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January storm threat discussion #2


Ian

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I can hear it pinging already.

I think we both have a sense of our fate from being through it so many times...You just hope to at least get a 0.1/0.2" coating of snow down 1st..sometimes it can surprise and hold on for a bit longer....just looked at 6z ensembles...they too like the idea of getting precip in here by 4z/5z tomorrow night....that timing would be the best case scenario as you posted

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Seriously? Are you sure your weenie goggles weren't in extreme mode? ;)

I rewound it to check again to make sure I wasn't seeing things - I wasn't. I promise.

The most important thing I took away from this post is......you watch Al Roker?

Not usually... had an appointment this morning so I didn't catch my usual morning news and got stuck with the Today show instead. I about spit out my coffee when I saw their snow map.

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I think the CAD in that storm held on a bit more than modeled... weren't we supposed to go above freezing and we didn't till some time later?

I think many places stayed below freezing until the afternoon of the 18th so almost 24 hours from the beginning...some of the serious CAD favorite locations never went above

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I think the CAD in that storm held on a bit more than modeled... weren't we supposed to go above freezing and we didn't till some time later?

Yes LWX forecasted it plain rain here by 4AM, it happened at about 9AM. I mostly remember that storm for the epic wipeout I had on my front steps while snapping pictures :lol:

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I think we both have a sense of our fate from being through it so many times...You just hope to at least get a 0.1/0.2" coating of snow down 1st..sometimes it can surprise and hold on for a bit longer....just looked at 6z ensembles...they too like the idea of getting precip in here by 4z/5z tomorrow night....that timing would be the best case scenario as you posted

I hate to say the trend is our friend, but I've watched as the NAM has moved the ribbon of heavy snow from Minneapolis to Madison to Rockford/Chicago over the last two days. We can hope that it is catching on.

/weenie off

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With that 800mb temp map, that would imply snow for most of MD. Sleet or maybe sleet/snow mix for points south of the 0C line.

It would probably be sleet by the time you are in Prince William/Fauquier... probably just barely hanging on to snow in Fairfax/Loudoun/DC... Montgomery/Howard mainly snow with a few pings starting...

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Warm up the bus?

We're doing it man. Gotta keep the optimism and positive vibes alive. I'm about off my rocker and it feels great. Why not weenie it up and have some fun. Been a long time. We're all giddy over the prospects of an hour of snow, followed by sleet/zr and then rain. I mean, really....might as well be optimistic.

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We're doing it man. Gotta keep the optimism and positive vibes alive. I'm about off my rocker and it feels great. Why not weenie it up and have some fun. Been a long time. We're all giddy over the prospects of an hour of snow, followed by sleet/zr and then rain. I mean, really....might as well be optimistic.

I'll be doing a CWG piece on the storm later today so I won't post my thoughts here yet. It's something to post about. Yay

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nice air mass...IAD hit 16 this morning and I think we get a reinforcing shot tomorrow.....

This is really the first time in my life i would not mind an ice storm, it is a weekend and i have my backup generator finally installed. So with the way this winter is going at least give me any kind of wintry precip. I am sure the GFS will be colder at 12Z.

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We're doing it man. Gotta keep the optimism and positive vibes alive. I'm about off my rocker and it feels great. Why not weenie it up and have some fun. Been a long time. We're all giddy over the prospects of an hour of snow, followed by sleet/zr and then rain. I mean, really....might as well be optimistic.

sometimes these events can be fun even if they don't snarl traffic or cause massive power outages.....1/17/11 was ideal since it started early PM, but even a midnight start would give us some time to check sh-it out....me and you probably wake up to 34 and drizzle but there could be surprises out west.....CAD is the only winter thing we do well...we suck at everything else winter related

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This is like watching a bunch of girls at the school dance hoping Bobby the school QB comes over to talk to them. Eventually, you'll all be disappointed. :lmao:

Hell no. We're not making eyes at the QB, we're making eyes at the backup punter. But, better that than a lonely night.

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sometimes these events can be fun even if they don't snarl traffic or cause massive power outages.....1/17/11 was ideal since it started early PM, but even a midnight start would give us some time to check sh-it out....me and you probably wake up to 34 and drizzle but there could be surprises out west.....CAD is the only winter thing we do well...we suck at everything else winter related

If it's going to ice storm, I want power outages, footage of cars sliding down hills and sideswiping guard rails, flight cancellations and disruptions to plans all around.

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