eurojosh Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 If nothing else, 12Z GFS keeping it noticeably colder next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 If nothing else, 12Z GFS keeping it noticeably colder next week. It actually gives us a snowstorm look at 216 hrs or so. It's much different with the siberian high and actually builds a new ridge over AK farther east than the old run. I'd wait for the ensembles to come in to see what they think but it does show that this pattern isn't that stable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Gotta love a 1030 low. Snow in Bermuda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 It actually gives us a snowstorm look at 216 hrs or so. It's much different with the siberian high and actually builds a new ridge over AK farther east than the old run. I'd wait for the ensembles to come in to see what they think but it does show that this pattern isn't that stable. ...And something worth watching too after hr 324, but I guess I'm a for commenting on anything that far into the future. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 winter's back.. at least until the euro or the 0z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Wes, GFS shows a parade of lows rolling over top of a ridge out west and some sort of troughiness in the east though at least 192 hours or so. Any chance some of that energy ends up underneath us? Long lost overrunning event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 It actually gives us a snowstorm look at 216 hrs or so. It's much different with the siberian high and actually builds a new ridge over AK farther east than the old run. I'd wait for the ensembles to come in to see what they think but it does show that this pattern isn't that stable. Though it was a huge mess and knocked oit a lot of people's power... I would not mind a repeat of Jan 2011 snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Though it was a huge mess and knocked oit a lot of people's power... I would not mind a repeat of Jan 2011 snowstorm I'll take a repeat of that too - since it snowed more where I am now than where I was.... though the power outage thing I can do without. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 winter's back.. If 4 rainy Lakes cutters each followed by chilly, slightly-below normal temperatures for a couple days = winter for you, then yes, winter's back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Wes, GFS shows a parade of lows rolling over top of a ridge out west and some sort of troughiness in the east though at least 192 hours or so. Any chance some of that energy ends up underneath us? Long lost overrunning event? Those are the events that seem to have been absent for a long time, and they're the ones I usually like and have more confidence in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 and the CFS keeps getting warmer for January with each passing day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 If 4 rainy Lakes cutters each followed by chilly, slightly-below normal temperatures for a couple days = winter for you, then yes, winter's back. I take it you don't buy hr 216-228...looks pretty on screen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like the hour 216 "threat" is a British Columbia clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I take it you don't buy hr 216-228...looks pretty on screen I just don't think the 12z GFS was a very wintry run. But to answer your question, I don't buy much the GFS is selling post 96-120hrs. Unless it's a Lakes cutter. Those you can take to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 If 4 rainy Lakes cutters each followed by chilly, slightly-below normal temperatures for a couple days = winter for you, then yes, winter's back. sounds like dc winter to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 would be about 3-5 inches of snow turning to ice also shows some snow on the 20th yeah...I saw that and kind of ignored it as it is in the fantasy range and every time I post that it shows somehting it then loses it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I'm still interested in Tuesday...I think the GFS is too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 It's snowing in Chicago http://c-cam.uchicago.edu/view/view.shtml?id=422985&imagePath=/mjpg/video.mjpg&size=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I'm still interested in Tuesday...I think the GFS is too warm Are you thinking CAD producing ice? That high is in a lousy position on the GFS and there's difluence to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like the hour 216 "threat" is a British Columbia clipper. at 228 we get a little over .10 which would be snow. In this pattern that's about all you can hope flow. Most likely, that threat will come to naught but it's there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 I'm still interested in Tuesday...I think the GFS is too warm interested in what? 10 minutes of frozen on the front end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Are you thinking CAD producing ice? That high is in a lousy position on the GFS and there's difluence to our north. snow/mix to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 interested in what? 10 minutes of frozen on the front end? pretty much...could be something longer for NW burbs....probably will be nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 pretty much...could be something longer for NW burbs....probably will be nothing still time to get to ny before tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 interested in what? 10 minutes of frozen on the front end? Don't bash it. Would be a top-5 event this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 euro maps aren't good enough, but maybe we see some -sn tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 snow/mix to rain The gfs likes some ice at the beginning of the storm even for DCA despite the lnot so great surface look. It also like Mitchnick's flizzard Fri morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 still time to get to ny before tomorrow i'm watching a webcam in Chicago...that is good enough for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 i'm watching a webcam in Chicago...that is good enough for now always fun watching snow on TV during January when its 60 degrees outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 always fun watching snow on TV during January when its 60 degrees outside it is starting to stick to all surfaces...I think they can eek out 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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