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January storm threat discussion #2


Ian

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exactly; snow while there is a weak semblence of a disjointed -NAO on its way positive and a ridge over AK that's on life support moving NW to be replaced by another vortex

then we torch....I'll take that this year

I don't know anything about the setup 10 years ago, but I clearly recall a 2-4" snow event around the same time in Jan 2002 followed by a huge torch a few days later.

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so we have to root for "you" guys to do well for us to do well?

can we get back to you on that? :P

Well it's more complicated than that, but I would think that you'd have a little more confluence if it did happen. It's a progressive flow so timing and intensity this far out will be hard to determine. But hey, nothing else to do in this winter, so might as well see what happens. Good luck.

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Well it's more complicated than that, but I would think that you'd have a little more confluence if it did happen. It's a progressive flow so timing and intensity this far out will be hard to determine. But hey, nothing else to do in this winter, so might as well see what happens. Good luck.

no, I was kidding, of course

your thoughts are apprecaited

p.s. I told everyone here not root for October snows....bad karma; I know Jerry felt the same way

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so we have to root for "you" guys to do well for us to do well?

can we get back to you on that? :P

I'll root for them to get some snow, especially if it helps our chances. Also, they're all going to heart-broken around 7pm on Sunday when the Ravens win, so I don't want any toaster baths up there.

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Notice I was careful not to put out any amounts nor do I say it is right but as Mitchnick was alluding to, I don't think we can dismiss it out of hand and it's MLK day and tracker is onboard :whistle:. and he's driving. What more can you ask for?

Better Atlantic and Neg Nao and positive PNA :weenie: .

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Stop being lazy, i hate trying to figure out the GGEM it's a pain in the ass. Maybe you can help me for once.

im sure someone on the bus can find it at some point and post it.. especially if it shows snow.

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if it's going to snow this is probably how but what else shows this besides the gfs? the euro doesnt.. i dont check other models on my own. ;)

The euro has a little snow west of us in the same time range but then warms it up so it's not completely on it own, only mostly on it. Still it's in the time range you can't completely blow it off.

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The euro has a little snow west of us in the same time range but then warms it up so it's not completely on it own, only mostly on it. Still it's in the time range you can't completely blow it off.

Close doesn't count in snowstorms... ;) It could trend better.

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GFS really isn't an uber-torch after our mega-blizzard on Saturday. Above normal for sure, but doesn't look like any days in the 60s or higher. Probably just one or two days into the 50s ahead of Lakes cutters then back to near seasonal for a day or so. Very end of the run is cold.

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Then the GFS is your friend!

... we will have to enjoy the torch while it lasts, GFS has some pretty cold temps for the end of the month.

So i'm on the Matt Bus for the weekend. I'm on the Adam Express for next week and then the BB Bullet for February.

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GFS has the SNOstorm as a massive Lakes cutter with heavy rain and temps in the upper 50s, but I expect that will transition to a Miller A SECs soon. My snowshovel is already polished and waiting.

did he ever clarify where the SNOstorm would be? :P

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Matt bus! woot! woot!

lets huddle up here and get a plan

stormtracker fill up the bus adjust driver seat for matt

matt, ian and me pbp euro

ji keep us posted on the jma and jb

mitchnick keep posting just links to cold stuff

yoda link up the ggem and then eek says stfu

mapgirl just yell torch as needed

wes keep us posted on what can go wrong

someone get with weather 53 and get a baro. check for dc.

coastalwx pop in and keep the mood up in the bus

Feb not sure why you are in the mid atl. bus but we have some room down with the luggage

BB tighten all luggage on the roof of the bus in case of high winds

HM pop in for late night treats for the bus

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Huh?

Of course you do. So do I. We all do!

In fact, in Summer time, I like to lovingly talk about cool shots and rainy days! -15 departure in June! Yes!!!

im not sure i've ever seen you in here during summer.. i guess i'll have to take your word on it. :P

the idea that i dont like snow is ludicrous. i dont like cold.. i spent the first half of my life in places it wasnt that cold and i have little body fat.

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lets huddle up here and get a plan

stormtracker fill up the bus adjust driver seat for matt

matt, ian and me pbp euro

ji keep us posted on the jma and jb

mitchnick keep posting just links to cold stuff

yoda link up the ggem and then eek says stfu

mapgirl just yell torch as needed

wes keep us posted on what can go wrong

someone get with weather 53 and get a baro. check for dc.

coastalwx pop in and keep the mood up in the bus

Feb not sure why you are in the mid atl. bus but we have some room down with the luggage

BB tighten all luggage on the roof of the bus in case of high winds

HM pop in for late night treats for the bus

aye aye, captain!

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