WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:05 PM, Ian said: winter's back.. If 4 rainy Lakes cutters each followed by chilly, slightly-below normal temperatures for a couple days = winter for you, then yes, winter's back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:11 PM, Bob Chill said: Wes, GFS shows a parade of lows rolling over top of a ridge out west and some sort of troughiness in the east though at least 192 hours or so. Any chance some of that energy ends up underneath us? Long lost overrunning event? Those are the events that seem to have been absent for a long time, and they're the ones I usually like and have more confidence in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 and the CFS keeps getting warmer for January with each passing day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:18 PM, WxUSAF said: If 4 rainy Lakes cutters each followed by chilly, slightly-below normal temperatures for a couple days = winter for you, then yes, winter's back. I take it you don't buy hr 216-228...looks pretty on screen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like the hour 216 "threat" is a British Columbia clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:24 PM, BristowWX said: I take it you don't buy hr 216-228...looks pretty on screen I just don't think the 12z GFS was a very wintry run. But to answer your question, I don't buy much the GFS is selling post 96-120hrs. Unless it's a Lakes cutter. Those you can take to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:18 PM, WxUSAF said: If 4 rainy Lakes cutters each followed by chilly, slightly-below normal temperatures for a couple days = winter for you, then yes, winter's back. sounds like dc winter to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:40 PM, zwyts said: I'm still interested in Tuesday...I think the GFS is too warm Are you thinking CAD producing ice? That high is in a lousy position on the GFS and there's difluence to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:25 PM, dallen7908 said: Looks like the hour 216 "threat" is a British Columbia clipper. at 228 we get a little over .10 which would be snow. In this pattern that's about all you can hope flow. Most likely, that threat will come to naught but it's there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:40 PM, zwyts said: I'm still interested in Tuesday...I think the GFS is too warm interested in what? 10 minutes of frozen on the front end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:57 PM, zwyts said: pretty much...could be something longer for NW burbs....probably will be nothing still time to get to ny before tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:55 PM, Ian said: interested in what? 10 minutes of frozen on the front end? Don't bash it. Would be a top-5 event this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 5:55 PM, zwyts said: snow/mix to rain The gfs likes some ice at the beginning of the storm even for DCA despite the lnot so great surface look. It also like Mitchnick's flizzard Fri morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:00 PM, zwyts said: i'm watching a webcam in Chicago...that is good enough for now always fun watching snow on TV during January when its 60 degrees outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:05 PM, zwyts said: it is starting to stick to all surfaces...I think they can eek out 6" I've been reading their thread and keep hoping for pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:06 PM, zwyts said: I'll probably stay up tonight if it looks promising Boy are you getting desperate, but guess what i will be up along with you if there is a chance we get any accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:06 PM, zwyts said: I'll probably stay up tonight if it looks promising Are you being sarcastic or serious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:06 PM, zwyts said: I'll probably stay up tonight if it looks promising I'm not a fan of cold frontal snows east of the mountains but then I also don't have much interest in the real light events unless they are pretty like the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:11 PM, zwyts said: it should happen fairly early...like 1-2am....won't stick but maybe we get a snowshower/flizzard I might take a peak at around 1 am cause I am usually up that late... but I think I am going to be going against the grain hoping for anything really... we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 BWI: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 IAD: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:11 PM, zwyts said: it should happen fairly early...like 1-2am....won't stick but maybe we get a snowshower/flizzard Ah what the heck. I'm usually up to just about midnight. I'll check radar around 11 or so and see if it's worth it. Gotta take what you can get right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:17 PM, ThreeRedheads said: IAD: convective snow mmmmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 the euro seems to like next tuesday... for rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:21 PM, zwyts said: 12z Euro just laughed in my face either way tuesday during the day looks rather torchy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I can't yet settle into a stage. Despondent? Angry? Sad? Resignation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:22 PM, stormtracker said: I can't yet settle into a stage. Despondent? Angry? Sad? Resignation? you just gotta be patient and wait for the stratospheric warming to kick in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergeek Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Tonight: A chance of rain before 1am, then rain and snow likely between 1am and 4am, then a slight chance of snow after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind between 7 and 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Arlington VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:22 PM, stormtracker said: I can't yet settle into a stage. Despondent? Angry? Sad? Resignation? At least it's better than last year. We were surrounded by joyous threads while we sat square in the snow abyss. You can't even go anywhere on a tank of gas right now to get your fix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 On 1/12/2012 at 6:22 PM, stormtracker said: I can't yet settle into a stage. Despondent? Angry? Sad? Resignation? Cynical is best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.