy mix to light rain... we don't even get much QPF (less than 0.25") from DC N and W... all of it S and E of DC is rain you should probably learn to read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 you should probably learn to read I did... even with the "lacking" cold air, I don't see the point of tracking it even for a few flurries... I saw the 850s but the 2m don't look good and no H anywhere near to help at all in Canda... I just don't see it and was expressing my opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 It's worth tracking but still is fighting an uphill battle. maybe the better threat is Sunday...GFS and Euro on different runs have plopped down precip over VA either as a result or in conjunction with developing low pressure along the coast....It is also probably a reach as are most threats but we would probably have cold air for that one or any clipper/wave on Monday.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I did... even with the "lacking" cold air, I don't see the point of tracking it even for a few flurries... I saw the 850s but the 2m don't look good and no H anywhere near to help at all in Canda... I just don't see it and was expressing my opinion Feel free to stop tracking and posting at any time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 It's worth tracking but still is fighting an uphill battle. as in Hamburger Hill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Feel free to stop tracking and posting at any time. Its not like I am like Amped or something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I did... even with the "lacking" cold air, I don't see the point of tracking it even for a few flurries... I saw the 850s but the 2m don't look good and no H anywhere near to help at all in Canda... I just don't see it and was expressing my opinion I don't understand why you are taking the depiction literally and looking at sfc temps.....but whatever.....THis winter has been a complete stinker and models suck and our climo sucks..not sure why people have to keep pointing out that threats are low probability and unlikely to happen...no sh-it...we know...thanks for pointing out the obvious...without all the negative nancy's, we'd think we were tracking a possible 8-12" SECS every few days...And I am not referring to Wes....That is his "job" and his area of expertise...I don't see the need for so many others to assume that role.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2012 Author Share Posted January 24, 2012 the gfs looks a lot better than the euro at 12z yesterday--didnt look at 0z tho i guess i could --wrt 850s saturday. the sunday thing seems like a super long shot.. those amlost never work for more than flurries/snowshowers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 At least there is a low to the south. The rest can work itself out. Kinda sums up the winter though. @ hr 96 we have an 850 low over the outer banks and it's going to be tough to snow. I'm guessing here, but I would say 9 times out of 10 when you have an 850 track from GA - OBX - to well off the MD coast in late Jan you would expect it to be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Be nice to get some precip in here on Sunday. No question what the precip type would be then. The look of the 12z GFS for Saturday is now very much in line with its ens members from 6z. Who knows, we could pull a miracle. I have my shovel oiled and ready for the SNOstorm Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 <leesburg04>I hope it hits us; we need the rain<leesburg04> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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