Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 0z Euro is much colder...snow to start for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Euro much colder 2-3 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 0z Euro is much colder...snow to start for everyone .25 jyo snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 0z Euro is much colder...snow to start for everyone verbatim, 1-2" then -ra/drizzle...not a lot of moisture but almost all snow for DC metro....may be some mixing in southern burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 0z Euro is much colder...snow to start for everyone Yea, actually looks pretty good.. GFS didn't look right at 5h to me tonight.. Strung out vort. Any reports on the CMC? UK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Storm is mostly snow ending as frozen drizzle 1-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 .25 jyo snow yeah...hard with my maps...but I was going to say 0.15" to 0.20" QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Weekend went from blowtorch to cold and snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 yeah...hard with my maps...but I was going to say 0.15" to 0.20" QPF DCA is .24 snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Storm is mostly snow ending as frozen drizzle 1-3 inches wedge by you holds you below freezing the entire day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Weekend says near 32 till Sunday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 wedge by you holds you below freezing the entire day We need this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 DCA is .24 snow this would be good timing..saturday morning....quick thump of 1-2" at 30-32 degrees and then drizzle or frz drizzle for you.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Euro gives DCA more snow than orh this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 We need this event 1-3" thump before a torch would change the mood in here hugely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Euro gives DCA more snow than orh this run Probably a solid clue that its in error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Probably a solid clue that its in error. Good luck with Kevin wood tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 1-3" thump before a torch would change the mood in here hugely During the torch well be tracking the coming -nao and coastal storm in shirts and tee shirt while we look at pics from our 1-2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Snow gone my monday as we hit 65-70? Geez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 During the torch well be tracking the coming -nao and coastal storm in shirts and tee shirt while we look at pics from our 1-2 inches I don't care if it melts that afternoon...if we can get an inch saturday I will be happy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 The 5h pattern is pretty volatile...but DC does have the sfc high location going for it....it will help promote CAD all the way up the mid-levels. But given no block or anything, it can definitely wiggle quite a bit in any direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 I don't care if it melts that afternoon...if we can get an inch saturday I will be happy... Not as happy as you would be if you were in the other Washington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 The 5h pattern is pretty volatile...but DC does have the sfc high location going for it....it will help promote CAD all the way up the mid-levels. But given no block or anything, it can definitely wiggle quite a bit in any direction. We probably won't do as well as Seattle though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 The 5h pattern is pretty volatile...but DC does have the sfc high location going for it....it will help promote CAD all the way up the mid-levels. But given no block or anything, it can definitely wiggle quite a bit in any direction. yes...this could easily trend warmer/drier.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Interesting how the GFS was initially looking more like snow with the Euro looking more like rain up until the 00z runs tonight. The Euro is now in it's 96-120 hour wheelhouse where it usually cleans the clock of the GFS. Hopefully, that record continues. And I agree that any accumulating snow in these parts will do wonders for board morale. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 yes...this could easily trend warmer/drier.... The CAD is really strong on all guidance..even before 00z came south. I posted in the NE subforum how I thought it would almost be a lock for winter precip because of that...we now might get whiffed to the south, but even if it trends back north which is certainly a legit possibility...it could be an icing event for west of the fall line in DC metro with that ppt signature. Its a legit threat though...only if because the antecedent air mass has some punch to it and the high will help hold it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Interesting how the GFS was initially looking more like snow with the Euro looking more like rain up until the 00z runs tonight. The Euro is now in it's 96-120 hour wheelhouse where it usually cleans the clock of the GFS. Hopefully, that record continues. And I agree that any accumulating snow in these parts will do wonders for board morale. MDstorm I didn't even think the GFS run was that bad...it wouldnt be snow, but it has the wedge and it would be legit icing....even DCA holds at 32 through 108 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 I didn't even think the GFS run was that bad...it wouldnt be snow, but it has the wedge and it would be legit icing....even DCA holds at 32 through 108 hours It was a freezing rain run IMO... 850 0c line was north while 2m 0c line held into DCA through 108... prob a light snow to ice to drizzle finish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 The CAD is really strong on all guidance..even before 00z came south. I posted in the NE subforum how I thought it would almost be a lock for winter precip because of that...we now might get whiffed to the south, but even if it trends back north which is certainly a legit possibility...it could be an icing event for west of the fall line in DC metro with that ppt signature. Its a legit threat though...only if because the antecedent air mass has some punch to it and the high will help hold it in. yes....I think it is increasingly likely we have a wedge, especially in the western burbs....But remains to be seen how much moisture gets thrown into it and what type of precip....Usually the guidance is too warm with these events, but too far south with the track so it kind of "evens" out...hopefully the euro is more correct and it has CAD into the mid levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 It was a freezing rain run IMO... 850 0c line was north while 2m 0c line held into DCA through 108... prob a light snow to ice to drizzle finish IAD is below 32 through 111 hours...29-30 with light overrunning precip would be nasty for a little while....would look nice on the trees too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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