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January storm threat discussion #2


Ian

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  On 1/18/2012 at 2:58 PM, wxtrix said:

it was NEVER impressive. it has been at best a marginal event N and W and it has featured minimal amounts of frozen precip.

I don't understand being pissed off over not getting a huge snowstorm when a huge snowstorm has never been in the cards for this weekend.

I'm not sure why Winterwxluvr is even posting about this at all, he punted yesterday with the 12z runs.

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  On 1/18/2012 at 4:19 PM, NE Balti Zen said:

Maybe per the GFS on that run something frozen to start on that Sunday dealie, but it warms quickly

Its a freezing rain/sleet deal. The 2m 0c temp stays south near EZF for most part of the "event". 1000-850 mb thicknesses are cold enough through 105 and would support FZRA/PL

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  On 1/18/2012 at 4:21 PM, yoda said:

Its a freezing rain/sleet deal. The 2m 0c temp stays south near EZF for most part of the "event". 1000-850 mb thicknesses are cold enough through 105 and would support FZRA/PL

Looks like some saturday morning mix and sunday an ice/slset "event" which is gaining some ground. Like it a bit to be honest.

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  On 1/18/2012 at 4:21 PM, yoda said:

Its a freezing rain/sleet deal. The 2m 0c temp stays south near EZF for most part of the "event". 1000-850 mb thicknesses are cold enough through 105 and would support FZRA/PL

Doesn't seem like it would take alot to get some SN in the mix...

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  On 1/18/2012 at 4:38 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said:

is it me or is this the most over hyped torch!! since the strat. warming calls?

  On 1/18/2012 at 4:40 PM, WxUSAF said:

LOL...mega-torch is mega-FAIL on the 12z GFS with not 1, but 2 borderline cold rain/snow events perfectly bracketing the SNO-days of fun. This is all of course quite a departure from previous guidance, so take it with appropriate levels of salt.

my facial expression when looking at the model run:

:yikes:

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  On 1/18/2012 at 4:40 PM, WxUSAF said:

LOL...mega-torch is mega-FAIL on the 12z GFS with not 1, but 2 borderline cold rain/snow events perfectly bracketing the SNO-days of fun. This is all of course quite a departure from previous guidance, so take it with appropriate levels of salt.

:thumbsup:

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  On 1/18/2012 at 4:40 PM, WxUSAF said:

LOL...mega-torch is mega-FAIL on the 12z GFS with not 1, but 2 borderline cold rain/snow events perfectly bracketing the SNO-days of fun. This is all of course quite a departure from previous guidance, so take it with appropriate levels of salt.

If you can't make it snow, I prefer a torch to a cold rain.

MDstorm

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