stormtracker Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 im not sure i've ever seen you in here during summer.. i guess i'll have to take your word on it. the idea that i dont like snow is ludicrous. i dont like cold.. i spent the first half of my life in places it wasnt that cold and i have little body fat. Just look down at the members in this thread/forum list. You'd see me everday in the summer, quite a few times all day. Oh, you mean because I don't create threads!!? Well, I don't create threads when I really don't have much to say or just for the sake of creating threads to raise my profile. That's just me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 GFS really isn't an uber-torch after our mega-blizzard on Saturday. Above normal for sure, but doesn't look like any days in the 60s or higher. Probably just one or two days into the 50s ahead of Lakes cutters then back to near seasonal for a day or so. Very end of the run is cold. It has a negative nao at the end of the run. That's the wild card as the pac still doesn't look good and if you move the low near nova scotia east some, we would be warm. At that time range I'd hug the ens mean ans then pray it was in the ball park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Just look down at the members in this thread/forum list. You'd see me everday in the summer, quite a few times all day. Oh, you mean because I don't create threads!!? Well, I don't create threads when I really don't have much to say or just for the sake of creating threads to raise my profile. That's just me though. I'm a big heavy rain guy, those storms get me excited but like you I rarely post in summer unless it is so hot that I don't get outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 I'm a big heavy rain guy, those storms get me excited but like you I rarely post in summer unless it is so hot that I don't get outside. Yup, same here. It has to be really high profile event in summer for me to post. It's no secret that I'm not a huge fan of summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 why are we bickering? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 Just look down at the members in this thread/forum list. You'd see me everday in the summer, quite a few times all day. Oh, you mean because I don't create threads!!? Well, I don't create threads when I really don't have much to say or just for the sake of creating threads to raise my profile. That's just me though. Not sure what I did to get you to attack of te blue today but carry on.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 why are we bickering? Who is? where?! I love a good fight! Show me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Guys, its over. Give up now. *** ALERT ** 12Z JAN 16 run GFS MODEL brings in SNOW to VA-WVA-MD-DE late JAN 20 (night) into Morning & Midday JAN 21. This is BAD Model run filled with crap and VERY unlikely solutions. Its NOT going to happen for MOST of VA and MOST of MD... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Who is? where?! I love a good fight! Show me! Oh, sorry - I sometimes confuse the love between yourself and Ian as bickering. Carry on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Not sure what I did to get you to attack of te blue today but carry on.. I attacked you? The bar has been lowered for what qualifies as attacks and fighting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Oh, sorry - I sometimes confuse the love between yourself and Ian as bickering. Carry on Its ok..i did rib him a little with the "seeth" comment, but he took it as all out war. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Its ok..i did rib him a little with the "seeth" comment, but he took it as all out war. Give the guy a break, he is 40 days free, probably a little on edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 Give the guy a break, he is 40 days free, probably a little on edge. No I didn't do anything this time. Feel free to read back to my name being entered into the convo before I was even posting this am. Of all the bent out of shape about the winter I'm near the bottom of the list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Give the guy a break, he is 40 days free, probably a little on edge. Oh yeah...damn. Your turn next! Keeping this weather related...no GGEM posts? Somebody spoon feed me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Oh yeah...damn. Your turn next! Keeping this weather related...no GGEM posts? Somebody spoon feed me. I'm 10 days strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Oh yeah...damn. Your turn next! Keeping this weather related...no GGEM posts? Somebody spoon feed me. Yoda is slipping or it's a bad run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 No I didn't do anything this time. Feel free to read back to my name being entered into the convo before I was even posting this am. yes, I saw.. I was actually sticking up for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 I couple of GEFS members are in the same ball park as the GFS, most of the others are warmer. The ensemble runs aren't a total distaster for the Fri night?sat time range. It's still probably not the most likely solution but is not one you can just toss out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 I couple of GEFS members are in the same ball park as the GFS, most of the others are warmer. The ensemble runs aren't a total distaster for the Fri night?sat time range. It's still probably not the most likely solution but is not one you can just toss out. its the best looking chance we have had in ages....tells you how crappy our winter is be. Looking forward to CWG article which i may or may not read:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Most of the individual GFS ensemble members have an event for Saturday, but most are warm GGEM has a storm as well, but from what I can tell (not much) from those crappy 4-panel charts is that it's probably rain. However, looks like GGEM gives us a little snow Friday morning with the clipper that moves through New England. Several GFS ensemble members do this as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Well it's more complicated than that, but I would think that you'd have a little more confluence if it did happen. It's a progressive flow so timing and intensity this far out will be hard to determine. But hey, nothing else to do in this winter, so might as well see what happens. Good luck. Thanks for coming over to our forum and adding your insights. Looks like the mega torch is evolving into just an avg. torch. Of course that could change back I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 yes, I saw.. I was actually sticking up for you. Your little midget torch is going to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 I couple of GEFS members are in the same ball park as the GFS, most of the others are warmer. The ensemble runs aren't a total distaster for the Fri night?sat time range. It's still probably not the most likely solution but is not one you can just toss out. typical storms for us are usually the ones that start off as a chance on a model run or 2 from 5-7 days out, then gain momentum/consensus very rarely do we see a 2/6/10 event that is modeled from 5 days+ away I think it's the best we can hope for at this range in this pattern/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Your little midget torch is going to die. Ensembles are still warm and it is still going to torch, next week, just you wait. ....then it may get cold again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 its the best looking chance we have had in ages....tells you how crappy our winter is be. Looking forward to CWG article which i may or may not read:) The article right now is not about any snowstorm. Instead it's about the negative PNA and what that means for the conus including us. Bi changes for the west, not many chances for snow. It's going to have a cool graph. Of course it may be superceded by a snow possible for Saturday post if the GFS looks the same this time tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 lets huddle up here and get a plan stormtracker fill up the bus adjust driver seat for matt matt, ian and me pbp euro ji keep us posted on the jma and jb mitchnick keep posting just links to cold stuff yoda link up the ggem and then eek says stfu mapgirl just yell torch as needed wes keep us posted on what can go wrong someone get with weather 53 and get a baro. check for dc. coastalwx pop in and keep the mood up in the bus Feb not sure why you are in the mid atl. bus but we have some room down with the luggage BB tighten all luggage on the roof of the bus in case of high winds HM pop in for late night treats for the bus without water there is no storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Ensembles are still warm and it is still going to torch, next week, just you wait. Yup. I mean, maybe it is 65 instead of 75, but that's still super warm for January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Raleighwx likes a colder Feb. idea http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-raleigh/after-a-preview-of-spring-for-end-of-january-colder-pattern-likely-for-february Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Your little midget torch is going to die. Anything over +10 departures for a few days in a row is a torch. Sorry. No one said it was gonna torch for the next 2 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 Anything over +10 departures for a few days in a row is a torch. Sorry. No one said it was gonna torch for the next 2 months. CT Blozz and weatherwiz did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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